Tag Archives: finance-update

Auckland house market shows unmistakable signs of slowing

For the first time in five years the housing market in Auckland, New Zealand’s largest urban area, is showing signs that prices are stabilising, and may even be slowing. The average price in July was $867,681, a fall of 4.5% from the previous month and 2% below the average price for the previous three months, according to the latest data from Barfoot & Thompson. The trend is not as evident in the median price, which at $840,000 was the same as in June, and 2.1% higher than the median price for the previous three months. ‘There has been a definite change in the market in the last month. The winter months, school holidays and a slowing in the number of new listings all contributed to the slowdown in July, but buyer determination to pay whatever is necessary to achieve a property was tempered,’ said Wendy Alexander, chief executive officer of Barfoot & Thompson. ‘Buyers remain prepared to pay a fair price, and under the hammer sales at auctions of 70% were still high, but sales activity is slower than it was at the same time last year. In the three months May to July this year we sold 3,508 properties. In the same period last year we sold 3780, a 7.8% difference,’ she explained. She pointed out that the year on year increase in prices is still occurring, but at a much slower rate than in the past four years. The average price has increased by 5.3% over the past seven months compared to 2015’s full year average price increase of 14%. Meanwhile, the median price increase over the past seven months has been 6% compared to 17.4% for 2015. ‘Whether price increases will continue in the remaining months of the year is unclear. Normally, prices rise as we enter the spring/summer months, but the Reserve Bank’s new regulations affecting investors will start to have an impact from August,’ said Alexander. The data also shows that in July Barfoot & Thompson sold 1,034 properties, down 11.5% on the number in June and down 25.5% on those for the same month last year. New listings at 1,426 were down 19.4% on those in June and down 19.6% for those in July last year. At end of the month the firm had 3,012 properties on its books, some 2.6% higher than in June and 7.5% higher than in July last year. During July the firm sold 383 properties, or 37% of all sales, for more than $1 million and sold 94 properties, or 9.1% of sales, for under $500,000. Continue reading

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Research shows Olympic legacy has boosted house prices in east London

As the Rio 2016 Olympic Games get underway new research shows how house prices closest to the 2012 Olympic Park have increased three times faster than the national market. Homes closest to Olympic Park have seen more than 50% added to their value with prices up by £3,522 per month since the London Games ended in 2012. The research from Lloyds bank also shows that the majority of areas close to the main site have recorded price growth in excess of £100,000 since September 2012. Average property prices in the 14 postal districts in East London closest to the Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park have risen from £286,638 in September 2012 at the close of the Paralympic Games to £438,065 in March 2016, an increase of 53% or £151,427, equivalent to a monthly rise of £3,522. This is more than three times the rate of increase seen in England and Wales and nationally property values grew on average by 17% over the same period from £234,947 to £275,872. Price performance in the 14 East London areas has also outpaced London as a whole. Since September 2012 the average price in the capital has grown by 32% to an average price of £557,359. In the four years since the last Olympic Games, the average price in all but one of the 14 areas has risen by over £100,000. In cash terms the largest rise was seen in Shoreditch, where the average property price has grown by £245,330, followed by Dalston at £203,113, Homerton at £197,737 and Bethnal Green at £178,893. East Ham recorded the lowest rise in prices, a relatively modest increase of £83,566 in four years. ‘The last Olympics Games, held in London, was a great event which captured the world’s attention for a few weeks in 2012, but the longer term benefits of the Games are still being felt today, particularly for home owners in the areas close to the Olympic Park who have seen property prices outperform both the national and London markets,’ said Nitesh Patel, Lloyds Bank housing economist. ‘Since the Games closed in September 2012, regeneration in this part of the capital has seen significantly improved transport connections and facilities, which have helped attract businesses and households to the area and in turn boosted local property values,’ Patel added. In the 11 years since the Games were awarded to London in July 2015, the average property price in the 14 postal districts in East London closest to the Olympic Park has grown from £206,398 to £438,065 in March 2016 an increase of 112% or £231,667, which is equivalent to a monthly increase of £1,796. They have also outperformed the increase in England and Wales in this timescale as nationally property values grew on average by 48% over the same period from £185,783 in July 2005 to £275,872 in March 2016. In the past year, house prices in the 14 areas closest to the Olympic Park rose by 15%, from £379,663 in March… Continue reading

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Scottish farmland values static in first half of 2016

The value of Scottish farmland remained virtually static in the first half of 2016, down just 0.2% to £4,357 per acre, according to the latest sector index. Year on year values are down 1.7% but up 26% over five years, up 169% over 10 years and up 174% over 20 years, the data from the Knight Frank Scottish Farmland Index shows. A breakdown of the figures show that good quality arable land remains at £9,046 per acre, while the price of permanent pasture fell fractionally to £2,719 per acre and overall despite prices holding up, there has been relatively little market activity in 2016. ‘There have been very few farms sold so far this year, and fewer than usual were launched around the time of the Royal Highland Show, which is the point the market here traditionally gets going,’ said Tom Stewart-Moore, head of Scottish farm sales at Knight Frank. ‘We are still talking to potential vendors who had just got to grips with the result of the recent reform of the Common Agricultural Policy and Land Reform, but until they get a better feel for what Brexit means for the Scottish agricultural industry they are wary of committing to a sale,’ he explained. ‘Combined with the continued slump in commodity values, many people were expecting a rush of farms to the market in 2016 and a subsequent drop in prices,’ he pointed out, adding that low interest rates mean there have been very few forced sales so far. He also pointed out that demand for good quality arable and livestock units is definitely outstripping supply and demand also remains strong for amenity and sporting estates. Knight Frank recently sold the 6,500 acre Kinnaird Estate in Perthshire for in excess of its £9.6 million guide price and an 8,000 acre stalking estate in Sutherland, which is due to launch soon, is expected to be another good test of the market. ‘Although Scotland did not vote for Brexit, the slide in the value of Sterling since the referendum makes land here better value than it was before the vote so I’m expecting more interest from overseas buyers,’ said Stewart-Moore. ‘Despite uncertainty in the economy, the value of the pound and volatility in the stockmarket, land is still seen as a very safe investment,’ he added. Continue reading

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