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UK first time buyer market saw seasonal slowdown at end of 2015
First time buyer activity in the UK saw a seasonal slowdown at the end of 2015 despite price for this type of buyer falling, the latest property index shows. First time buyer numbers fell in December by 1,300 on a monthly basis, down 4.7%, as the traditional slowdown hit the UK property market but over the course of 2015, the longer term outlook remains healthy for first time buyers, with numbers up by 1.1% between December 2014 and December 2015. The data from the Your Move and Reed Rains first time buyer tracker report also shows that first time buyers find cheaper homes with smaller deposits and secure more affordable mortgages. Also, the average mortgage rate remains at a rock bottom level, with lenders buoyed by recent news that the Bank of England does not intend to raise interest rates for the foreseeable future. According to Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains, first time buyers have been buoyed by a positive economic climate and a range of Government incentives such as the reduction of Stamp Duty on lower priced properties, designed to lessen at least the immediate costs of home ownership. ‘They increasingly came into their stride as 2015 has progressed. Some of the credit for this revival in activity should also go to first time buyers themselves. Over the course of the year they have toughened up their act and sought to get the best property they can at the best price and it’s a skill that will serve this group well as they head into 2016,’ said Gill. The cost of an average first time buyer home fell on a monthly basis in December from £153,275 to £152,470, a drop of 0.5%. However, over the course of the year, the average purchase price rose by 3.8%, representing an increase of £5,518 between December 2014 and December 2015. In addition, December saw a dip in the costs of getting on the property ladder. The average deposit put down by a first time buyer in December fell by 0.5% month on month to £25,292. This is indicative of a broader trend of deposit costs falling over the course of the year, with the average cost of a deposit dropping by £2,151 or 7.8% between December 2014 and December 2015. The decline in the burden of the average deposit on a first time buyer is reflected by the fact the proportion of an average first-time buyer’s income that is eaten up by the deposit fell from 64.6% in November to 64.3% in December. Between December 2014 and December 2015 the proportion fell by 6.8%. First time buyers in December also benefitted from a reduction in the regular burden placed on their finances by mortgage repayments. In November 19.3% of a first time buyer’s average income was consumed by monthly mortgage payments, by December this had fallen to 19%, the second lowest figure on record. Meanwhile, the average loan to… Continue reading
Over a quarter of sales fell through in the UK in last few months of 2015
The house sale fall through rate in the UK increased in the last quarter of 2015, with more than one in four house sales falling through, new research has found. There was a house sale fall through rate of 27.94% in the fourth quarter of 2015, a rise 8.32% from the previous quarter, according to the figures from independent home buyer Quick Move Now. However, the year to date fall through rate remained fairly constant throughout 2015, at around 29% and finished the year at 29.26%. According to Danny Luke, business manager at Quick Move Now, it was an interesting year for the UK property market, and the fall through rates reflect that. ‘Tougher lending criteria was introduced as a result of the Mortgage Market Review (MMR), which meant some prospective buyers found it challenging to secure a mortgage, or found they were able to borrow less than they had anticipated,’ he said. He pointed out that some 9% of sales that fell through did so as a result of not being able to secure a mortgage and the two biggest reasons for house sales falling through the last quarter were buyers changing their mind at 27.2% and problems identified at survey or failed renegotiation following a survey also at 27.2%. ‘A lack of properties coming to market has led to prospective buyers having to move very quickly in order to secure a property, and may mean they put an offer in on a less than ideal property through fear that they'll be unable to find anything else. Some inevitably get cold feet about such a large investment, or find that a survey confirms their fears, and pull out before the sale completes,’ explained Luke. The research also found that chain collapse still featured prominently with 22.7% of property sales falling through as a result of chain issues, and it's definitely an issue very much on sellers' minds. ‘We get calls every day from sellers keen to secure a guaranteed sale so they don't risk missing out on their onward purchase due to chain collapse,’ added Luke. Other reasons involved the seller pulling out for a higher offer, affecting 9% of cases and buyer health issues or personal problems accounted for 4.5%. Continue reading
Stamp duty levels to continue to affect prime central London property market
The prime central London property market has seen a year of two halves but uncertainty over stamp duty levels is set to continue to affect the upper part of the sector in 2016, new research suggests. Just over a year the prime market was hit by increased stamp duty on properties worth more than £1.1 million and now this year extra duty of 3% is to be levied on buy to let investors and second home owners. The latest report from real estate firm Knight Frank explains that while the new measure is an attempt to address concerns surrounding affordability and house price inflation, it raises fresh questions over the dampening effect on tax revenues just as buyers and sellers in prime London were showing tentative signs of absorbing the previous increase. ‘Transactions and revenue have declined across London in the period following the December 2014 increase. It highlights concerns over the financially viability of the stamp duty reform, which had the welcome aim of increasing liquidity and affordability below £1 million but runs the risk of becoming a counterproductive deterrent above that level,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research. Meanwhile, the sub-£2 million market outperformed the rest of prime London in the second half of 2015, continuing a trend of recent years. In particular, properties worth less than £1 million have grown by more than any other price bracket. Bill explained that the highest growth has largely been outside the higher price brackets of prime areas of central London over the last 20 years. The Knight Frank analysis report highlights the markets where price growth was strongest during each year since the first quarter of 1995 and on a journey that began in Lambeth Walk and ends in Turnpike Lane, £50,000 would have become £1.18 million after stamp duty and moving fees are taken into account, representing a rise of 2,264%. The theoretical journey began in south London before moving further east to areas like Barking and Dagenham in the early 2000s as east London matured as a residential market. It then moved to prime central London in the run-up to and immediate aftermath of the financial crisis, including Marylebone, Belgravia and Fulham. Finally, as price growth pushed outwards from central London as the UK economic recovery consolidated after 2013 the strongest growth was found in the north London markets of Walthamstow and Turnpike Lane. Continue reading