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Existing home sales in the United States fell considerably in November to the slowest pace in 19 months, according to the latest monthly report from the National Association of Realtors. However, some of the decrease was likely because of an apparent rise in closing time frames that may have pushed some transactions into December, the report says. It shows that all four major regions saw sales declines in November with total existing home sales down 10.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.76 million in November, the lowest since April 2014. After last month's decline, the largest since July 2010 at 22.5%, sales are now 3.8% below a year ago, the first year on year decrease since September 2014. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, multiple factors led to November's sales decline, but the primary reason could be an anomaly as the industry adjusts to the new Know Before You Owe rule. ‘Sparse inventory and affordability issues continue to impede a large pool of buyers' ability to buy, which is holding back sales. However, signed contracts have remained mostly steady in recent months, and properties sold faster in November. Therefore it's highly possible the stark sales decline wasn't because of sudden, withering demand,’ he explained. Yun believes that while estate agents are adjusting accordingly to the Know Before You Owe initiative, the main result so far has been the need for longer closing times. According to NAR's Realtors Confidence Index some 47% of respondents in November reported that they are experiencing a longer time to close compared to a year ago, up from 37% in October. ‘It's possible the longer time frames pushed a latter portion of would be November transactions into December. As long as closing timeframes don't rise even further, it's likely more sales will register to this month's total, and November's large dip will be more of an outlier,’ Yun pointed out. The index also shows that pries are still rising. The median existing home price for all housing types in November was $220,300, 6.3% percent above November 2014 and the 45th consecutive month of year on year gains. Total housing inventory at the end of November decreased 3.3% to 2.04 million existing homes available for sale and is now 1.9% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 5.1-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.8 months in October. NAR president Tom Salomone said that real estate agents worked hard to prepare for Know Before You Owe. ‘We knew there would be some near term challenges as the industry continues to adapt. Nonetheless, an early trend of longer lead times to closings is cause for concern,’ he commented. He added that the NAR will continue to work with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to ensure as little disruption as possible to the business of real estate. The latest data also shows that properties typically stayed on the market for 54 days in November, a decrease from… Taylor Scott International
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