Tag Archives: coming
Panel Discusses Wood Biomass Sustainability, Coming Regulations
By Tim Portz | October 30, 2013 Nigel Burdett, head of environment at Drax Power, addresses the audience at the U.S. Industrial Pellet Association’s 3rd Annual Exporting Pellets conference. Tim Portz. . . Nigel Burdett, head of environment at Drax Power, kicked off a panel discussion at the U.S. Industrial Pellet Association’s 3rd annual Exporting Pellets Conference, by commenting on the role of sustainability in the transition from coal to wood pellets. “We need to be sustainable in order to capture the subsidy and make the business work,” he said. The panel focused on the sustainable attributes of renewable power produced via wood pellet combustion. The subsidies Burdett spoke of are Renewable Obligation Certificates (ROCs) issued by the U.K. Office of Gas and Electricity Markets. These ROCs are financial instruments that power generators can sell on the open market, boosting the economics of generating renewable energy. In September, the U.K. Department of Energy and Climate Change confirmed that biomass would play a significant role in the march toward the de-carbonization of the U.K. energy sector, but that biomass burned by its power generators must come from sustainable sources if those generators expect to receive ROCs. While final rulemaking has yet to be established by the DECC, power generators in the U.K., pellet suppliers in the North America and elsewhere, and the loggers and landowners that supply biomass to pellet facilities are all preparing for the coming legislation. They are also offering their perspective to policymakers on what they feel are realistic, yet adequately stringent, requirements. At the same time, a larger, more expansive effort is underway to frame up for the general public the vital role that biomass-derived power can, and should, play in driving geologic carbon out of the world’s energy mix. Geologic carbon, the carbon found in fossil fuels and sequestered there for millions of years, is released into the atmosphere when it is combusted for energy. Bob Malmsheimer, professor at the State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry, urged attendees to recognize the inherent differences between geologic carbon and biogenic carbon saying, “When we make products and energy from biogenic carbon instead of geologic carbon, we’ve done something positive for climate change.” Recognizing that the public is continually presented with different studies and models, he continued by stating, “While the timing aspect is debated, the long term benefit is not debatable.” Echoing Malmsheimer’s comments, and diving deeper into an explanation of the science as well as many of the reasons for widespread confusion about the issue, was Martin Junginger, assistant professor at the Copernicus Institute for Sustainability Development at the University of Utrecht. Junginger pointed out that many of the studies that industry critics use to question the sustainability of woody biomass are flawed because they investigate the carbon cycle at a stand level, as opposed to looking at the carbon cycle in the context of a broader forest ecosystem. “Scientists have realized that looking at the landscape of level is the most appropriate,” said Junginger. He explained that if 1 acre of land is converted into biomass feedstocks and burned, there is carbon released into the atmosphere certainly, but that the overall forest system was taking up more carbon as a whole than was being released during the combustion of a percentage of that biomass during energy generation. The panel concluded the discussion by driving home the point that the worst-case scenario for global forests were declining markets for forest products, including woody biomass for pellet production. Repeating an argument that is continually being made by the largest forest owner associations in North America, including the National Alliance of Forest Owners and the Forest Landowners Association, the panel argued that strong markets for all grades and types of forests was the best way to stave off the largest threat to forests, emerging higher economic values for forested acres, including redevelopment. Recognizing that proving the sustainable nature of their supply chains will be a vital aspect of Drax’s business, Burdett underscored the importance of preparing for the coming feedstock tracking requirements saying, “We are going to see a great deal of data being required of suppliers,” and stressing that non-compliance ultimately would cost Drax the most. “We have canceled contracts because adequate data was not available,” he added. Continue reading
Illinois Land Climb Seen Leveling Off
Jeff Caldwell 08/29/2013 There’s been a lot of chatter lately about the leveling-off of farmland values in the coming months. New information released this week shows how far farm managers and other specialists think land prices might slip, whether or not it will unfold into a 1980s-style value meltdown, and some of the factors behind the market’s current standing. A survey conducted by University of Illinois Extension ag economist Gary Schnitkey and members of the Illinois Society of Professional Farm Managers shows the first half of 2013 saw an overall year-over-year increase of 2.5% to 3% for good-to-excellent land in that state, a definite slowdown from the last few years. “These prices are not at the level of increases we’ve seen in recent years, but they are still upward,” says Dale Aupperle, a farm manager with Heartland Ag Group in Forsyth, Illinois, and chairman of the Illinois Land Values and Lease Trends project. Sales volume dips Overall, land values ranged from $8,300 to $13,200 per acre for fair to excellent land across Illinois. The survey showed a definite shift lower in the amount of land sold compared to the first half of 2012, with late-year land sales accounting for some of that difference; 70% of those taking part in the survey said sales volume has been lower so far this year, and 77% said they expect that pace to remain or slow further. “There was a tremendous push on land sales at the end of 2012 because of uncertainties concerning income tax treatment in 2013 and beyond,” Aupperle says. “This led to a great deal of farmland being sold last year that might have otherwise been available to the market in 2013. As a result, there is still a demand for farmland but not much available for sale.” Buyers & change The vast majority (73%) of Illinois land sold in the last 7 months has been to farmers; local investors made up 12% of the buyers, while absentee investors took 8%. Among the state’s farm managers responding to Schnitkey’s survey, the majority who see lower land prices in the next few months believe the slide will be slight. “Respondents were divided in what was expected to be the price change over the next 12 months. Twenty percent expect farmland price to increase, 41% expect farmland price to remain the same, and 39% expect farmland price decreases,” according to a report from the Illinois Society of Professional Farm Managers. “Of the 39% expecting decreases, 77% expect a price decrease from 0% to 5%.” Factors in play Corn prices, the farm bill, ethanol and macroeconomic factors like inflation are all big variables comprising the direction of farmland values in the coming months, Schnitkey’s survey reveals. “Most likely factors of occurring are ‘corn prices fall to $4.50,’ ‘subsidies on crop insurance are reduced,’ ‘Farm Bill does not pass,’ and ‘interest rates increased by 2%.’ Factors least likely of happening are ‘inflation increases by 10% and ‘interest rates increase 5%,'” according to the Society’s report. “If they happen, the factors indicated of having the most positive impact on farmland prices are ‘U.S. economy grows 5%’ and ‘inflation increases to 10%.’ The factors estimated to have the most negative impact on farmland prices are ‘Corn prices fall to $3.50,’ ‘interest rates increase 5%’ and ‘Ethanol mandates are removed.'” Rent effects Though most expect land values to remain slightly higher in the coming months, Schnitkey’s survey reveals the same’s not true for land rents. Average rents are expected to slide by a few percentage points for the 2014 crop year; excellent quality land rented for $388/acre this year, but will likely go for $374 in 2014. Good land rented for $332/acre but will rent for $318 next year. Cash rent agreements remain the largest share of overall rental structures (35%) though shared rents make up 25% and 14% of rented land is done so via a variable cash arrangement. “Respondents indicated that share rent and modified share rent lease leases declined in use,” according to the Illinois report. “Variable cash rent leases were the lease types with the largest increase, followed by cash rent.” Continue reading
Better Biofuels Coming Along, But Slowly
Advanced biofuels aren’t where U.S. lawmakers expected them to be, but that failure is in the rear-view mirror. The question now is about the road ahead, and the pro-renewables group E2 is forecasting steady growth – but whether that growth will come fast enough to meet the growing requirements of the U.S. renewable fuel standard seems doubtful. Ineos Florida plant during construction (image via Ineos Bio) That would mean the regulators at the Environmental Protection Agency would be called on to “modify the program and adjust to market realities” – and that’s a familiar story. Not that there haven’t been some signs of life from the industry. In March, Bloomberg New Energy Finance reported that the cost of enzymes, pretreatment and fermentation for cellulosic ethanol had fallen “significantly,” putting the fuel “on course to be cost-competitive with corn-based ethanol by 2016.” Continue reading