Tag Archives: student-loans
Research reveals how student debt is affecting the US housing market
New research suggests that the vast majority of would be first time buyers in the United States believe they can’t afford to buy because of student debt. Some 71% of non-homeowners repaying their student loans on time believe their debt is stymieing their ability to purchase a home, and slightly over half of all borrowers say they expect to be delayed from buying by more than five years. The survey from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) and SALT, a consumer literacy programme provided by American Student Assistant, also revealed that student debt postponed four in 10 borrowers from moving out of a family member's household after graduating college. Nearly three-quarters of non-homeowners polled in the survey believe their student loan debt is delaying them from buying a home. Broken down by each generation and debt amount, the percent share is the highest among older millennials approximately aged 26 to 35 at 79% and those with $70,000 to $100,000 in total debt. Regardless of the outright amount of student debt, more than half of non-homeowners in each generation report that it's postponing their ability to buy. The survey, which only polled student debt holders current in their repayment, yielded responses from borrowers with varying amounts of debt from mostly a four year public or private college. Some 43% of those polled had between $10,001 and $40,000 in student debt, while 38% had $50,000 or more. The most common debt amount was $20,000 to $30,000. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that the survey findings bring to light the magnitude student debt is having on the housing market and the budget of even those financially able to make on-time payments. He pointed out that while obtaining a college degree increases the likelihood of stable employment and earning enough to buy a home, many graduating with this debt are putting home ownership on the backburner in part because of the multiple years it takes to pay off their student loans at an interest rate that's oftentimes nearly double current mortgage rates. ‘A majority of non-home owners in the survey earning over $50,000 a year, which is above the median US qualifying income needed to buy a single family home, reported that student debt is hurting their ability to save for a down payment,’ he said. ‘Along with rent, a car payment and other large monthly expenses that can squeeze a household's budget, paying a few hundred dollars every month on a student loan equates to thousands of dollars over several years that could otherwise go towards saving for a home purchase,’ he added. Among non-homeowners who believe student debt is delaying their ability to buy, over three quarters, including over 80% of millennials, said their delay is because they can't save for a down payment. Additionally, 69% don't feel financially secure enough to buy, and 63% can't qualify for a mortgage because of high debt to income ratios. Some 52% of those polled expect to be… Continue reading
Debt is not holding back graduates in the US buying a home, new research shows
Having a lot of student debt doesn't greatly reduce young people's chances of home ownership in the United States, as long as they graduate, a new analysis has found. The findings challenge a popular concern that giant student loan payments are holding back people from home ownership. As it turns out, graduates' debt loads don't materially hurt their chances of buying a home, especially if they get at least a four year degree. Overall student debt has only a small negative effect on the odds of home ownership for a person with a bachelor's degree or higher, according to the research from real estate firm Zillow. The chances of a married couple with no student debt owning a home are about 69.8% if at least one of them has a bachelor's degree. If the same couple has $30,000 in student debt, their homeownership chances drop slightly, to 67.7%. ‘The income advantage of getting a degree pays off in terms of being able to buy a home in the long run. Student debt isn't the evil-doer it's made out to be, at least not when it comes to homeownership,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘As long as students stay in school and get a degree, student debt doesn't deter them from homeownership, although it is possible that student debt could delay home ownership. People in their 20s and 30s are renting longer because they're delaying marriage, paying a lot in rent, and struggling to qualify for a mortgage when they finally find an affordable home. Add to that list that they are paying off student debt,’ she explained. The research also found that the least likely to own homes are people who have student debt, but no degree. In fact, a couple who borrowed more than$30,000 for school but never graduated has a less than 40 percent chance of home ownership. Graduates with advanced degrees are the most likely to own a home, even if they racked up a lot of student debt. For example, if a couple owes $50,000 in student loans, but one of them has a master's degree, they have a 75% chance of home ownership. A similar household with just $10,000 in loans and only a bachelor's degree has just a 69% chance of home ownership. Student debt has the greatest impact on the home ownership rate of people with two year associate's degrees. A couple with AA degrees and no debt has a 70% chance of owning their home. That declines significantly as debt grows. If the same couple has $50,000 in student debt, they own their home only 57% of the time. Getting an associate's degree improves chances of home ownership until a person has borrowed $70,000. After that, their chances of home ownership would have been better without a degree and no student loan debt. Getting a bachelor's, master's or doctorate degree, regardless of debt, increases the chances that people will… Continue reading
Farm Bill 2013: Is This Big Agriculture’s Last Gasp?
Sean McElwee in Politics Farm Bill 2013: Is This Big Agriculture’s Last Gasp? The farm bill’s original failure to pass Congress ( it has since been approved by the House without food-stamp aid ) has largely been viewed in light of immigration reform and congressional dysfunction, but it also underlies another specter: the weakening farm lobby. Since our nation’s founding, farmers (originally slave-owners) have had an unequal voice. The Senate, for instance, is made up of two representatives from every state, no matter how large or small. The Electoral College was designed to give small states a voice, and with the development of primaries, farm states like Iowa have become more and more important. Even Republicans, the so-called party against government waste, have traditionally been afraid to touch farm subsidies (just food stamps!). Since Reagan, the Republican Party has been the party of wealth. Reagan happily doled out tax cuts along with spending cuts, but suspiciously, the tax cuts only went to rich people and the spending cuts only hurt poor people. Similarly, Bush’s tax cuts for the rich turned a projected $5 trillion surplus to a $5 trillion deficit, which Republicans like Paul Ryan argue should be paid for by, you guessed it: cutting Medicaid. So here’s a quiz. If the farm bill contains huge subsidies for rich farmers (like Bon Jovi) and food stamps to protect poor people, which half will the Republicans cut? Answer: One of the most effective anti-poverty programs in history. Seriously. Now that I’m done trolling the PolicyMic conservatives, let’s address the real meat of the story here — the farm lobby. The failure of the farm bill indicates that the great hydra agriculture lobby may have only a few ugly heads left to rear. What’s the problem with the farm lobby? Don’t farmers need representation too? Don’t farm subsidies help keep the food market stable? Yes and yes. But, American farm policy may be one of the most incoherently developed and rigidly path-dependent systems in the world. P.J. O’Rourke once noted, “Farm policy can be explained. What it can’t be is believed.” Many of us don’t remember when farming was a killer lobby, able to fight off any representative who questioned the billions funnelled to them. In a supposedly “free-market” country, our ag policy is run like Russia during central planning. Huge tariffs protect the American sugar manufactures from Brazilian competition, to the tune of $3.5 billion a year. That also drives up the demand for high-fructose corn syrup, giving us something to do with the corn we massively overproduce . The big story for the farm bill is that the U.S. government is trimming direct payments and replacing them with an expanded crop insurance program. Crop insurance protects farmers from dramatic drops in the price of crops, but the premiums rarely add up to the payouts. Last year, the crop insurance program paid out $17 billion, three-quarters of which was paid for by Uncle Sam. As any economist knows, such programs (private gain with public risk) encourage moral hazard, and the result is that farmers have taken more risk “by farming on flood plains or steep hills.” The crop insurance program overwhelmingly helps wealthier farmers, but that fact that the lobby couldn’t keep direct payments indicates a level of atrophy. There are other indications of the weakening farm lobby. For instance, last year, the U.S. was hit by its worst drought in 50 years, which was likely exacerbated by climate change . Farmers’ groups sought a bill that would provide relief, but while the bill made it out of committee, it was never brought to a vote on the House floor . Of course, the grand narrative of the bill (i.e. that the Republicans in the House are insane) is also accurate. They’re clearly crazy-level congresso-terrorists, something data showed us long ago and that other conservatives have been hammering them for. The chaos surrounding the farm bill is certainly a reminder that this is the most polarized Congress in a long time , and a harbinger of more inaction (immigration, student loans, tax reform). But it’s also a reminder that while we consume more food, few, if any of us remain attached to nature and very few of us farm. It’s an indication that what used to be a broadly bipartisan issue has now become an area for savage political fighting . That will have increasing political implications in the years to come. Picture Credit: ThinkProgress Continue reading
