Tag Archives: vancouver
Home sales in Canada up 0.8% in first weeks of 2016
National home sales in Canada rose by 0.8% from January to February while average prices were up by 16.4% year on year, the latest index shows. But prices fell in some regions, most notably British Columbia and Ontario with a fall of 1.4%, according to the data from the Canadian Real Estate Association also shows. The number of newly listed homes edged up by 0.5% from January to February and the CREA report says that the Canadian housing market has tightened but remains balanced overall. The monthly increase lifted national sales activity to the highest level since June 2007 but a greater number of local housing markets posted a monthly decline in sales activity than posted a monthly increase. However, the latter accounted for a larger share of national transactions. The Greater Toronto Area (GTA), Okanagan Region and Fraser Valley made the largest contribution to the monthly increase in national sales activity, offsetting monthly sales declines in Edmonton, Greater Moncton and Montreal. ‘Two of Canada’s hottest housing markets look set to stay that way heading into the spring home buying season. Meanwhile, other major urban markets elsewhere in Canada are well balanced or have ample supply,’ said CREA president Pauline Aunger. Actual, not seasonally adjusted, sales activity rose 18.7% year on year in February, some 12.7% above the 10 year average for the month. Activity increased above year ago levels in about three quarters of all local markets. BC’s Lower Mainland, the GTA and Montreal contributed most to the year on year increase in national activity. Gregory Klump, CREA chief economist pointed out that the number of single family home sales above one million dollars is rising in Greater Vancouver and the GTA. ‘Tightened mortgage regulations apply to homes selling above $500,000 and below a million dollars. The tighter regulations combined with a short supply of single family homes will restrain transactions below one million dollars,’ he explained. ‘If recent trends continue, home sales above one million dollars will account for a greater share of activity and will further fuel year on year average price increases in these markets. Meanwhile, price growth will remain more modest in other housing markets that don’t have an ongoing or developing supply shortage like the kind we’re seeing in the Lower Mainland of British Columbia or around the GTA,’ Klump added. The number of newly listed homes edged up 0.5% in February 2016 compared to January. The rise in new listings in the Lower Mainland of British Columbia, York and Mississauga Regions of the GTA and Hamilton-Burlington helped to push the national figure higher. Monthly increases in new listings in these housing markets were offset by monthly declines in Central Toronto, Calgary and Montreal. The national sales to new listings ratio rose to 59.5% in February 2016 versus 59.3% the previous month. This marks the ratio’s highest reading since November 2009. A sales to new listings ratio between 40% and 60% is generally consistent with balanced housing market… Continue reading
Home sales fell in Canada in December, latest index data shows
Home sales in Canada fell slightly month on month in December but are still above where they were a year ago, according to the latest data from the Canadian Real Estate Association. Transactions were down 0.6% overall and fell in slightly more than half of all local markets, led by declines in Calgary, Edmonton, the York Region of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and Hamilton Burlington which offset monthly activity gains recorded elsewhere. Year on year price growth continued to range widely among housing markets tracked by the index. The actual, not seasonally adjusted, national average price for homes sold in December 2015 was $454,342, up 12% year on year, but it continues to be pulled upward by sales activity in Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto, which are among Canada’s most active and expensive housing markets. If these two housing markets are excluded from calculations, the average is a more modest $336,994 and the year on year gain is reduced to 5.4%. Even then, the gain reflects a tug of war between strong average price gains in housing markets around the GTA and the Lower Mainland of British Columbia versus flat or declining average prices elsewhere in Canada, the report points out. It adds that if British Columbia and Ontario are excluded from calculations, the average price slips even lower to $294,363, representing a year in year decline of 2.2%. Greater Vancouver with a rise of 18.87% and the Fraser Valley up 14.35% posted the largest gains, followed closely by Greater Toronto up 10.01%. Victoria and Vancouver Island prices increased between 6% and 8% and prices were up by 0.62% in Ottawa, by 1.81% in Greater Montreal and by 3.88% in Greater Moncton. Prices fell by 2% in Calgary and Saskatoon and by 4% in Regina. While the home price declines in Calgary and Saskatoon are a fairly recent trend, prices in Regina have been trending lower since early 2014, the index report points out. An increasingly short supply of listings in Vancouver and Toronto blunted the impact of changes to mortgage regulations announced in December that were aimed at cooling these housing markets, according to CREA president Pauline Aunger. ‘Buyers there had been expected to bring forward their purchase decisions before new regulations take effect in February 2016, but they faced a growing shortage of supply. Meanwhile, supply is ample in many other major urban markets, particularly those where buyers have become cautious amid economic uncertainty,’ she explained. Indeed, December mirrored the main themes of 2015, with strong sales activity and price growth across much of British Columbia and Ontario offsetting declines in activity among oil producing regions, said Gregory Klump, CREA’s chief economist. ‘The recent decline and uncertain outlook for oil prices means that housing market prospects are unlikely to improve in the near term in regions where job market prospects are tied to oil production,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures show that actual, not seasonally adjusted,… Continue reading
Existing sales fall in October in the United States
Existing home sales in the United States fell by 3.4% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.36 million from 5.55 million in September, the latest data shows. All four major regions of the country saw no gains in sales. However, despite the decline sales are still 3.9% above a year ago at 5.16 million, the figures from the National Association of Realtors also show. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, the sales cooldown in October was likely given the pullback in contract signings in the previous couple of months. ‘New and existing home supply has struggled to improve so far this fall, leading to few choices for buyers and no easement of the ongoing affordability concerns still prevalent in some markets,’ he said. ‘Furthermore, the mixed signals of slowing economic growth and volatility in the financial markets slightly tempered demand and contributed to the decreasing pace of sales,’ he pointed out. ‘As long as solid job creation continues, a gradual easing of credit standards even with moderately higher mortgage rates should support steady demand and sales continuing to rise above a year ago,’ he added. The median existing home price for all housing types in October was $219,600, which is 5.8% above October 2014 when it was $207,500). October's price increase marks the 44th consecutive month of year on year gains. The data also shows that total housing inventory at the end of October decreased 2.3% to 2.14 million existing homes available for sale, and is now 4.5% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 4.8 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.7 months in September. The share of first time buyers increased to 31% in October, up from 29% both in September and a year ago. NAR's annual Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, released earlier this month, show that the annual share of first time buyers fell to its second lowest level since the survey began in 1981. All-cash sales were 24% of transactions in October which was unchanged from September and down from 27% a year ago. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 13% of homes in October, unchanged from September but down from 15% a year ago. Some 62% of investors paid cash in October. Distressed sales, foreclosures and short sales, declined to 6% in October, which is the lowest since NAR began tracking them in October 2008 and own from 9% a year ago. Some 5% of October sales were foreclosures and 1% were short sales. Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 18% below market value in October, up from 17% in September, while short sales were discounted 8% compared to 19% in September. ‘All-cash and investor sales are still somewhat elevated historically despite the diminishing number of distressed properties. With supply already meagre at the lower end of the price range, competition from these buyers only adds to the list of obstacles in the… Continue reading
