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UK house prices dipped in February but longer trend is still upward
House prices in the UK in the three months to February were 3% higher than in the previous three months whilst the annual rate remained unchanged at 9.7%, the latest index shows. But month on month prices fell by 1.4%, according to the data from the Halifax, taking the average price of a home to £209,495. Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist pointed out that overall prices continue to rise at a robust pace driven by a significant imbalance between supply and demand. ‘Whilst this position is likely to continue over the coming months, there are some tentative signs that the supply situation may be beginning to improve,’ he explained. He also pointed out that instructions for second hand properties coming up for sale have increased in the past two months and the level of house building increased significantly in 2015. ‘Further ahead, increasing affordability issues, as house price increases continue to exceed wage growth, are likely to curb housing demand and cause price growth to ease,’ he added. An analysis of the Halifax figures shows that the quarterly rate of change was the highest since June 2015 when it was 3.3% and the annual rate remains within the 8% to 10% range where it has been for nearly the entire period since the start of 2015. The fall in values in February offset much of January’s 1.7% rise but Ellis explained that monthly house price changes can be volatile and the quarter on quarter change is a more reliable indicator of the underlying trend. The increase in average house prices has exceeded total average employee’s net earnings in 28% of local authority districts across the UK, some 108 out of 380, over the past two years, according to recent Halifax research. According to Russell Quirk, chief executive officer of eMoov, the monthly figures could be seen as a sign that the UK market is cooling but the longer term trend is still upward. ‘Demand is always an influential factor where an increase in house prices is concerned, so the impending stamp duty changes due in April have no doubt helped to keep the UK market buoyant,’ he said. ‘There has been a flurry of buyers keen to secure that second home or buy to let investment before the April deadline, as well as an increase in the stock available, due to savvy buyers looking to cash in and obtain a higher price than usual during this period of high demand,’ he pointed out. ‘We expect once the stamp duty dust has settled the market will cool slightly, but whilst UK and foreign buyers are still fuelling this increase, the issue of affordability will continue to take a back seat, rather than helping to restrain a continually inflating market,’ he added. Continue reading
Survey reveals where tenants in England are most satisfied with their landlords
More renters in the East Midlands are satisfied with their landlord than in any other part of England according to new research. The survey by the National Landlords Association (NLA) found that 83% of renters in the East Midlands said they are satisfied with their landlord. Tenants in the North West and South West were jointly second on the list, with 82% satisfaction. However, there are some stark regional differences. For example, 82% of tenants in the North West are satisfied with their landlord but just 67% of tenants in the North East, the lowest satisfaction rate in the whole of the England. Overall, on average across all regions, some 79% of tenants taking part in the poll are satisfied with their landlord. In third place was the South East with 80% satisfaction, followed by the West Midlands at 79%, Yorkshire and Humber at 73%, London at 72%, the East of England at 71% and the North East at 67%. ‘Good landlords make up the majority of the market so it’s not surprising that the majority of tenants are satisfied,’ said Richard Lambert, NLA chief executive officer. ‘Private renting is far from the insecure, uncertain and unhappy picture that it is often made out to be, and these findings will help to reassure existing renters and those looking to make their home in the private sector. However, it doesn’t help the minority of tenants who are dissatisfied,’ he explained. ‘The NLA provides a range of training and accreditation opportunities for landlords in order to help them develop and improve standards so they can provide a better service but this is only part of the solution. Both central and local government must also commit more resources to tackling poor standards and weeding out bad landlords,’ he added. Continue reading
US pending homes sales fall month on month after record breaking 2015
Pending home sales in the United States fell by 2.5% in the first month of 2016 following the highest average year in nearly a decade, the latest index shows. On the South saw sales rise, but sales are still 1.4% higher than they were a year ago, according to the forward looking index from the National Association of Realtors. Although the index has increased year on year for 17 consecutive months, last month’s annual gain was the second smallest and NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said that a myriad of reasons have contributed to the drop in January. ‘While January’s blizzard possibly caused some of the pullback in the Northeast, the recent acceleration in home prices and minimal inventory throughout the country appears to be the primary obstacle holding back would be buyers. Additionally, some buyers could be waiting for a hike in listings come spring time,’ he explained. Existing home sales increased last month and were considerably higher than the start of 2015, but price growth quickened to 8.2%, the largest annual gain since April 2015 when it was 8.5%. While the hope is that appreciating home values will start to entice more homeowners to sell, Yun said that supply and affordability conditions won’t meaningfully improve until home builders start ramping up production, especially of homes at lower price points. ‘First time buyers in high demand areas continue to encounter instances where their offer is trumped by cash buyers and investors. Without a much needed boost in new and existing homes for sale in their price range, their path to home ownership will remain an uphill climb,’ Yun pointed out. Existing homes sales this year are forecast to be around 5.38 million, an increase of 2.5% from 2015. The national median existing home price for all of this year is expected to increase between 4% and 5%. In 2015 existing home sales increased 6.3% and prices rose 6.8%. A breakdown of the figures show that the index in the Northeast declined 3.2% but is still 10.9% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index fell 4.9% but is still 1.4% above January 2015. Pending home sales in the South inched up 0.3% but remain 1.3% lower than last January. The index in the West decreased 4.5% but is still 0.4% above a year ago. Continue reading
