Tag Archives: united-states
US home builders using new data analysis to decide where and what to build
A proliferation of data and new data analysis methods are changing the way builders in the United States buy, sell and develop vacant land, according to experts. Builders are cautiously optimistic that easier credit and more flexibility will help the new homes market rebound in 2015, according to experts at a building and building products symposium in New York. The state of the land market, a key factor in determining what kinds of housing gets built, where and at what price, was a common theme throughout the various discussions. ‘The real opportunity of land goes beyond the land itself. Builders are looking at land as much more than a piece of dirt now,’ said Steve Benson, chief executive officer of Phoenix based land banking and advisory firm Community Development Capital Group. Landowners and buyers alike are using multiple data sources to examine what is being built in other areas, which designs work best for certain parcels and which builders are best suited to maximize certain features of a given piece of land, Benson explained. Rather than building a certain set of homes on a given piece of land, developers today may be more apt to sell their land to a different type of developer rather than undergo a project themselves, or choose to build a different type of home than they normally would, based on data, he pointed out. ‘Real estate has always been about location, location, location. But with land especially, it’s future location, future location, future location. Today, data helps inform that equation for builders much more than in the past,’ he added. High land costs, and perhaps unrealistic value assessments by landowners, are a big reason why developers are having difficulty developing more entry level, lower cost communities and homes, according to Greg Vogel, chief executive officer of the Land Advisors Organization, an Arizona based land brokerage. Developable tracts of land appreciated very quickly in value during 2012 and 2013 in anticipation of a building boom in 2014 that largely has yet to materialise, he explained, adding that strong recent years have convinced today’s land owners that their land may be worth more than it is. As a result, builders are increasingly forced to put higher prices homes on developments they do control in order to recoup their higher land acquisition costs. This will create challenges for larger builders looking to cater to lower end and first time buyers, who are expected to enter the market in higher numbers in coming years. ‘Most observers agreed that it’s just a question of time until we see millennial demand pick up. If the entry level buyer does come back, I’m not sure there will be a lot of opportunities to develop those kinds of communities right away,’ Vogel said. Beyond the kinds of large, multi acre sites on the edge of cities and towns favoured by big, publicly traded home building companies, smaller lots located in downtowns and established communities also represent… Continue reading
US residential rents up 3.3% overall but some areas seeing higher growth
Median residential rents in the United States continued rising nationwide in January, with rental appreciation in some small and even struggling housing markets catching up to the country's hottest areas. According to Zillow's latest real estate market report its rental index increased by 8.5% year on year in Kansas City, more than twice the national pace and faster than markets where rapidly growing rents are an old story, including Seattle, Boston and Los Angeles. Two years ago, when West Coast rents were already soaring, rental growth in St. Louis was flat and even falling. But between January 2014 and January 2015, rents there rose 4.2%. The fastest growing rent in the country in January 2015 was in San Francisco, where median rents were up 15% year on year for the fourth month in a row. Overall rents were up 3.3% year on year in January, near the historical norm. The fastest growing rental markets in January included Denver, Kansas City, Nashville, Portland in Oregon and Charlotte in North Carolina. Nationally, the Zillow rent index rose 0.4% from December, to a median of $1,350. For years, demand for rentals has driven up rents, and income has not kept pace, the firm pointed out. It also said that currently, Americans should expect to spend roughly 30% of their incomes on rent as opposed to historic norms of around 25%. And the problem is far from over, according to more than 100 housing experts surveyed in the latest Zillow home price expectations survey with more than half saying they expected rental affordability to continue to be a problem for at least two more years. ‘Rental appreciation has been a freight train these past few years, chugging along without any appreciable slowdown. Since 2000, rents have grown roughly twice as fast as wages, and you don't have to be an economist to understand why that is hugely problematic,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘More than one third of Americans are renters, and today's renters are tomorrow's buyers. For many current renters, buying a home could mean both a lower and more stable monthly payment, but rising and increasingly unaffordable rents make it difficult to save for a down payment on a home,’ he explained. ‘The rental market used to be and should remain a stepping stone to home ownership. But given how widespread rental affordability problems have become, the rental market could be acting more like a barrier to buying,’ he pointed out. ‘More supply will help ease the crunch, both from new construction and as current renters transition into homeownership, creating more vacancies in existing developments. But neither will happen overnight,’ he added. Nationally, home value growth continued to level off in January and the Zillow home value index increased by 0.2% from December and 5.4% year on year to a median value of $178,500. Home values are expected to grow another 1.9% through to January 2016, according to the firm and by the end of the… Continue reading
Solid home price growth in the US in last quarter of 2014
Home prices in the United States posted solid gains in the fourth quarter of 2014, with the majority of metro areas seeing a slightly stronger price growth. This growth was propelled by tight housing supplies, low interest rates, and a strengthening job market, according to the latest quarterly report from the National Association of Realtors. It means that the national median existing single family home price was $208,700 in the fourth quarter, up 6% year on year and the median existing single family home price rose in 150 out of the 175 metro markets tracked, some 86%. That marks a stronger price gain compared to the third quarter when 73% of the metro areas had posted increases. The data also shows that 24 areas, or 14%, saw double digit increases in the fourth quarter. ‘Home prices in metro areas throughout the country continue to show solid price growth, up 25 percent over the past three years on average,’ said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. ‘This is good news for current home owners, but remains a challenge for buyers who are seeing home prices continue to outpace their wages. Low interest rates helped preserve affordability last quarter, but it’ll take stronger income gains and more housing supply to help meet the pent-up demand for buying,’ he explained. Meanwhile, total existing home sales, including single family and condos, fell 1% in the fourth quarter to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.07 million. But existing home sales are still 2.6% higher year on year. By the end of the fourth quarter, 1.85 million existing homes were available for sale, which is slightly below the 2.01 million homes for sale during the fourth quarter of 2013. The average supply was 4.9 months in the fourth quarter. Most economists consider a supply of six to seven months a healthy balance of supply between buyers and sellers. ‘Despite affordable housing conditions in most of the country, an upward pressure on home prices still persists in some metro areas, particularly in the West, where the current supply of new and existing homes for sale is failing to keep pace with overall demand and growing populations,’ Yun pointed out. ‘Unless home builders significantly boost construction, housing supply shortages could develop and lead to further price acceleration this spring,’ he added. The most expensive housing markets in the fourth quarter were San Jose, California, where the median existing single family home price reached $855,000, followed by San Francisco at $742,900, Honolulu at $701,300, Anaheim-Santa Ana, California at $688,500 and San Diego at $493,100. A regional breakdown shows that in the Northeast total existing home sales increased 2.5% in the fourth quarter and are 4.1% below the fourth quarter of 2013. Median existing single family home price was $246,300, up 2.2% from a year ago. In the Midwest existing home sales fell 4.7% in the fourth quarter and are 0.6% below a year ago. Median existing single family home prices reached $162,000, a 6.2% jump… Continue reading
