Tag Archives: united-states
Pending home sales in the US down slightly, latest index data shows
Pending home sales in the United States fell slightly in November for the third time in four months as buyers continue to battle both rising home prices and limited homes available for sale. Overall modest gains in the Midwest and South were offset by larger declines in the Northeast and West, according to the latest pending home sales index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The forward looking indicator based on contract signings decreased 0.9% to 106.9 in November from an upwardly revised 107.9 in October but is still 2.7% above November 2014. The data also shows that although the index has increased year on year for 15 consecutive months, November’s annual gain was the smallest since October 2014 when it was 2.6%. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that November's dip in contract activity continues the modestly slowing trend seen ever since pending sales peaked to an over nine year high back in May. ‘Home prices rising too sharply in several markets, mixed signs of an economy losing momentum and waning supply levels have acted as headwinds in recent months despite low mortgage rates and solid job gains,’ he said. ‘While feedback from realtors continues to suggest healthy levels of buyer interest, available listings that are move-in ready and in affordable price ranges remain hard to come by for many would be buyers,’ he pointed out. Continue reading
Buying is still cheaper than renting in many US housing markets
Buying a home in the United States is still more affordable than renting in the majority of markets, according to the latest analysis from real estate data firm RealtyTrac. But the opposite is true in markets with the biggest increase in the millennial share of the population over the last six years, the research also shows. In the 473 counties covered by the research, the fair market rent for a three bedroom property in 2015 needed an average of 27% of median household income, while buying a median priced home required an average of 25% of median household income based on the median sales price in November. Buying a median priced home was more affordable than renting a three bedroom property in 68% of the counties analysed, representing 57% of the total population in those counties. But in the 25 counties with the biggest increase in millennials between 2007 and 2013, fair market rents for a three bedroom property in 2015 required 30% of the median household income on average while buying a median priced home required 36% of median household income on average. For the analysis millennials were defined as anyone born between 1977 and 1992. ‘First time buyers and potential boomerang home buyers are stuck between a rock and a hard place in today’s housing market. Many of the markets with the jobs and amenities they want have hard-to-afford rents and even harder to afford home prices while the more affordable markets have fewer well-paying jobs and tend to be off the beaten path,’ said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. ‘Those emerging markets with the combination of good jobs, good affordability and a growing population of new renters and potential first time buyers represent the best opportunities for buy and hold real estate investors to buy low and benefit from rising rents in the years to come,’ he added. The top markets with the biggest increase in the percentage of millennials over the past seven years were counties in Washington D.C., San Francisco and Denver, all of which saw an increase of more than 50% in the share of the population that is millennials. Other markets in the top 25 for biggest increase in millennials included counties in New York, Nashville, Portland, St. Louis, Seattle, Charlotte, Minneapolis, Indianapolis, Atlanta, Orlando, Austin, Des Moines and Midland, Texas. The average 2015 fair market rent in these top 25 counties is $1,459, some 19% above the national average for all counties analysed, the data also shows. On average 2015 fair rents increased 3% from a year ago in these counties, with the standouts being Denver County and Midland County, Texas, both of which saw fair market rents increase more than 2%. Median home prices increased 8% from a year ago in these counties on average compared to an average 7% increase among all counties analysed nationwide while the average unemployment rate among these counties was 5.2% in October compared to an average of 5.5% for all… Continue reading
US homes sales tumble but partly due to change in time frames rather than demand
Existing home sales in the United States fell considerably in November to the slowest pace in 19 months, according to the latest monthly report from the National Association of Realtors. However, some of the decrease was likely because of an apparent rise in closing time frames that may have pushed some transactions into December, the report says. It shows that all four major regions saw sales declines in November with total existing home sales down 10.5% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.76 million in November, the lowest since April 2014. After last month's decline, the largest since July 2010 at 22.5%, sales are now 3.8% below a year ago, the first year on year decrease since September 2014. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, multiple factors led to November's sales decline, but the primary reason could be an anomaly as the industry adjusts to the new Know Before You Owe rule. ‘Sparse inventory and affordability issues continue to impede a large pool of buyers' ability to buy, which is holding back sales. However, signed contracts have remained mostly steady in recent months, and properties sold faster in November. Therefore it's highly possible the stark sales decline wasn't because of sudden, withering demand,’ he explained. Yun believes that while estate agents are adjusting accordingly to the Know Before You Owe initiative, the main result so far has been the need for longer closing times. According to NAR's Realtors Confidence Index some 47% of respondents in November reported that they are experiencing a longer time to close compared to a year ago, up from 37% in October. ‘It's possible the longer time frames pushed a latter portion of would be November transactions into December. As long as closing timeframes don't rise even further, it's likely more sales will register to this month's total, and November's large dip will be more of an outlier,’ Yun pointed out. The index also shows that pries are still rising. The median existing home price for all housing types in November was $220,300, 6.3% percent above November 2014 and the 45th consecutive month of year on year gains. Total housing inventory at the end of November decreased 3.3% to 2.04 million existing homes available for sale and is now 1.9% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 5.1-month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.8 months in October. NAR president Tom Salomone said that real estate agents worked hard to prepare for Know Before You Owe. ‘We knew there would be some near term challenges as the industry continues to adapt. Nonetheless, an early trend of longer lead times to closings is cause for concern,’ he commented. He added that the NAR will continue to work with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to ensure as little disruption as possible to the business of real estate. The latest data also shows that properties typically stayed on the market for 54 days in November, a decrease from… Continue reading
