Tag Archives: united-states

Home prices set to rise 5.4% in the United States in 2016

Home prices across the United States, including distressed sales, increased year on year by 6.3% in December 2015 and increased month on month by 0.8%, the latest index shows. And forecast data from the CoreLogic House Price Index also indicates that home prices are set to rise by 5.4% this year. ‘Nationally, home prices have been rising at a 5% to 6% annual rate for more than a year,’ said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. However, he added that local market growth can vary substantially from that. For example, some metropolitan areas have had double digit appreciation, such as Denver and Naples, Florida, while others have had price declines, like New Orleans and Rochester, New York. ‘Higher property valuations appear to be driving up single-family construction as we head into the spring. Additional housing stock, especially in urban centres on the coasts such as San Francisco, could help to temper home price growth in the longer term,’ said Anand Nallathambi, president and chief executive officer of CoreLogic. ‘In the short and medium term, local markets with strong employment growth are likely to experience a continued rise in home sales and price growth well above the US average,’ he added. Meanwhile, research from real estate firm Zillow shows that buyers in Boston, New York, and Washington, D.C. have to stay in a home for at least three years to break even on a home purchase, and buyers in the Bay Area would have to stay nearly that long to make buying financially advantageous. In general, Americans can break even on a home purchase in less than two years in 70% of US metros and the firm says that this is thanks to low interest rates, healthy home value forecasts, and the relatively fast pace of rents in recent years. The Breakeven Horizon index shows that on average you don't need to plan on living in a home for even two years to make purchasing the home more financially advantageous than renting it over the same time period. Among large housing markets, the Breakeven Horizon is longest in Washington, D.C. at 4.5 years and shortest in Dallas at 1.3 years. Around the country over the last year, the Breakeven Horizon quickened in most of the Midwest and Southeast as well as in the Northeast corridor from New York to Boston. The Horizon stretched longer in Florida, Northern California, and in the Northeast from Virginia Beach to Philadelphia, but it remained clear that financially, it's still a better deal to buy a home than rent it, assuming you're planning to stay in the home for at least a couple years. ‘Even with record high rents in places like San Jose, Boston and Washington, D.C., putting off a home purchase might be the best financial decision for a young person who has saved enough for a down payment, depending on how long they intend to stay in their jobs and homes,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja… Continue reading

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Amendments to tenancies bill in Scotland could hit provision of rural homes

New amendments to the Private Housing (Tenancies) Bill in Scotland have the potential to create significant problems for the provision of rural homes, it is claimed. The Bill has reached its stage two process within the Scottish Parliament with the Infrastructure and Capital Investment Committee meeting to discuss amendments that have been lodged. In total, 198 amendments had been submitted to the original draft Bill, demonstrating the depth of feeling regarding the future of the private rented sector and perhaps indicating there has been a lack of thorough consideration due to rushed timescales. However, Scottish Land and Estates said that it was particularly concerned that an amendment by Alex Johnstone MSP to allow a landlord to ask a tenant to leave in order to accommodate a new or retiring employee had been rejected. ‘The Scottish Government has stated repeatedly that the aim is for a simpler tenancy which strikes a fair balance by offering tenants more security and giving landlords robust and comprehensive grounds so they have the confidence to let without fear of not being able to recover possession under reasonable circumstances,’ said Katy Dickson, policy officer for business and property at Scottish Land and Estates. ‘The drafted legislation went some way towards this balance point but disappointingly a number of amendments which were approved will leave landlords dismayed that the new tenancy will bring the uncertainty and imbalance that they feared at the outset of the Bill,’ she explained. One of the main concerns for rural landlords is the rejection of Alex Johnstone’s amendment to allow a landlord to repossess a property in order to house a new employee or retired employee. ‘This ground would come with a full notice period and prior notification at the outset of the lease so that security was not lessened on all let property. Without this ground the ability for rural businesses to grow is restricted and landlords may well choose to move property out of the long term letting market into a holiday home or decide to leave it empty,’ Dickson explained. She said that frustration is growing at the Scottish Government’s continued lack of appreciation of the importance of this ground. ‘The Housing Minister repeatedly stated that a family should not be moved out to allow an employee to move in but has failed to recognise that an employee often comes with a family. The fact that there is similar uncontested ground for religious workers adds further confusion as why can tenants’ security be lessened for religious workers but not farm workers?’ added Dickson. She accused the Scottish Government of making a surprising U-turn by proposing an amendment to remove the initial period when they had previously stated that this provided landlords and tenants with security. ‘This was a disproportionate reaction to some campaign groups raising fears that it may be problematic for a limited number of people… Continue reading

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Average prices in England and Wales now over £290,000, latest index shows

Home values in England and Wales rose by 0.2% in January taking the average house price above £290,000, the latest price index shows. ss England and Wales. Last June, average prices crossed the £280,000 marker, but we have to go back to August 2014 for the crossing of the £270,000 threshold’ said Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents. ‘We’re now passing these milestones in quicker and quicker succession, as prices pick up pace. This hastening is good news for home owners, but means it’s getting harder for those still hoping for home ownership. In the last 12 months there’s been a 5.5% upswing in average property prices compared to just a 2.1% rise in average earnings,’ he pointed out. However, he also pointed out that aspiring buyers now have much more support to help get a foothold on the ladder, with the launch of the Help to Buy ISA in December and the new Starter Homes scheme this year. ‘But in the long term there has to be a huge breakthrough in house building if we’re going meet the growing demand for homes and keep house price growth sensible,’ added Gill. The analysis of the data says that while the South East remains the region with the fastest year on year price rise at 7.7%, London has now moved to second place. The typical property in London has increased in value by £34,485 in the last year, almost equal to the £35,333 median gross annual earnings in the capital. Gill explained that this 6.2% rise in the capital’s home values has been driven by activity in the more affordable outer boroughs. The cheapest 11 boroughs have seen the biggest boost in property prices, up 14% or £47,052 year on year, with a typical home in Newham now costing £63,429 or 23% more than in December 2014. ‘As London workers attempt to find affordable places to buy, prices are rising in the nearby commuter towns as well. The fastest growth year on year across the country has been experienced in Luton where home values are up 17.5%, with trains here only taking 23 minutes to get into St Pancras Station,’ said Gill. He also said that while home sales saw the usual seasonal slump in January, falling 26% from the previous month’s level, this is better than expected, with sales typically dropping by 28% between these two months. ‘Regionally, there has been a significant upswing in sales in the North West, rising 8.8% in the last quarter of 2015, compared to the same period in 2014. We are now seeing faster growth in sales in lower-priced areas, as buyers seek more property for their money,’ Gill explained. He also said that when looking at the type of property selling successfully, there has been a turnaround in the trend seen in recent years. Sales of detached homes are now rising fastest, up 5%… Continue reading

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