Tag Archives: finance-update
Number of first time buyers in UK up by 10% in first half of 2016
The number of first time buyers in the UK increased by an estimated 10% in the first six months of 2016 compared with the same period in 2015, according to new research. Overall there were an estimated 154,200 first time buyers in the first half of 2016 compared with 140,500 in the same period last year, the data from the Halifax first time buyer review shows, more than double the market low in the first half of 2009. For the same six month period since 2012, the number entering the housing market has exceeded 100,000. However the number of first time buyer in the first half of 2016 was nearly a fifth lower, 36,700, than at the peak of the last boom in 2006. The report also shows that the number of first time buyers has increased more rapidly than the number of home movers over the past few years as a whole. As a result first time buyers have increased as a proportion of all mortgage financed house purchasers from 38% in 2011 to an estimated 47% in 2016. However, the percentage has been stable over the past three years as the numbers of first time buyers and home movers have risen at a similar pace since 2014. The average first time buyer deposit in May 2016 was £33,960, more than double that in 2007 when it was £16,400 and the report points out that there has been a 14% rise in the deposit over the past year largely reflecting the increase in house prices over that period. The 10 least affordable Local Authority Districts (LADs) for first time buyers are all in London. The least affordable is Brent where the average first time buyer property price of £457,014 is 12.5 times gross average annual earnings in the area. East Dunbartonshire in Scotland is the most affordable LAD in the UK with an average property price of £97,089, some 2.6 times local annual average gross earnings. Copeland in the North West is the next most affordable and five of the 10 most affordable LADs for first time buyers are in Scotland. ‘There was a further increase in the number of first time buyers in the first half of the year with the total exceeding 100,000 in the first six months of each year since 2012. This rise has been broadly in line with a general improvement in market activity and is likely to have been helped by government measures including the Help to Buy scheme,’ said Chris Gowland, mortgages director at the Halifax. ‘Although numbers remain below their previous peaks and many potential first time buyers are facing escalating house prices and deposit sizes, record low mortgage rates continue to make buying seem a more attractive option than renting,’ he added. The research also shows that the average price paid by first time buyers increased by 12% over the past year from £178,399 to £199,414. Regionally, the average price paid by first time… Continue reading
Brexit hits UK commercial property market sentiment
Sentiment in the UK’s commercial property market has dampened significantly since the referendum vote to leave the European Union with investment demand falling sharply, most notably in London. The heightened sense of caution is visible across both investment and occupier sides of the market, with uncertainty pushing rental and capital value projections into negative territory, according to the latest commercial property market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. It shows that and increasing share of respondents across the UK now feel the market is in an early downturn phase and the 12 month capital value and rental projections have now moved into negative territory. On a UK wide basis, occupier demand failed to rise for the first time since 2012. The headline net balance fell from +21% previously to a reading of zero in the second quarter of the year. Declines were reported in the office and retail areas of the market but demand proved somewhat more resilient across the industrial sector. The regional breakdown shows the occupier demand gauge moderated across all parts of the country, although the shift was most noticeable in London. Alongside this, availability remains constricted, with the supply of leasable space more or less unchanged in the office and retail sectors during the second quarter, while industrial availability continued to decline. Worries over a potential hit to business confidence, caused by political and economic uncertainty, appear to be reflected in respondents’ rental outlook. This is especially the case over the shorter term. Indeed, the headline three month rent expectations net balance dropped from +26% to -7% in the second quarter. The office and retail sectors experienced the steepest decline, with the reading for both now comfortably in negative territory. In the industrial sector, although the net balance softened notably, it remains positive given the very tight supply and demand conditions. When the results are disaggregated, the rental outlook is most negative in London. Over the next 12 months, rents are projected to fall by around 3% at the all-sector level. Within this, rents across the secondary retail sub market are expected to come under the most significant downward pressure. The survey report points out that the weakness in demand is perhaps even more visible on the investment side of the market. During the second quarter the investment enquiries series fell sharply, posting a net balance of -16%, down from +25% in the first quarter of the year. What’s more, all traditional sectors covered in the survey experienced a drop-off in investor interest. Foreign investor demand declined at an even greater rate, as the net balance fell to -27%. While respondents in virtually all parts of the UK noted a decline in overall investment enquiries, the trend was again most pronounced in London. In fact, at -41%, the investment enquiries gauge for the capital was the weakest since 2009. Back at the UK wide level and, despite a softening demand backdrop, the supply of… Continue reading
Auckland residential rents up 5% year on year
Higher Auckland house prices are not flowing through directly into the rental market, with the city’s average weekly rents seeing year on year increases of around 5%. Rents continue to increase by approximately 5% year on year with the average weekly rent for a three bedroom Auckland home now $514, according to the latest report from Barfoot and Thompson. Suburb pricing trends continue but Mt Albert, Parnell and Sandringham break the mould with year on year increases of over 11, the data also shows. The average weekly rent for a three bedroom home in Auckland during the April to June quarter was $514, up less than 1% on last quarter and 4.8% on the same quarter in 2015. ‘Three bedroom rentals make up around 40% of our managed properties, making them a good measure of the market,’ said Barfoot and Thompson director Kiri Barfoot. ‘Other property categories generally follow the same trend, albeit at lower or higher price points depending on the number of bedrooms,’ she added. A breakdown of the figures show that one bedroom properties averaged $335 per week, up 5% from $319 in the April to June quarter 2015, and two bedrooms $428, up 6.2% from $403, while four bedroom homes were $648, up 4.2% from $622 and five plus bedroom homes averaged $801, up 4.8% from $764. Pricing trends continued across the suburbs as well, with the Central Auckland apartment market remaining the most expensive for smaller properties of one, two or three bedrooms, and the Eastern suburbs maintaining position as the most expensive for four or more bedrooms. ‘Outside the city apartment market, it continued to be a story of two halves for Auckland's North and South this quarter too,’ Barfoot pointed out. South Auckland rental properties saw the greatest percentage increase year on year for the quarter of 6.8%, while North Shore rental prices experienced the least percentage increase, not including Central Auckland, only rising 3.7 %. Looking more closely at rental data from the first two quarters of this year compared to the last two quarters of 2015 three suburbs broke the mould with three bedroom rental averages increasing 11% or more. These were Mt Albert up 14.7%, Parnell up 11.7% and Sandringham up 11.6%. ‘These areas are centrally located but still offer the benefits of suburban living, making them popular choices. These areas are fast becoming popular as the new central suburbs, the next Ponsonby and Grey Lynns if you will, and our data suggests continued future growth particularly for Mt Albert and Sandringham,’ Barfoot explained. The company anticipates a pre-spring upswing in rental activity during the coming quarter, when they typically see a slight increase in new letting. ‘While not as pronounced as summer spikes, we often find a number of tenants are eager to move on from properties during the cold winter months and as we head into spring,’ said Barfoot. ‘It's therefore a good time to remind landlords to keep on top of winter maintenance and look… Continue reading
