Uncertainty in financial services sector affecting prime London rental values

Taylor Scott International News

Rental values in prime central London declined for the second month in a row in November against the background of continued uncertainty in the financial services sector and a seasonal end of year decline in demand. Values fell 0.3%, which meant annual rental value growth dipped to 1.2%, which is the lowest level since August 2014, while rental yields were flat at 2.95%, according to the latest report from real estate firm Knight Frank. It follows a peak of 4.2% in May this year as a degree of demand moved across from the sales market due to uncertainty over taxation and the general election. ‘Since then, nervousness surrounding global economic events including the slowdown in China means that many companies have reigned in relocation budgets and many banks continue to cut headcount as part of restructuring plans,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Furthermore, stock levels have risen as more owners adopt a wait and see approach to pricing trends in the sales market, which has tipped the balance in the favour of tenants and put downwards pressure on rents,’ he pointed out. ‘The result is that the number of tenancies started has dropped since 2014, though remains above the level two years ago. Demand, in the shape of new prospective tenants and viewings, is also down compared to what was a relatively strong 2014, though both remain above 2013 levels,’ he added. He also pointed out that demand remains strong in lower price brackets and at the super prime level of above £5,000 per week amid uncertainty around taxation including recent changes for buy to let investors and second home purchases. ‘The result is a three speed market where demand is stronger in higher and lower price brackets than it is in the middle,’ Bill explained. ‘The changes announced by Chancellor George Osborne mean that buy to let investors and those purchasing second homes will be subject to an extra 3% on the rate of stamp duty from April 2016, which could lead to fewer rental properties, which would put upwards pressure on rental values,’ he added. Taylor Scott International

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