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Asking prices rise across the UK apart from in London
Asking prices increased in all parts of the UK except London, up 0.5% month on month, according to the latest property index to be published. The East of England saw the largest monthly rise of 1% as demand continues to outweigh supply in the region but overall the annual home price for England and Wales fell to 7.5%, the data from the Home.co.uk index shows. The report suggests that typical time on Market figures in the East of England, the South East and Greater London are contrary to seasonal expectations, and this is a clear indicator that the anticipated slowdown is taking hold as demand dips, at least for the time being, while the market pauses for breath. The total stock of property for sale remains historically very low indeed despite gradually rising supply in London and Scotland. In all English regions outside of London and in Wales, scarcity holds firm as the key market driver. Overall, the number of properties entering the UK market is down 6% compared to a year ago. The supply shortage is most keenly felt in the West Midlands where 12% less new stock arrived on estate agents' books during last month compared to March 2015, and this will ensure prices in this region keep rising over the summer months. Similarly, the South West of England supply shortage is worsening as indicated by 11% less stock being registered on agent portfolios last month. The index report point out that market activity in the formerly lacklustre North East shows signs of significant improvement. There and in the North West, marketing times have reduced considerably and prices are on the rise. The North West market is improving more quickly as supply levels in this region indicate a new declining trend and consequently prices may show further significant upward progress across the rest of the year. Meanwhile, the Welsh property market remains the poorest performer. Prices there have fallen by 0.2% over the last six months and marketing times are higher than in any English region or Scotland. ‘Overall, the current mix-adjusted average asking price for England and Wales is now 7.5% higher than it was in April 2015, and we predict further rises over the next few months due to worsening supply in an increasing number of regions. However, the year on year rise is expected to attenuate as the London market cools,’ said Doug Shephard, the firm’s director. He explained that a buy to let stampede ahead of the new stamp duty charges means that growth might now slow. ‘Any sort of lull in demand from investors will be welcomed by first and next time buyers, especially those who had the wisdom to sit on their hands until the dust settled,’ he said. ‘The current figures suggest that London will be the best area to take advantage of waning demand and rising supply, but prices today remain very high and properties will need to hang around on the market much… Continue reading
Property asking prices in Ireland rebound at start of 2016
The residential property market in Ireland is set to rebound in 2016 as price momentum has already been growing in the first quarter of the year, according to the latest survey report. But Dublin is likely to lag behind the rest of the country according to the latest house price survey from MyHome.ie. The data shows that having declined towards the end of 2015, asking prices for newly listed properties for sale rose by 2.1% nationally and by 0.9% in Dublin in the first quarter of 2016, the first gain in Dublin since the first half of 2015 and follows two quarters where prices declined marginally. The report predicts Irish house price inflation will register another solid gain of close to 5% in 2016, with the rest of the country leading Dublin, due to affordability constraints in the capital. The mix adjusted asking price for new sales nationally is €220,000, an increase of €5,000 compared to the final quarter of 2015 while the corresponding figure for Dublin is €315,000, an increase of €2,600. The author of the report, Conall MacCoille, chief economist at Davy, said a key factor supporting house prices this year will be a tighter housing market and he pointed out that the stock of properties listed for sale on the MyHome website in the first quarter fell to a fresh low of 21,650, down 6% on the year. ‘Despite popular opinion, the immediate impact of the Central Bank lending rules was to make it easier to buy as sellers anticipated the slowdown in Dublin house prices and decided to bring their properties to the market in 2015,’ said MacCoille. ‘This won’t be repeated this year while housing supply in the capital is likely to pick up less sharply through the summer months. This is because the ambitious goals set under the last government’s Construction 2020 strategy are unlikely to be attained with no stable coalition yet formed for the new Dail. Overall, home building levels look set to remain depressed for some time and while this will support Irish house prices, it will hurt activity levels,’ he added. The report’s analysis of the Property Price Register indicates that Dublin and the commuter belt counties last year accounted for 75% of transactions that exceeded €220,000, the threshold below which lenders require a 10% deposit. Of the 48, 374 residential property market transactions recorded in 2015, just 35% or 16,893 exceeded €220,000. Of these Dublin accounted for 60% or 9,987. Put another way 59% of Dublin transactions exceeded the €220,000 threshold, whereas outside of the commuter counties just 17% of transactions, or 4,300, exceeded that mark. ‘The Central Bank mortgage lending rules have prevented households from reacting to the lack of housing supply by taking on ever more highly leveraged loans and bidding up house prices further. However our analysis shows this has been mainly a Dublin/commuter belt phenomenon where the lack of housing supply is most severe and affordability… Continue reading
Research reveals high number of sellers who end up paying inheritance tax
One in four properties sold in England and Wales in 2015 were above the inheritance tax limit and the number sold for more than £325,000 have doubled since 2009, new research shows. Proportions were even higher in some locations, for example, 94% of properties sold in East Central London were over the inheritance tax nil-rate band, says the research from Saga Investment Services. The research also found that just one in 10 individuals can correctly identify the IHT threshold for a single person, and a mere 4% for married couples and civil partners. Just 10% correctly said £325,000, some 21% thought it was higher and 19% said it was lower, while 50% didn’t know. The report points out that new ‘main residence’ allowance to be introduced in April 2017 will benefit home owners. Overall the number of properties sold at prices above the £325,000 starting point has doubled over the past six years from 13% of properties in 2009 to 24% in 2015, according to the study which analysed six years’ worth of property sales data published by the Land Registry. Despite the number of property sales in 2015 decreasing by 3.7% compared to 2014, sales exceeding £325,000 have soared by 11.4% over the same period. A breakdown of the figures show that after East Central London the next location with the highest number of property sales over the IHT threshold is West London with 90%, then South West London at 88%, the West End of London at 86% and North West London at 83%. But outside of central London, the proportion of properties sold above £325,000 has also been rising sharply. Some 28% of postcode areas have seen the number of property sales exceeding the IHT threshold double in the past six years, including Brighton, Bromley, Bristol, Cambridge, Colchester, Croydon, Durham, Northampton, Norwich, Portsmouth, Stevenage, Tweed, Uxbridge and Watford. For married couples and civil partners, any unused IHT allowance can be passed on to the surviving partner, meaning the total that can currently be handed over without a potential tax bill could be £650,000. Across England and Wales, the number of properties sold above this level has doubled since 2009, from 2.4% to 5.5%. There are 17 postcode areas in which one in every 10 properties sold in 2015 exceeded £650,000, compared to seven in 2009. In 2015 some 60% of all properties sold in the EC postcode area exceeded £650,000, up from 14% in 2009, while 56% of property sales in West End, 53% in West London and 44% of sales in South West London. The research also shows that just 4% of over 50s living in London correctly identified the IHT threshold for married couples and civil partners and 17% believed there was currently no maximum, while 20% thought the threshold was lower. On 06 April 2017 a new IHT allowance will be introduced for people passing on their main home to a direct descendant. This will rise each… Continue reading
