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Valuation activity in UK property market increased in first month of 2016
The UK housing market has started 2016 on a positive note as overall valuation activity in January increased by more than half on an annual basis, according to the latest research. In total, the number of housing valuations carried out in January climbed 52% compared to January 2015, the fastest annual uptick in total valuation activity since July 2015 when volumes rose by 57% on July 2014. The data from Connells Survey & Valuation also shows that on a monthly basis, valuation activity across all housing sectors grew by 13% between December 2015 and January 2016. John Bagshaw, corporate services director of Connells Survey & Valuation, believes that the recent announcement from the Bank of England that interest rates will be kept at rock bottom levels for the foreseeable future will boost the market further. The firm’s report show that the buy to let and remortgaging sectors were the key drivers behind the strong growth of overall housing activity in January. The number of valuations for buy-to-let purposes grew by 51% between January 2015 and January 2016, while the remortgaging sector soared by 97% over the same twelve-month period. Both sectors experienced steadier performances on a monthly basis, with the number of valuations carried out for buy to let investors in January up 11% on the previous month. Meanwhile, January’s remortgaging activity represented a 12% dip on December 2015. ‘Buy to let investors and remortgagors have enjoyed a busy start to the New Year. It might come as a surprise that there are still so many home owners who are paying higher rates, and so are opting to remortgage, when rates have been so low for so long. But ultimately it’s a shrewd move and one that is likely to remain popular with home owners so long as the Bank of England keeps rates at or anywhere near 0.5%,’ said Bagshaw. He explained that while many buy to let investors are hurrying to expand their portfolios before the Stamp Duty changes in April, others are newcomers to the sector, who simply see buy to let as a good investment opportunity regardless of the tax hikes. ‘We can expect the buy to let sector to reach a height of activity over the coming months, as some concerned landlords look to counter the effects of any measure that could hit their profit margins,’ he added. Annual valuation activity among home owners looking to move grew by 27% in January, while between December 2015 and January 2016 there was a 15% uptick in the number of valuations for home movers. Meanwhile, first time buyers saw slightly more modest progress. Valuation volumes among those taking their first step onto the ladder in January grew 22% on an annual basis and 5% on a monthly basis. ‘First time buyers are also getting ever more confident. The volume of affordable homes being built is gradually increasing. This means the hunt for that ideal first home has become less daunting… Continue reading
UK prime property prices up by an average of 0.3% in final quarter of 2015
Prime property prices in the UK increased by an average of 0.3% in the final quarter of 2015 despite a strengthening economy and low interest rates, according to the latest report. Beyond London prices of prime residential property saw muted price growth of 2.4% on average across 2015, but this was much lower than the 4.5% seen across the wider UK mainstream housing market. The situation reflects a general absence of urgency among buyers in the prime property market, says the report from international property services firm Savills. It explains that the resulting lack of upward pressure on prices was fairly uniform across the regions though markets in the London commuter zone performed marginally better, boosted in particular by the performance of prime property in high value towns and cities where annual growth averaged 5.4%. By contrast prime country property in London’s hinterland only saw annual growth of 1.9%. Across the country the performance of larger country houses has been most constrained with values of larger rectories and manor houses seeing little if any growth over 2015, reflecting a thinner stream of demand for the most expensive prime properties. The report also explains that higher value homes have been most affected by successive increases in stamp duty that culminated in the changes introduced in December 2014, which have also held back the prime property market in London. This has had a knock-on effect on demand flowing out of the capital, interrupting the ripple effect which we would otherwise expect at this point in the housing market cycle. The impact of taxation has also been noticeable in the prime housing markets in Scotland where the introduction of LBTT has meant that average price growth of just 0.4% in the past 12 months, though prime property in Edinburgh and Glasgow has performed more strongly. Across all areas smaller prime properties have performed best with those below £1 million showing annual price growth of 3.7%, much more in line with the wider housing market. Generally these markets have been the most buoyant, with greater levels of transactional activity. Looking ahead, in the short term Savills says that the demand for good quality family homes is likely to continue to underpin modest price growth across the prime regional markets, with appetite for larger higher value homes remaining more price sensitive. The firm is expecting price growth of 2.0% to 3% in 2016, which means sellers will need to remain realistic in their asking price, but which presents an opportunity for committed buyers. However, thereafter Savills expects the ripple effect to be restored as the market adjusts to higher transactional costs and buyers more actively seek to exploit the price differentials both between London and the commuter zone and the commuter zone and beyond, which have widened significantly over the past 10 years. The report also points out that Chancellor announced further changes to stamp duty in the 2015 Autumn Statement introducing a 3% surcharge on additional homes, the sales of… Continue reading
Call for UK wide housing review to access impact of buy let tax change
A long term, strategic comprehensive review of housing policy and housing need in the UK is needed as recent changes are set to distort the property market, it is claimed. In particular, the Government ought to recognise the contribution of private landlords as tax changes could seriously affect the buy to let market to the detriment of those who cannot or choose not to buy a home. In a response to the Government’s new stamp duty regime for second homes, Paragon Mortgages says that there should be a comprehensive review looking at the housing dynamics over the last 30 years. ‘Whilst we agree that support for home buyers is an important strand of housing policy, if the interests of home buyers are prioritised above the interests of those in the Social Rented Sector (SRS) and the Private Rented Sector (PRS), then serious distortions may arise as a result to the detriment of those who cannot afford to buy or choose not to buy,’ the document says. ‘Policy changes that may result in reduced supply of properties to the PRS, risk driving up rents and constraining choice to the disbenefit of those who rely on the PRS for a home without delivering corresponding benefits in owner occupation,’ it explains. The document also says that there are more significant structural issues at play in the heart of the housing market so the review is needed to look at housing provision across all tenures. Paragon has been operating in the buy to let market since the inception of this specialist finance for landlords in 1995 and says that it has extensive experience of the market, a deep understanding of how landlords operate and how important buy to let finance is to the supply of property to the PRS. ‘What the Government appears to be overlooking with their focus on driving up home ownership, is that regardless of aspiration, home ownership is not a suitable solution for everyone. Some demographics need and want to live in the PRS because it best suits a variety of their individual requirements including lifestyle choice and financial capability,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘The proposed 3% increase in Stamp Duty will not bring the market to a grinding halt and is unlikely to deter most landlords from their current, immediate investment plans but it will undoubtedly impact on some landlords’ future plans for growing their portfolios,’ he explained. ‘Our fundamental issue with these changes and also the proposed changes to tax relief of mortgage finance is that private landlords provide a valuable contribution to the wider housing market mix and this is not being recognised,’ he added. ‘With a declining social housing sector and with more people choosing not to buy their own home, it is important that the service the PRS provides is not overlooked,’ he concluded. Continue reading
