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Average property prices in UK cities now six times annual earnings
Average house prices in cities in the UK have reached their highest since 2008 and are more than six times annual earnings, new research shows. The affordable cities review report from Lloyds Bank shows that the average UK city house price has risen by 8% from £196,229 in 2015 to its highest ever level of £211,880 in 2016. This has resulted in average affordability in the nation’s cities worsening in the last 12 months from 6.2 to 6.6 times gross average annual earnings, the third successive annual decline in affordability. The latest figures from Lloyds Bank also reveal a significant North/South divide, with 17 of the 20 least affordable cities located in southern England and only Lichfield, Leicester and York appearing in the top 20 outside of the South. Winchester has recorded the biggest gains over the past decade, whilst London, not surprisingly, has seen the largest growth during the economic recovery of the last five years. By contrast, all of the 20 most affordable cities for home buyers are outside of southern England. Affordability in UK cities is, on average, now at its worst level since the average house price to earnings rose to 7.2 at the height of the last housing market boom in 2008. ‘House price rises in the past three years have risen more steeply than average wage growth, making it more expensive to buy a home in the majority of UK cities. This has also widened the North/South divide, as house prices in the South have generally seen stronger growth than in the North,’ said Andrew Mason, Lloyds Bank mortgage products director. Oxford is the UK's least affordable city with the average house price 10.68 the gross average earnings in the city. At an average price of £364,429, houses in Oxford are more expensive compared with average earnings in the city than in any other UK city. This is partly due to Oxford’s attractiveness to commuters working in London. Winchester at 10.54, London at 10.06, Cambridge at 9.9 and Bath at 9.77 make up the top five least affordable cities. The London average figure disguises considerable variations across the capital with central boroughs being significantly less affordable than the Greater London average. Lichfield at 7.53 and York at 7.5 are the least affordable cities outside southern England. Londonderry in Northern Ireland is now both the UK’s most affordable and least expensive city. The average property price in the Northern Ireland city of £113,302 is 3.8 times the gross average annual earnings. Elsewhere in Northern Ireland Belfast at 4.42 and Lisburn at 4.64 are the fourth and sixth most affordable cities respectively, due primarily to the relatively low house prices in the country. Northern English and Scottish cities make up the remainder of the top 10 most affordable cities with Bradford at 4.31, Hereford at 4.55, Durham at 4.73, Lancaster at 4.89, Carlisle at 5.03, Glasgow at 5.07 and Stirling at 4.11. Winchester has recorded the biggest price rise of any UK… Continue reading
Detached new build homes outsell flats for first time in a decade
Flats are becoming less popular in England and Wales with the latest data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) showing new build detached homes outselling apartments. Detached properties were the most commonly sold type of newly built home in the 12 months to September 2015 representing 32% of all new property sales, the first time flats have sold less in a decade. In the 12 months ending December 1995 sales of detached housing dominated the new build market with 44% of all sales for new properties. By 2000, the share of sales for new detached housing peaked at 52% but declined until 2008. Since then the share of sales for new detached property has been increasing steadily. The share of sales for new semi-detached properties has also been rising since 2008, albeit at a slower rate than the share of new detached properties. The percentage of new terraced housing exceeded that of semi-detached in 2001 and remained higher until 2014. For newly built flats, the share rose rapidly between 2000 and 2008, during which time many urban areas were regenerated. Since then the share of newly built flats has fallen steadily. The latest ONS data release also shows that the difference in median price between the most and least expensive parts of England and Wales was nearly £3.2 million in the year ending September 2015, down from a peak of £3.5 million in year ending December 2014. For all types of property, the median price paid ranged from £38,750 in one part of Pendle, Lancashire to £3,212,500 in one area of Westminster. The most expensive area outside of London was in Elmbridge, Surrey where the median price paid for all properties was £997,475 and house price growth has diverged for the most expensive and least expensive areas since the recession. Part of the difference in price paid between the least and the most expensive areas is caused by different types of dwelling being sold in those areas. For example, detached properties in England and Wales sold for 61% more than semi-detached properties on average in the year ending September 2015. Therefore, an area with a higher proportion of detached property sales is likely to have a higher median price overall than an area which had a higher proportion of semi-detached property sales. In the year ending September 2015 there were 581 middle layer super output areas (MSOAs) in which the median house price was in the lowest 10% of property prices in England and Wales overall. Generally, towns and cities in the north of England, the Midlands and also in south Wales contained most of these 581 MSOAs. There were 27 MSOAs in which the median price paid for all properties was more than £1 million in year ending September 2015. All these areas are in London and are predominantly in the central and western boroughs. The most expensive area outside of London was in Elmbridge, Surrey where the median price paid for… Continue reading
Increasing demand for prime property in commuter areas in Scotland
Scotland has seen an increased demand for prime property in commuter locations with the housing market as a whole generally improving, according to new research. Scotland’s prime market is expected to grow by 18.8% over the next five years in terms of values, outperforming the overall residential market and in comparison to 22.2% across Great Britain, according to the latest report from real estate firm Savills. However, the prime market between £400,000 and £1 million continues to be constrained outside Edinburgh by the Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) which was introduced a year ago, it points out. And after seven years of phenomenal growth, the Aberdeen market is experiencing price falls linked to falling oil prices. ‘While Scotland continues to attract overseas buyers, we are now seeing the return of wealthy home grown buyers, and there were some important trophy country house and estate sales during 2015,’ said Faisal Choudhry, director of Scottish research as Savills. ‘However, one of the most important factors in the Scottish market is the fact that the recovery, which began in prime city locations, is finally established in the suburbs and is beginning to reach more outlying locations,’ he explained. ‘Our latest data reveals today’s house buyers are falling back in love with the Scottish suburbs. This may partially be explained by a dwindling supply of the best homes available to buy in the most sought-after city centre locations,’ he added. While the prime areas like the New Town, Stockbridge and Morningside in Edinburgh and the West End in Glasgow, have been enjoying a strong market over the last five years, outlying areas had been slower to recover. Over the past year, however, there has been a jump in sales across adjacent locations, with the return of the ‘closing date’, and premium prices being paid. ‘We expect this trend to continue and to ripple further outwards to more attainable suburbs, like Liberton in Edinburgh and Netherlee in Glasgow,’ said Choudhry. Property prices are predicted to rise across the UK as a whole this year, but commuter locations are expected to see the greatest growth, with lower fuel costs playing a part. As a result, further outlying areas including Midlothian and locations such as Helensburgh and Kilmacolm are on the upturn. But Choudhry pointed out that there are market risks ahead of the European Union referendum in June and this may result from a drop in buyer confidence. ‘A vote to leave the EU has the potential to offset housing market demand, as an exit is negotiated. However, the impact on values might be mitigated due to low interest rates. Whatever the outcome, there will continue to be a market due to the essential requirements to move house, together with the needs of upsizers and downsizers,’ he said. Continue reading
