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UK rents continue upward trend but growth slowing
Rents in the UK continued to rise over three months to May 2016, although increases slowed more in line with house price growth, according to the latest index report. Average rent in the UK, excluding Greater London, is now £771 per month, some 4.4% higher than a year ago while the average rent in London is £1,563, up 6.2%. The data from the HomeLet rental index also shows that Scotland leads the way with rents rising faster than in any other part of the country. The report said that the figures provide some encouragement for both landlords and tenants. Landlords may have been expecting some impact from the increase in the supply of rental property in May, as those who rushed to complete buy to let property purchases before higher rates of stamp duty came into force in April 2016 began offering their properties to tenants. But HomeLet’s data suggests landlords continue to enjoy healthy rental yields after costs. As for tenants, they will be encouraged to see the pace of rent rises now beginning to moderate, particularly compared to a year ago. While an average rise of 4.4% means increases are still running ahead of inflation, there is some evidence of moderation of the long term trend, perhaps as affordability ceilings are approached. The slowing of the pace of rent rises in May is broadly in line with a similar cooling in the rate at which house prices are rising and may be part of a broader story about economic uncertainty ahead of this month’s referendum on the UK’ s membership of the European Union. Nevertheless, the May 2016 HomeLet rental index reveals that rents continue to rise in almost every area of the country, with 11 out of the 12 regions surveyed seeing an increase over the three months to the end of May. In Scotland, rents are currently rising faster than anywhere else in the UK, with new tenancies costing 10.6% more than in the same period a year ago. However, the East Midlands with a rise of 8.3% in rents compared to last year, is also showing strong gains. London’s rental market, where the average rent on a new tenancy is now £1,563, up 6.2 per cent, also continues to see rents rise more quickly than in most other areas of the country. The rental market is characterised by steady growth in rents as the number of tenants looking for property runs ahead of the supply in the market, according to Martin Totty, chief executive officer of Barbon Insurance Group, HomeLet’s parent company. He pointed out that this remains the picture in most regions of the country. ‘While this growth has begun to slow, which tenants will welcome, landlords will also be encouraged by the vote of confidence in the sector evidenced by the increase in buy to let completions in the past few… Continue reading
Development land prices fall in England apart from in key regional cities
Development land prices for greenfield land in England dipped in 2015, while prices in prime central London remained broadly flat, but urban brownfield site values, particularly in key regional cities, rose strongly during the year. After rising by 50% in the four years to September 2015, prime central London development land prices are starting to ease, falling by 2.7% over the last six months, according to the residential land development index from Knight Frank. It means that development land prices in the prime central London market has dipped for two quarters in a row while values for greenfield land overall in England are down for the fifth consecutive quarter. Greenfield development land values fell by 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2015 and 4.9% year on year while prime central London land prices remained broadly flat in 2015. Urban development land prices, however, bucked the trend, rising by 2.5% in the final three months of 2015. The development land index, based on the valuations of actual development sites around the country, shows a multi speed land market. Prices of mainly brownfield land in key cities, including outer London, Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham and Bristol led the urban growth. A 2.5% increase in the final three months of the year took annual growth for urban development land sites to 11.9% and according to Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank this reflects the highly regionalised nature of the housing market at present, with price performance in many key cities and commuter towns outperforming the wider average. ‘The price growth differential also reflects the strengthening appetite for land among developers and housebuilders in regional hubs. This demand has picked up significant momentum in the last 12 months, lagging the pick-up in demand seen in the wider greenfield market two years ago,’ she explained. She also pointed out that house builders active in the greenfield market have largely replenished their pipeline land supplies, although they are still active in the market for smaller, oven ready sites. ‘The length of the planning process means that taking on large speculative schemes is hard to balance against the cost of capital involved in doing so. At the same time, developers are operating in a period of higher build costs, and a key part of this is the difficulty in accessing skilled labour which still remains in short supply,’ Gilmore said. ‘On the other hand, better local economic growth in key regional cities, coupled with more buyer confidence has resulted in a resurgence of development, and this is reflected in competition for good brownfield sites,’ she added. Focusing on prime central London, the data shows that land prices dipped by 1.1% in the final quarter of the year, resulting in a marginal decline in prices of 0.2% over the course of the year. This echoes the slowing of price growth in this central area of London, with prime property prices rising by 1% over the year to the… Continue reading
Property prices in Sydney saw a strong surge in May
Residential property prices in capital cities in Australia increased by 1.6% in May and are up by 5% year on year, the latest home value index shows The strong May numbers were largely the result of a surge in Sydney dwelling values which were up 3.1% over the month, according to the data from CoreLogic. Prices also increased strongly in Canberra with month on month growth of 2.5% and were up 1.6% in Melbourne and 2.2% in Hobart. Perth was the only city to record a fall with prices down 2.7%. The CoreLogic combined capitals index has recorded a 5% increase since the beginning of January and as a result has caused the annual trend in capital gains to rebound after conditions tapered since July last year. The annual rate of growth, which recorded a recent trough in December last year at 7.4%, has now rebounded back to 10% as of the end of May. After such a strong performance across the Sydney housing market, the annual rate of growth has moved substantially higher to reach 13.1% per annum after reaching a recent low point of 7.4% per annum growth over the 12 months ending March 2016. Despite Sydney’s bounce in the trend rate of growth, Melbourne’s housing market is still recording the highest annual rate of capital gain at 13.9%. Perth and Darwin remain the only markets to record an annual decline in home values. Perth dwelling values are down 4.2% over the past year and have recorded a peak to current fall of 6.7%. Similarly, Darwin dwelling values fell by 3.5% over the past year and are down 5.5% since peaking two years ago. The current growth cycle has been running for four years now, according to the index report. After capital city prices fell by 7.4% between October 2010 and May 2012, values have since risen by 36.6% over the growth cycle to date. The largest capital gains over the cycle to date have been in Sydney where dwelling values are 57.5% higher followed by Melbourne with a 39.4% capital gain since values started rising. The third strongest performance has been in Brisbane at 18.5%. The rebound in the rate of capital gain during 2016 is supported by other measurements in the market, the report points out. For example, auction clearance rates across the combined capital cities have remained stable and hovered around the high 60% to low 70% range since February this year. Sydney clearance rates remain firm, sitting at around the mid 70% mark over the past three weeks while Melbourne clearance rates now sit in the early 70% range. Continue reading
