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UK property prices up in August despite Brexit worries
House prices in the UK increased by 0.6% in August and are now 5.6% above a year ago, according to the latest index figures to be published. This continued growth takes the average price of a home to £206,145, the data from the Nationwide shows, indicating that an expected fall due to Brexit has not yet materialised. The pick up in price growth is somewhat at odds with signs that housing market activity has slowed in recent months, according to Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, saying that this includes a softening of new buyer enquiries to the introduction of additional stamp duty on second homes in April and the uncertainty surrounding the EU referendum. Meanwhile, the number of mortgages approved for house purchase fell to an 18 month low in July. ‘However, the decline in demand appears to have been matched by weakness on the supply side of the market. Surveyors report that instructions to sell have also declined and the stock of properties on the market remains close to 30 year lows,’ Gardner explained. ‘This helps to explain why the pace of house price growth has remained broadly stable. What happens next on the demand side will be determined, to a large extent, by the outlook for the labour market and confidence amongst prospective buyers,’ he pointed out. He believes that it is encouraging that the unemployment rate remained at a 10 year low in the three months to June, though labour market trends tend to lag developments in the wider economy and it is also positive that retail sales increased at a healthy rate in July, up almost 6% compared to the previous year, even though consumer confidence fell sharply during the month. ‘However, business surveys suggest that the manufacturing, services and construction sectors all slowed sharply in July, and, if sustained, this is likely to have a negative impact on the labour market and household confidence,’ he said. ‘Most forecasters, including the Bank of England, expect the economy to show little growth over the remainder of the year. Indeed, these concerns prompted the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to implement a range of stimulus measures at the start of August, which will provide support to economic activity and the housing market. Monetary policy measures will provide some support for households and the housing market,’ Gardner commented. ‘The MPC’s decision to lower UK interest rates from 0.5% to a new low of 0.25% will provide an immediate benefit to many mortgage borrowers, though for most the boost will be fairly modest. The MPC’s stimulus measures will also provide indirect support to the housing market, and not just by boosting wider economic activity,’ he added. According to Nicholas Finn, executive director of Garrington Property Finders, the data reveals a property market that is still unsettled rather than upbeat. ‘On the front line we’re seeing some strong intent but a lack of clarity among buyers. The cut in interest rates and resilient… Continue reading
Demand for rental properties in UK down slightly in July but no marked Brexit effect
The number of rental properties on letting agents’ books in the UK is at its highest level this year so far as demand for properties fell marginally in July, according to the latest research. But the private rental sector market is in positive shape following the decision in June to leave the European Union with the majority of agents reporting no change to rent prices. The July rental sector report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) shows that there were 184 rental properties on agents’ books, up 5% from the previous month. However, year on year supply is down as there were 189 properties per agent in July 2015, some 3% higher than July this year. Demand from prospective tenants for rental accommodation fell slightly, from 37 house hunters per branch in June, to 36 in July. Following the Brexit vote some 71% of agents witnessed no change in rents and 62% saw no movement in supply while 61% recorded no change in demand. As in June, last month 38% of letting agents saw no sign of a market wobble following Brexit. Where there is uncertainty though, it comes from those looking to let properties, with 44% of agents reporting signs of uncertainty from landlords ‘Despite reports that the housing market is spiralling out of control post-Brexit, our results paint a very different picture, and indicate that the future is bright for the rental market,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘Supply is up, as we’d expect at this time of year, and the number of tenants experiencing rent hikes hasn’t changed in three months. While we obviously need new houses to balance the growing gap between supply and demand, what’s positive is that the situation isn’t worsening as a direct result of June’s Brexit result,’ he added. Continue reading
More UK home owners remortgaged in July due to falling rates
Home owners who remortgaged their properties in July lost no time in taking advantage of falling mortgage rates following the UK’s decision to exit the European Union (EU), a new report shows. Some 63% of remortgagers lowered their mortgage rates last month, up by 7% from May and 43% acted to reduce monthly payments as cheaper deals appeared on the market in the wake of the Brexit vote, according to data from LMS. With the exception of two-year variable products at 75% loan to value (LTV), Bank of England data shows average mortgage rates were lower across the board in July than was the case in May before the EU referendum took place with many falling to record lows. The rate cuts meant that more home owners who remortgaged to reduce their payments enjoyed substantial savings. Just 28% of those who took this course of action in May saved £200 or more each month from their new deal. In comparison, 35% who remortgaged to reduce their payments in July reported a monthly saving of £200 or more. The report says that the appetite for securing lower rates and reducing monthly payments in July came despite growing speculation of a base rate cut from the Bank of England, which ultimately occurred in August. For the first time since tracking began in December 2014, LMS data shows that there were higher expectations of rates falling than rising in July. Among the 13% of remortgagers who expected rates would change in July 59% expected rates would fall compared with just 18% who felt this way in May and 29% in June, when the EU vote took place. Despite widespread speculation over the economic impact of the UK’s vote to leave, the July data from LMS also shows little sign of a drop in consumer confidence in the remortgage market. The percentage of remortgagers increasing the size of their loan rose from 26% in May to 28% in July, while the percentage increasing their loan by more than £10,000 was unchanged from May at 19%. Similarly, the percentage remortgaging to pay for home improvements increased slightly from 19% in May to 21% in July, while there was a two percentage point increase in those remortgaging to pay off other debts from 7% to 9%, potentially in a bid to stabilise their finances in the face of an uncertain economic environment. ‘The aftermath of the vote to leave the European Union has seen many mortgage rates tumble to record lows, a fact that has not been lost by home owners as many seek to take advantage of low rates. July’s figures show many people were keen to press ahead with plans to remortgage, regardless of growing speculation that a base rate cut might be on the cards,’ said Andy Knee, chief executive of LMS. ‘The Bank of England’s reduction of the 0.5% base rate to 0.25%… Continue reading
