Tag Archives: united-states
Developers call for land to be set aside in UK for Build to Rent
A group of developers and real estate investors have revealed a three point action plan which they say could see more than 250,000 extra homes built for rent. Called the Better Renting campaign, they have written to the housing minister saying that Build to Rent, where corporates build clusters of homes that are rented and not sold, could help the government deliver its pledge to build a million homes by 2020. The letter claims that traditional house builders are at full capacity and that support for corporate landlords could bring £50 billion of new money into the sector. The letter asks ministers to set aside an agreed proportion of public land for Build to Rent development. Councils and public land owners could generate long term rental income from buildings or land, allowing them to fund under pressure public services. The group also calls on the Chancellor George Osborne not to apply an additional 3% stamp duty charge to professional Build to Rent developments. Last December, he promised to only apply this to buy to let investors, but subsequently reversed this pledge. The group claims the move will dampen investor appetite to build more homes. It could deter further investment which could build more than 250,000 new homes. Finally, the campaign’s letter calls for recognition of Discount Market Rent (DMR) homes as an accepted form of affordable housing. This would allow developers to create subsidised rental homes as part of their development commitments, following successful use of the policy in the London boroughs of Ealing, Greenwich and Brent. A nationwide recognition would deliver more affordable housing. Signatories to the letter include Grainger Plc, Essential Living, LaSalle Investment Management, HUB, Fizzy Living, Real Star, Hermes Investment Management as well as Mishcon de Reya, a leading city law firm. ‘Until we face up to the fact that promoting home ownership at all costs will lead us nowhere, Britain will not overcome its housing shortage. The housing minister has been very supportive of Build to Rent, but what’s crucial is that the prime minister and chancellor recognise the contribution this could make to helping them keep their promises on building a million homes by 2020,’ said Martin Bellinger, chief operating officer at Essential Living. According to Helen Gordon, chief executive at Grainger Plc, pointed out that the form wants to invest in the Build to Rent sector. ‘Our vision is for a better rental market, underpinned by good value for money for our customers, supporting economic growth and housing supply,’ she said. ‘We are looking to invest hundreds of millions of pounds into new rental homes, designed specifically for the renting, which we will directly manage for many years to come. It is important that the Government does all it can to allow us and companies like us to build more homes,’ she added. Chris Taylor, head of private markets at Hermes Investment Management, explained that experience from the United States, Germany and Holland demonstrates the potential capacity… Continue reading
US existing home sales bounce back after unexpected decline
Sales of existing homes in the United States bounced back in March with big gains in the Northeast and Midwest, according to the latest index data to be published. Total existing sales, which are completed transactions that include single family homes, town homes, condominiums and co-ops, increased by 5.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.33 million in March from a downwardly revised 5.07 million in February. The data from the National Association of Realtors also shows that overall sales rose in all four major regions last month and were up 1.5% compared with March 2015. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said the rebound was welcome after an uncharacteristically large decline in February. ‘Closings came back in force last month as a greater number of buyers, mostly in the Northeast and Midwest, overcame depressed inventory levels and steady price growth to close on a home,’ he explained. ‘Buyer demand remains sturdy in most areas this spring and the mid-priced market is doing quite well. However, sales are softer both at the very low and very high ends of the market because of supply limitations and affordability pressures,’ he added. The index also shows that the median existing home price for all housing types in March was $222,700, up 5.7% from March 2015 when it was $210,700. March's price increase marks the 49th consecutive month of year on year gains. Total housing inventory at the end of March increased 5.9% to 1.98 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 1.5% lower than a year ago when it was 2.01 million. Unsold inventory is at a 4.5 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.4 months in February. ‘The choppiness in sales activity so far this year is directly related to the unevenness in the rate of new listings coming onto the market to replace what is, for the most part, being sold rather quickly,’ said Yun. ‘Additionally, a segment of would be buyers at the upper end of the market appear to have been spooked by January's stock market correction,’ he explained. Matching the lowest share since August 2015, properties typically stayed on the market for 47 days in March, a decrease from 59 days in February and below the 52 days in March 2015. Short sales were on the market the longest at a median of 120 days in March, while foreclosures sold in 50 days and non-distressed homes took 46 days. Some 42% of homes sold in March were on the market for less than a month, the highest since July 2015 when it was 43%. The data also shows that the share of first time buyers was 30% in March, unchanged both from February and a year ago. First time buyers in all of 2015 also represented an average of 30%. ‘With rents steadily rising and average fixed rates well below 4%, qualified first time buyers should be more active participants than what they are right now. Unfortunately,… Continue reading
Low mortgage rates and strong demand benefitting US home builders
Low mortgage rates and strong demand should create a positive outlook for home builders in the United States but a serious labour shortage could hold them back. During the 2009 recession nearly a quarter of construction workers lost their jobs as the housing market collapsed and there is evidence that a number of labourers are not returning, leaving remaining construction workers overstretched, says an analysis report from Hermes Investment Management. It explains that this lack of qualified labour causes two fundamental problems for the industry. First, the completion rate struggles to keep pace with demand, which is on the rise in the US, and secondly margins shrink as workers command much higher pay. However, one of the most fundamental challenges facing US home builders is a reduction in first time buyer demand. The report suggests that mounting student debts, lagging wage inflation, scarce financing and lifestyle preferences weigh on the desire to buy a first home. ‘While demand for housing is generally rising in the US, the lack of younger buyers could permanently or semi-permanently remove a key driver of demand,’ said analyst Andrey Kuznetsov. He pointed out that 49% of 25 year olds lived with their parents in 2013, some 20% higher than in 1999, dramatically reducing the aggregate number of households even without adding those choosing or having to rent. ‘While overall demand still outstrips supply, this gradual cultural shift is removing some pipeline demand,’ added Kuznetsov. The report also explains that housing market trends specific to certain US states can also work against home builders. Demand for housing in certain parts of Texas, such as Houston, started deteriorating after the oil price dramatically declined in late 2014 and continued to fall throughout the last year. This initially affected more expensive properties, but is now also impacting lower priced homes. In California, where international buyers are usually a significant presence in the market, the stronger US dollar and weakness in buyers’ home economies are deterrents. Additionally, the volatility in equity markets could slow the demand from employees of the historically buoyant tech sector in the state. Home builders with above average exposure to these markets are increasingly at risk. However, it adds that short housing supply and low mortgage rates, the average 30 year loan charges 3.65% interest, suggest that fundamentals for the sector are strong. ‘However, in an environment where build times are lengthening, margins are under pressure, demand from first time buyers is declining and certain regional risks are increasing, we think there is more risk to the downside. Furthermore, the sector is trading at a relatively expensive level compared to others, supporting our negative view,’ said Kuznetsov. Continue reading
