Taylor Scott International News
Regional cities in the UK, led by Liverpool and Bristol, have seen house prices surge, helped by rising number of investor buyers, the latest cities index shows. The 20 city index from Hometrack shows that overall prices have increased by 4.4% quarter on quarter and 11.2% year on year, taking the average price to £237,500. Liverpool has seen the highest growth in the last quarter and Bristol has the fastest annual growth rate. Prices in Liverpool were up 5.4% quarter on quarter and 6.5% year on year while in Bristol they increased 4.2% quarter on quarter and 14.1% year on year. London has also seen strong year on year growth with an annual rise of 13.8% with quarter on quarter growth of 3.7%. Cambridge and Southampton also recorded large annual rises at 13.4% and 10.3% respectively. Quarter on quarter the prices growth has been led by Edinburgh, Belfast and Aberdeen with a rise of 19%, 16% and 12% respectively while Aberdeen, which has been affected by the fall in oil prices is the only city in the index to have seen prices fall, down 4% quarter on quarter and 9.6% year on year. But there is likely to be some affect from the referendum result that the UK should leave the European Union and the Hometrack index report says that it will impact turnover far more than house prices in near term although it predicts a rapid deceleration of house price growth across all cities in the second half of 2016. ‘The city level impact is hard to gauge but we expect the immediate impact to be felt in London where affordability levels are stretched and the market was already facing headwinds,’ it explained. Overall, the report says that price inflation continued to increase in May, building on a strong first quarter and the surge of investor demand ahead of the stamp duty change for additional homes that came into force in April. Year on year growth is running at 11.2% compared to 6.2% twelve months ago. ‘The immediate and short term impact of the EU referendum result will be widespread uncertainty amongst buyers and sellers across the housing market. This is against a backdrop of already subdued turnover. While sales volumes have recovered from their 2009 lows, sales as a percentage of stock remain low by historic standards at around 5%, or a move every 20 years,’ the index report points out. However, Hometrack does not expect house price falls as the greatest impact will be on market activity. ‘House price falls would require forced sellers, driven by higher mortgage rates and/or rising unemployment. While short term turmoil in financial markets will impact market sentiment, it is too early to say how the vote to leave will impact the real economy,’ the report explains. It adds that tighter lending criteria implemented in recent years will help to mitigate the impact on the more recent entrants to the market and levels of new housing… Taylor Scott International
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