Tag Archives: taiwan
2016 set to see continued record investment in UK commercial property markets
The next 12 months is set to be another year of strong returns for investors in the UK’s commercial property sector with investment volumes expected to be as strong as 2015 which was a record year. The latest forecast from global real estate advisor CBRE suggests that total investment in UK commercial property will be around £70 billion in 2016 and the firm predicts attractive total returns of around 10.1%, declining thereafter but remaining positive through to 2020. The report explains that as capital value growth slows, income will become the most important driver of returns. A strong economy and an increasing role in e-commerce suggests that the industrial property market will outperform with total returns of 9.5% pa on average for each of the next five years. Retail property is expected to experience happier times as consumer disposable incomes recover, with returns of 7.0%, while recovering supply in the office market will constrain total returns to 7.4% on average each year to 2020. It also points out that foreign investment has long been one of the main drivers of the central London market and while this rose further in 2012/2013 it levelled out at around 70% of all central London investment in 2014/2015. In contrast, foreign investment has not historically been a significant part of the UK market outside central London, making up only around 20% of acquisitions. However, in recent years foreign investment outside London has increased. Indeed, in 2015 so far some 32% of transactions by value outside London have attracted foreign buyers from 31 different countries, a noticeable increase in the diversity of investors. Looking ahead the firm says that the origins of foreign capital will also change. Asian investment inflows have been higher than the 10 year average, with countries like Singapore and Taiwan becoming more important. Meanwhile, European and US investors have withdrawn a little over the last year, potentially due to a recovery in Europe promising relatively better value than the UK. Increasingly, Middle East investment is coming from private wealth rather than sovereign wealth, given the latter is suffering from the low oil price. ‘After several years of strong investment and capital growth, 2016 will offer steadier and more sustainable returns for the commercial property market. The UK economy remains strong, underpinning the rental value growth which will form a much more important part of investor returns than in the last few years,’ said Miles Gibson, head of UK research at CBRE UK. ‘Overseas investment will remain strong and increasingly diversified as London maintains its status as the global centre for property investment. But we predict increasing interest in, and outperformance by, office and industrial property markets in the wider South East and other big UK cities, and a long-awaited recovery in retail,’ he added. According to Ciaran Bird, UK managing director of CBRE UK, property will continue to be a bellwether for the UK economy… Continue reading
US and Chinese set to dominate London commercial property market in 2015
Chinese and US money is set to dominate London’s commercial property market in 2015 after Chinese investors accounted for more inward investment in 2014 than all European buyers collectively. Of the £21 billion spent in the London market, some £14.6 billion or 70% was attributed to foreign buyers. US investors spent £3.4 billion, Chinese £2.2 billion and Qatari investors £1.2 billion, according to a new analysis from international real estate advisor Savills. China Life was one of the biggest new entrants of the year with its deal at 10 Upper Bank Street. Chinese investors were the biggest buyer group from Asia, with developers such as Shanghai Greenland, Ping An Trust and China Overseas Land Investment purchasing properties. The Savills report also shows that these investors are not limited to single transactions, and anticipate more activity. US investors including Blackstone, Kennedy Wilson and Hines have secured some of the larger deals such as Alban Gate, 111 Buckingham Palace Road and 25 Cabot Square, with Northstar entering the UK for the first time purchasing a property in Woking before going on to purchase a 1.1 billion euro portfolio which included four assets in London. Other new entrants, who Savills is acting for, include parties from Taiwan, Turkey, Singapore, Israel and Yemen. ‘Debt is a significant factor in drawing in these international parties, falling swap rates and competition between lenders is making borrowing cheaper,’ said Rasheed Hassan, director of cross border investment at Savills. ‘Aside from that there is genuine confidence in the strength of the occupational market with rents steadily rising. These pull factors are further boosted by push factors such as the returns in the bond markets as compared to property and some economic instability across other geographies,’ he added. According to Eric Zhao, Savills Chinese Capital Markets Specialist, Chinese investors coming into the UK market are mainly developers and insurance companies. ‘The top Chinese developers are being driven by challenges in the domestic market and global branding needs,’ he said. ‘Insurance companies are beginning to diversify their huge capital outside of China after the restriction on overseas investment was lifted by the regulator. We have already seen the top Chinese firms make a statement in London and we are expecting more to follow,’ he added. The report reveals a rise in private investors entering the London markets and points out that appetite from these parties has not been restricted to smaller lot sizes, with the Savills sale of The Gherkin to the Safra family, as the most significant larger private investor transaction as well as others from China, Spain and Hong Kong. ‘Whilst further in-flight of capital will keep turnover levels high, very few of the international institutional type investors have demonstrated a willingness to go to the initial yield levels that have been seen on the UK prime assets,’ said Stephen Down, Savills head of Central London . ‘Whether they will go to these levels depends on further rental growth coming through… Continue reading
Strong earthquake kills one in central Taiwan
An earthquake rattled a province in the southern Philippines as people slept, injuring at least nine people, damaging dozens of houses and setting off a landslide that partially blocked a road with boulders, officials said on Sunday. The quake, which had a magnitude of 5.7, struck North Cotabato province and nearby regions late Saturday, causing the injuries, including to children, and damaging more than 30 houses, the approach to a bridge and water supply pipes in two villages, North Cotabato Governor Emmylou Tolentino-Mendoza said. It damaged a school in the hilly village of Kimadzil where many residents remained jittery because of continuing aftershocks, said Mendoza, who added she scrambled out of her home like other villagers when the ground started to shake and objects fell off from shelves. “It’s a big relief that no motorist was passing through our highway when boulders rolled down from the mountainside,” she said. The Philippine archipelago is located in the Pacific “Ring of Fire,” where earthquakes and volcanic activity are common. A magnitude-7.7 quake killed nearly 2,000 people on the northern island of Luzon in 1990. Continue reading
