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Residential rental prices up 2.5% in UK in 2015
Private rental prices paid by tenants in Great Britain rose by 2.5% in the 12 months to December 2015, according to the latest index from the Office of National Statistics. Private rental prices grew by 2.7% in England, 0.7% in Wales and 0.9% in Scotland with rental prices increasing the most in London at 3.9%. When London is excluded the national year on year growth is 1.8%. Some of the more detailed ONS figures show that since January 2011 England rental prices have increased more than those of Wales and Scotland. The annual rate of change for Wales continues to be below that of England and the Great Britain average. Rental growth in Scotland has slowed to 0.9% in the year to December 2015, from 2.1% in the year for the months of January through to June 2015. The index series for England starts in 2005. Private rental prices in England show three distinct periods: rental price increases from January 2006 until October 2009, rental price decreases from December 2009 to October 2010, and increasing rental prices from November 2010 onwards. Of these three periods, 2008 showed the largest rental price increases. When London is excluded, England shows a similar pattern but with slower rental price increases from around January 2011. Since the beginning of 2012, English rental prices have shown annual increases ranging between 1.4% and 3% year on year, with December 2015 rental prices being 2.7% higher than December 2014 rental prices. Excluding London, England showed an increase of 1.9% for the same period. In the 12 months to December 2015, private rental prices increased in each of the nine English regions with the largest in London at 3.9% followed by the East at 2.8% and the South East also at 2.8%. Rental price increases have been stronger in London than the rest of England since November 2010. The rental market continued to show signs of strength overall in the fourth quarter of 2015 as prices increased by 2.5% in the year to December 2015 but this was a slowdown of 0.2% in the annual growth rate compared with September 2015. The ONS report says that this slowdown is partly driven by Scotland, where prices increased 0.9% in the year to December 2015, a fall of 0.7% compared with the annual growth rate in September 2015. It also points out that conditions in the housing market as a whole may have been supporting rental price growth. Data from the ONS house price index for November 2015 shows that house price growth has typically been stronger than rent price growth for a number of years. The Bank of England’s Agents’ Summary of Business Conditions for the fourth quarter of 2015 reported that private rental demand continued to grow steadily in the three months to December. Data from RICS’ Residential Market Survey for November 2015 confirmed this growth, noting that national tenant demand continued to grow in the three months to November 2015. The strength… Continue reading
New buy to let tax regime set to lead to higher rents, research suggests
The majority of landlords in the UK believe the Government’s tax changes last year will discourage investment in the buy to let sector, new research suggests. Some 86% believe it will prevent investment some 90% think it will also result in higher rents and overall they believe it will ultimately lead to a shortage of available of rental homes. The research from lettings and property management company Orchard and Shipman Group also reveals that a quarter of landlords will be selling some, or all of their properties, but just 18% of landlords said they would pull out of the market all together. The research also reveals that over 90% of landlords believe they should be free to deduct legitimate costs, just like any other business. More than half of landlords surveyed said they would be raising rents in 2016 to cover the increased financing costs. ‘The Government’s changes to the way buy to let investors are taxed will inevitably impact revenue. The shortage of housing, a growing rental market and rising property prices is driving increased demand for rental properties,’ said Shane Spiers, chief executive officer of Orchard and Shipman Residential . ‘With these market conditions at play, it’s no surprise that landlords will be putting up rents to supplement their income. Unfortunately, it is tenants that will feel the brunt of the tax changes,’ he added. However, he pointed out that the Government’s ambition to make buy to let look less appealing, may yet be thwarted as many landlords and property investors are committed and passionate and will do whatever it takes to protect their interests. ‘Our research shows that the majority of landlords are looking at ways to recover the potential drop in revenue and we are advising landlords on the options available to them. I believe that the buy to let market will pull together to ensure it continues to provide much needed accommodation to meet growing tenant demand,’ added Spiers. Continue reading
Modest house price growth expected in UK in first months of 2016
UK house prices increased by 0.3% in January and annual growth is broadly stable at 4.4%, according to the latest residential index to be published. This takes the average price to £196,829 but the monthly rate of increase slowed from 0.8% in December which was unseasonally high, the report from the Nationwide Building Society says. Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, pointed out that annual house price growth has remained in a fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% since the summer of 2015. This annual trend was maintained in January, with house prices up 4.4% over the year, broadly in line with the 4.5% increase recorded in December. ‘As we look ahead, the risks are skewed towards a modest acceleration in house price growth, at least at the national level. The labour market appears to have significant forward momentum,’ said Gardner. ‘Employment has continued to rise at a robust rate in recent months and, while the pace of earnings growth has slowed somewhat, in inflation adjusted terms regular wages continue to rise at a healthy pace,’ he added. He also pointed out that this trend expected to continue and with interest rates also likely to stay on hold for longer than previously anticipated, the demand for homes is likely to strengthen in the months ahead. ‘The concern remains that construction activity will lag behind strengthening demand, putting upward pressure on house prices and eventually reducing affordability. Indeed, the market is already characterised by a shortage of stock, with the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors reporting that the number of properties on estate agents’ books remains close to all-time lows,’ Gardner added. Continue reading
