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More homes selling in Australia for over $1 million

Fewer lower prices houses are being sold in Australia with the residential property market seeing more the number of $1 million plus home sales soaring. Over the 12 months to June 2016 some 14% of all house sales and 7.3% of all unit sales were at a price of at least $1 million, according to the data from real estate firm Corelogic. To put these figures into perspective, just five years ago 7.5% of all house sales and 4% of all unit sales were within this price range. Capital cities have predictably seen a much higher proportion of sales of at least $1 million over the past year. Across all house sales, more than one in five sales, 20.9%, were for at least $1 million compared to 8.9% of all unit sales. In the regional areas of the country housing sales prices are typically lower than they are in capital cities, the report points out, while also showing that the difference between the proportion of house and unit sales of at least $1 million is much narrower. In regional areas that units are only located in larger regional markets and often are positioned in relatively expensive in waterfront locations. The historical data shows that often the proportion of unit sales at or above $1 million has been above that for houses and over the past year, 3.3% of all regional house sales and 3% of all unit sales were at least $1 million. Over the past 10 years in particular there has been a substantial rise in the proportion of sales of at least $1 million. In Sydney over the past year more than two out of every five house sales was at least $1 million and in Melbourne it was one in five. Sydney had a higher proportion of total unit sales of at least $1 million than the proportion of house sales at that price point in each city except for Melbourne. The report also points out that as the supply of affordable homes selling has declined significantly over recent years, an increasing proportion of stock is selling for a seven figure sum. It adds that demand for premium housing and within the most expensive areas of the country remains buoyant which suggests that over the coming year the proportion of sales at a price point of at least $1 million will continue to rise. Continue reading

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Property prices in Scotland down slightly in run up to Brexit, but up 4% year on year

Residential property prices in Scotland increased by 4% year on year in June but fell by 0.4% month on month, according to the latest data to be published. Overall prices flattened slightly in the run up to the European Union referendum with the first monthly decline since February but it was still the largest annual growth rate since May 2015, says the Your Move Acadata index. While monthly house prices were down compared to May, the average price of property was £170,404 in June, still 0.97% higher compared to the start of the year. A breakdown of the figures shows that a number of areas did not see prices fall in June, most notable Aberdeen where a fall in oil prices have hit the city hard in recent months, but it saw prices rise by 1.6% month on month. Prices increased month on month by 3.8% in Glasgow, by 2.8% in East Dunbartonshire, by 2.5% in Stirling, by 2% in Shetland, by 1% in Moray, by 1.3% in South Lanarkshire, by 1.2% in North Lanarkshire, by 0.5% in Argyll and Bute, by 0.4% in West Dunbartonshire, by 0.2% in Renfrewshire, the Borders and East Ayrshire, by 0.1% in South Ayrshire and North Ayrshire and were unchanged in Edinburgh. Prices fell by 6.4% in Inverclyde, by 5.9% in Fife, by 5% in Perth and Kinross, by 3.9% in East Lothian, by 3.5% in Dumfries and Galloway, by 3.3% in Orkney, by 3% in West Lothian, by 2.4% in Dundee, by 2.4% in Clackmannanshire, by 2.3% in East Renfrewshire, by 1.8% in Midlothian, by 1.3% in Aberdeenshire and by 0.1% in Falkirk. Christine Campbell, Your Move managing director in Scotland, pointed out that the data covers the period up to the end of June, so any impact from Brexit is not yet reflected in the figures. ‘What we can see is that the underlying fundamentals of the market remain strong. We’re benefitting from record low mortgage rates, high employment levels, and high demand for property. Following April’s introduction of the 3% tax increase on second homes, house prices and transaction figures remain arguably skewed in the second quarter of this year, as buyers pushed to complete before the surcharge came into effect,’ she said. She also explained that June was the first month that the spike in house prices as a result of the 2015 LBTT changes dropped out of the annual figures. ‘This previous distortion in property prices goes some way to explaining the seemingly significant annual price increase we saw this June,’ she commented. ‘Whilst market sentiment remains strong, with continued demand from both buyers and sellers, it will be interesting to watch how potential Brexit implications play into transaction and price figures over the coming months,’ she added. ‘Long term, the outlook for the housing market looks favourable. However, with housing demand continuing to vastly outstrip supply, it is important that we see a concerted focus on building new property to ensure there are… Continue reading

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Negative equity rates down in the US but still affecting one in 10 owners

Negative equity is still affecting more than one in 10 home owners in the United States five years after the nation’s housing market recovery began, new research shows. Home owners who owe more than their homes are worth are nearly equally dispersed among urban and suburban communities in most metros across the country, says the latest report from real estate firm Zillow. But the numbers are falling. Nationally, some 12.1% of mortgaged home owners were underwater in the second quarter of 2016, down from 12.7% in the first three months of the year and below the 14.4% recorded a year ago. A breakdown of the figures show that 13.7% of owners in urban regions are underwater and 11.2% of those in suburban regions while Cleveland and Detroit have the greatest difference between urban and suburban negative equity rates. After the housing bubble burst, nearly a third of home owners in the United States were underwater on their mortgages. As the market recovered, many home owners have gained back the lost value on their homes, freeing them to sell or refinance. In most areas of the country, negative equity is nearly equally spread across urban and suburban areas. In 13 of the nation's largest metros, the share of urban and suburban homeowners who are underwater is within two percentage points. But some metros are seeing notable gaps in the share of underwater homeowners between urban and suburban areas. Cleveland and Detroit have the biggest difference between negative equity rates in urban and suburban neighbourhoods at 13.6% and 10.8% respectively. In these metros, home values in the main urban centres are trailing behind the overall region's recovery, and are still well off from their peak levels. By contrast, negative equity is equally common among urban and suburban areas in the Seattle area, where a more balanced recovery and strong economic growth have led to home values near or exceeding their bubble peak levels in urban and suburban areas alike. ‘At its worst, negative equity touched all kinds of home owners in all kinds of markets. The type of community a given home was in, urban or suburban, mattered little. Fast forward a few years, and the relative vibrancy of a given community and how it has performed over the past few years, and not necessarily its location in the city or suburbs, matters a great deal,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. For the first time, all of the largest markets in the country now have negative equity rates below 20% and the data shows that Western metros with strong job and housing markets have the lowest rates of negative equity. Less than 5% of mortgaged home owners in San Jose, San Francisco, Portland, Denver, and Dallas are underwater. Continue reading

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