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Homes to buy are more affordable in many US metros than renters think, research suggests
Home ownership in the United States has slowly fallen in recent years to currently its lowest level since 1965 but new research from the National Association of Realtors suggests that could be halted. The research shows that there are many affordable metro areas and a large segment of current people who rent their home earn enough income to qualify to buy a property. NAR reviewed employment growth, household income and qualifying income levels in nearly100 of the largest metropolitan statistical areas across the country to determine which areas with employment gains above the recent national average also have the largest share of renters who can currently afford to buy a home. Of the top 10 metro areas with the highest share of renters who earn enough to buy, nine were either in the South or Midwest, including three cities in Ohio. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, pointed out that there has been a significant increase in renter households both among young adults and those who lost their home since the economic downturn, especially in metro areas that have seen robust job creation and a resulting influx of new residents. ‘Even in a time of expanding home sales, steady job growth and historically low mortgage rates, the homeownership rate recently tumbled to its lowest level in over five decades as many renters struggle to juggle escalating rents without commensurate income gains,’ he said. ‘However, this new study reveals that there are several affordable, middle tier markets with solid job gains and a large segment of renters who earn enough to buy,’ he added. The top 10 metro areas highlighted in NAR’s study were all outside of the West Coast and each had a share of renters who qualify to buy that was well above the national level of 28%. Top is Toledo in Ohio and Little Rock in Arkansas both with 46%, followed by Dayton in Ohio at 44%, Lakeland in Florida, St. Louis in Missouri and Columbia in South Carolina all at 41%, Atlanta at 40% and then Columbus in Ohio, Tampa in Florida and Ogden in Utah all at 38%. According to Yun, it's no surprise that many of the markets with the most renters qualified to buy are in the Midwest and South. The median existing home sales price in these two regions continue to be lower than the Northeast and West, and while many of these areas were slower to recover from the recession, improvements in their local labour markets in the past year have pushed their hiring levels to at or above the national average growth rate. ‘Overall housing affordability and local job market strength play a pivotal role in a renter's decision on whether to buy a home or sign another lease. The good news is that other recent NAR survey data shows that those residing in the two regions were the most likely to say that now is a good time… Continue reading
Remortgage numbers in UK up in June, but value down
The number of remortgages taken out in the UK increased in June, but are down slightly in value month on month and year on year, the latest data shows. The value of remortgaging is now lower than the same time last year, the first month in 2016 where the value of remortgage lending has fallen year on year, according to the figures from LMS. It means that the average amount of equity withdrawn in June has fallen by 15% year on year and 13% month on month while total equity withdrawn is 14% lower than the same time last year. Overall there were 32,873 remortgage loans taken out in June, a rise of 6% from May when there were 30,900 loans and 1% higher than June last year, when there were 32,700 However, June was the first month in 2016 where the value of remortgage lending fell year-on-year, according to LMS and suggesting a drop in momentum. Each month of 2016 saw annual increases in the value of remortgage lending but June bucked the trend, falling from £5.3 billion in June 2015 to £5.1 billion, a drop of 3%. The average amount of equity withdrawn per customer from remortgaging is also lower than last year, down 15% in comparison to June last year when it stood at £34,505. The average amount of equity release has also decreased 13% month on month from £33,691 in May to £29,375 in June. Annually, the total amount of equity withdrawn has also fallen, by 7% from £1.04 billion in May to £966 million in June. This is 14% lower than the same time last year, when equity withdrawn from remortgaging hit £1.13 billion. There is some good news for remortgagors in terms of affordability pressures. In May 2016, average household income was £45,672, recovering slightly from a 10% fall between March and April. The rise in household incomes, and because rates remained stable, means annual repayments for remortgages have fallen from £8,694 to £8,390, nearly £300 less. The monthly rise in income has therefore driven the annual repayment as a percentage of income down from 19.3% in April to 18.4% in May. ‘We witnessed a strong start to the year with remortgage lending up year-on-year each month in 2016, when in a safer, surer climate, home owners had rushed to remortgage in a desire to lock into better rates before a possible rate rise. But activity in June has slowed with the value of remortgage lending down as indecision increased in the lead up to, and following, the referendum,’ said Andy Knee, chief executive of LMS. ‘While we’ll only begin to see the referendum result’s real impact from July’s figures onwards, it is very likely the small drop occurred as people took pause amid Brexit uncertainty before making any decisions. As the terms for Brexit are negotiated, there will be… Continue reading
Lack of funding affecting barn conversion rates in UK
The British love affair with barn conversions seems to have come to an end with new figures showing that the number of agricultural to residential property conversions has fallen. For decades the conversion of agricultural buildings including barns and stables into homes has been popular but now new research shows that in England the number has dropped by 24% over the last year. It suggests that developers are suffering from a lack of funding for such projects so people who want this kind of property are left to funding it themselves. This is despite a there being a considerable appetite amongst farmers concerned about European Union subsidies after the recent Brexit vote to target alternative ways to diversify income, says peer to per property funding platform Saving Stream which carried out the research. The firm believes that agricultural to residential property conversions could still make significant financial sense for farmers and it also makes sense in terms of improving the current lack of housing supply in the UK, especially in rural areas. Saving Stream adds that banks are continuing to de-risk their balance sheets as much as possible, driven by the capital holding requirements placed on them by regulators in the wake of the credit crunch and that private investors are stepping in to help finance these projects as they are attracted to the competitive annual returns of 12% on offer for secured loans at a maximum loan to value ratio of 70%. ‘Converting agricultural buildings such as barns are one of the most effective ways of combating the UK’s chronic rural housing shortage and in the uncertain post-Brexit climate, UK farmers are looking to ramp up activity in this area,’ said Liam Brooke, co-founder of Saving Stream. ‘It is important that access to funding is improved, developers are keen to take-up the large number of opportunities available to them but time and time again a lack of funding is holding them back,’ he added. Saving Stream explains that recent research shows that outstanding lending by UK banks to property developers plunged from £32.5 billion in April 2014 to £14.9 billion in April 2016, a fall of 54%. ‘There are housing shortages across the UK, in both urban and rural areas, and with increasing numbers of possible developments available, this is a perfect opportunity to reduce the housing gap,’ Brooke pointed out. ‘Private investors are helping bridge the funding gap that the UK’s property market has suffered from but there are still plenty of projects struggling to secure the finance needed to get off the ground. There is an eagerness from all sides to increase the number of conversions to help meet demand, however, the biggest issue remains access to funding,’ he added. Continue reading
