Tag Archives: irish
Annual property rental values in prime central London fell last month
Annual rental value growth in the prime central London residential property market eased to 0.7% in December on the back of falling demand in the financial services sector. Rental values fell 0.4% from November, taking the annual rate of growth to its lowest level since July 2014, according to the latest analysis report from real estate firm Knight Frank. However, Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank, explained that there is also an element of seasonality and a quarterly drop of 1.1% in the last three months of the year was the weakest since December 2014 and repeats a pattern of previous years. Rental value growth peaked in May this year at 4.2% and the subsequent decline has resulted in prime gross rental yields dipping from 2.96% to 2.93% over the same period, the report says and demand has fallen over the last six months as a number of banks have implemented restructuring plans. ‘European banks in particular have been slower to cut jobs than their US counterparts following the financial crisis. Profitability has fallen due to new regulations that force banks to hold more capital, which has contributed to job cuts at European banks that have been in excess of 100,000 in recent months,’ said Bill. ‘As well as the macroeconomic backdrop, including uncertainty over China and falling commodity prices, the situation is compounded by the fact many large European banks have new chief executives, who typically take a more radical approach to cost savings in the early stages of their tenure,’ he pointed out. ‘The result is that optimism at financial services companies fell markedly in the third quarter of this year across a range of sectors. However, there have been signs of stronger demand from boutique financial services companies like private equity businesses and hedge funds as clarity emerges surrounding the level of 2016 bonus packages,’ he added. The report also says that demand at the super prime level of £5,000 plus per week remains strong as uncertainty continues to surround taxation and price growth in the higher price brackets of the sales market. ‘Equally, demand remains strong in lower price brackets among workers of all professions, bolstered by the strength of the UK’s economic recovery,’ Bill said. Continue reading
Emerging prime market in London has a quiet 12 months
Property prices in South West London were down 0.5% in the third quarter of 2015, compared to last quarter and by 1.08% compared to the same period last year, new data shows. The Emerging Prime Index from Douglas & Gordon also shows that larger houses priced over £2 million experienced a plateau as the market continued to digest stamp duty rises from the end of last year. However, properties priced below £900,000, which benefitted from price rises due to stamp duty changes, showed signs of slowing following a firm first half of the year but remained robust overall. The index report says that buyer expectations around interest rate rises caused greater price sensitivity, which also impacted the market. However in some areas where houses were priced under £2million, for example between the commons in Battersea, a 10% price reduction in certain instances ended the stand-off between buyers and sellers and generated more offers. Meanwhile the emerging prime rental market in saw a mixed performance in the third quarter. Flats remained in demand, but there were pockets of extreme weakness in the market for houses. The report explains that as corporate budgets remain tight, some companies have stopped relocating employees and their families. This slowdown in house sales has had a knock on effect on rentals, which are in demand while the buying and selling process takes place. According to Ed Mead, the firm’s executive director, London’s emerging prime market has had a quiet 12 months driven by the ongoing impact of stamp duty changes on larger properties and expectations around interest rate rises. ‘However it is our view that the current slowdown will settle as emerging prime remains an attractive offer to foreign buyers. The current global economic instability reinforces our prediction that interest rates will remain at today’s levels for the foreseeable future,’ he said. ‘It’s interesting to see the rental market for houses seriously weaken as corporate budgets continue to be squeezed and French families in particular are noticeable by their absence. It gives rise to the question whether 30 something professional sharers could be the future given a changing demographic,’ he added. Continue reading
Irish property prices continue to see sustained growth
Property prices in Ireland increased nationwide by 2.3% in August and are up 9.5% compared to a year ago, the latest official data shows. In Dublin property prices rose by 2.8% in August and were 8.2% higher than in August 2014. A breakdown shows that house prices are rising faster than apartments at 3% and 0.3% respectively. However, the index report from the Central Statistics Office says that it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. In the rest of Ireland, excluding Dublin, prices rose by 1.9% in August and were up 10.8% compared with August 2014. This means that at a national level residential property prices were 35.4% lower than their peak level in 2007 and excluding Dublin residential prices were 38.7% lower than their highest level in 2007. In Dublin house prices were 34.4% lower than the peak, apartment prices 40.4% lower and Dublin residential property prices overall 36.2% lower than their highest level. However, there are concerns that house prices are growing too fast. The Irish economy grew by a Eurozone record of 7.2% in the second quarter and according to the Organisation for Economic Development and Coordination (OECD) is set to grow by 5% overall in 2015 and 4% in 2016. But the OECD is concerned that rapidly rising house prices still pose one of the biggest risks to financial stability and an uncontrolled property boom would ‘increase vulnerabilities, especially if it were associated with further indebtedness’. Its latest review says that such strong price rises may again spark a reinforcing spiral of higher property prices and credit leading to another misalignment of property prices and eventual burst that causes large losses in the banking sector. ‘To avoid repeating past mistakes, now is the time to build resilience against future nasty surprises while ensuring the recovery is sustained, and its benefits broadly shared,’ said Angel Gurría, secretary general of the OECD. The OECD suggested that the Irish government should take measures to cool the market, such as avoiding subsiding first time buyers and encouraging growth in the rental market. Continue reading
