Tag Archives: united-states
US housing market likely to see more pressure on prices
Housing starts in the United States rose in September, driven by the multifamily sector, but completions are not matching that hot pace, especially for lower end homes. With demand rising but supply in the form of completions slowing, there will be more pressure on home prices to rise, according to the latest analysis report from real estate firm CoreLogic. The implications are likely to be particularly felt at the low end of the property market due to the Federal Housing Administration’s decision in January to cut mortgage insurance premiums by 50 basis points, it points out. Overall starts are up 18% since last September, driven by multifamily, which saw strong growth of 29%, the data shows. Completions, though, the number of units actually delivered, rose by only 8% year on year, or less than half the jump in starts. Multifamily is the driver in this sector too, up 20% from September of last year. ‘The number that should give the market pause, though, is the completions on one-unit structures, both attached and detached. They are up only 3% and they are the most important segment to look at. They significantly lag the one unit structure starts number which were up 12% year on year,’ the report says. ‘Since it takes six months to deliver a house after ground breaking, completions is the actual new supply that is ready to be sold. What that means for home sales is definite upward pressure on home prices,’ it explained. The report also points out that since the FHA made its premium cut, the prices for lower end houses have jumped and the FHA is a big presence in the low end market where houses typically sold for 75% or less than the median. As of August, real prices for lower end houses have jumped 10.4% relative to a year ago. Prices for higher end homes have been up as well, but only half as high at 5.2%. The lower end prices, which had been up in a narrow range of around s7% the last half of last year, really took off starting in January. ‘The real trend to watch here is if one unit completions will rise to match what is a re-acceleration of demand on the low end. If demand for homes to buy outstrips supply, prices will inevitably rise even higher,’ the report concludes. Continue reading
Global property prices up 4.7% year on year led by Hong Kong, latest data shows
Global house prices have increased by a median of 4.7% year on year led by Hong Kong, Turkey, Ireland, Sweden and Australia, a new international report shows. Overall prices have increased in 21 of the 26 countries tracked by the Economist House Price Index but growth does vary from nation to nation. The growth is topped by Hong Kong with annual price growth of 20.8%, followed by Turkey with a rise of 18,8%, Ireland up 13.4%, Sweden up 10.3% and Australia up 7.5%. At the bottom end of the index the country with the biggest annual drop in property prices is Greece with a fall of 5.9%, Singapore down 3.7%, Italy down 3.3%, China down 2.4% and France down 2.3%. All other countries has seen annual price growth according to the index which measures national affordability by comparing prices to the long run average of their relationship with rents and income. In Hong Kong prices have now doubled in five years despite seven separate round of cooling measures being introduced but with little effect. The latest, in March this year, reduced the average loan to value ratio for new mortgages from 64% to just 52%. But the index report suggests that in practice it is China’s recent stock market crash is likely to be a bigger dampener on demand as mainland investors put off new purchases. Meanwhile, China’s own housing market, it is one of only five in the index where prices are falling, but the report points out that prices are falling at a slower rate than before. The government has been trying to boost the market over the past 10 months, cutting interest rates by 1.4% and relaxing rules on down payments. Prices are now rising on a monthly basis in many cities including Beijing and Shanghai. The report points out that in the United States annual growth of 4.7% shows the real estate market is well into recovery. Some cities are seeing strong growth such as San Francisco with prices up by 10% in the year to July and up by 75% since 2009. Other countries’ housing markets are already well above fair value and the report reckons that houses are more than 30% overvalued in six markets, including Canada and Australia, with the UK the most supply constrained of this group where demand is outstripping the number of properties coming to the market. It points out that in the UK although prices have risen by 35% since their trough in January 2009, house building is failing to respond. Just 140,000 homes were completed in the year to March 2014, some 25% below the long term norm. Continue reading
Buyers and estate agents in US embracing new technology new study shows
Even though more consumers in the United States are using the internet as a tool during their home search and are therefore more connected than ever before, says new research. It means that home buyers are increasingly utilising the knowledge and expertise of a real estate agent, according to the study published by the National Association of Realtors. ‘Consumers have the ability to do more home buying research online and be more connected during the home search process than ever before, but research proves they are still seeing the value a Realtor® brings to the transaction, from the initial search to well after the closing,’ said NAR president Chris Polychron. ‘Agents bring great value to buyers from every generation, demographic and location as well as in every financial and familial situation. So while consumers have more technological tools available at their fingertips, realtors are now more than ever a part of the home buying and selling equation,’ he added. The study found that finding the right property was ranked as the most difficult step in the home buying process. Since the internet is now the first place many people go for information, it's not surprising that four in 10 buyers looked for properties online as a first step in the home buying process, up from 36% in 2010. However, the data also shows that 88% of buyers in 2014 purchased their home with assistance from a real estate agent, up from 83% in 2010. While 94% of millennials and 84% of baby boomers used online websites in their home search, only 65% of those aged 69 to 89 years did the same. Older boomers, those aged 60 to 68 years, used a mobile device to search for properties at less than half the rate of millennials at 30% versus 66%. When it comes to website listing features, photos and online property information were more important to millennials, while virtual tours and direct contact with a real estate agent were more important to baby boomers. Despite visual content growing in popularity and importance, older homebuyers found virtual tours more useful than younger buyers at 45% compared to 36% among millennials. As for the length of time it takes for consumers to find a home, millennials typically looked for about 11 weeks, while baby boomers and members of the older generation searched for eight weeks. Internet use also impacted the length of a home search. Those who used the internet to search homes visited more homes and searched for longer, looking at 10 homes over a 10 week period versus four homes in four weeks for those not looking on the web. While not all consumers use the internet in their home search, a growing number are first finding their future home online. Some 43% buyers first found the home they ended up purchasing on the web compared to just 8% in 2001. In 2001 some 48% of buyers found the home they… Continue reading
