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Cost of housing in UK means more young people still living with their parents
Affordability issues mean that more young adults aged 20 to 34 in the UK are more likely to be sharing a home with their parents than any time since 1996, new research shows. There were 618,000 more young adults living with their parents in 2015 than in 1996 at 3.3 million compared with 2.7 million, according to the data from the Office of National Statistics (ONS). Nearly half of 20 to 24 year olds lived with their parents in 2015, compared with a fifth of 25 to 29 year olds. For 30 to 34 year olds, this figure was less than one in 10. The research shows that the percentage of young adult householders owning their home decreased from 55% in 1996 to 30% in 2015 for 25 to 29 year olds and from 68% to 46% for 30 to 34 year olds. The percentage of 25 to 34 year old householders renting their home has surpassed those who own their homes over the last decade. There has been a noticeable increase in renting since the early 2000s and the ONS says that this may be due to increased demand for rented housing as house prices increase and an increased supply of privately rented housing from a growing number of buy to let investors. The increase in renting has been largest for householders who are aged 20 to 24. In 2015 some 91% of householders aged 20 to 24 were living in rented accommodation; this is higher than all other age groups. Only 9% of 20 to 24 year old householders owned their homes either outright or with a mortgage or loan in 2015, down from 30% in 1996. Saving for a deposit is often seen as one of the biggest hurdles to home ownership and the report says that first time buyers’ deposits have increased from around 10% of the purchase price in 1996, to a peak of 27% in 2009. This was the height of the economic downturn, when mortgage lenders placed greater restrictions on the mortgage lending criteria used to assess applicants’ ability to afford a home loan. In recent years the size of deposits paid has fallen slightly but remained above 20% of the purchase price on average. The size of deposits paid by first time buyers has risen more than deposits paid by existing home owners. This is because prospective first time buyers who have smaller deposits saved were less likely to be approved for a mortgage, and therefore less likely to buy a home. That left only those with larger deposits who did buy their first home, which in turn pushed up the average deposit paid. Between 1971 and 1999, the amount paid for a house by first time buyers with a mortgage fluctuated between two and three times their annual income. After 2000, this ratio increased rapidly, driven by increasing house prices , reaching a peak of more than 4.5 times their annual income in 2004 and… Continue reading
UK landlords cautious over investment due to buy to let changes
Government policies aimed at cooling the UK’s buy to let market are making landlords cautious about their future investment plans for 2016, increasing pressure on the private rental sector, research shows. Although 68% of landlords surveyed by lettings agency Belvoir had not raised their rent in the last 12 months, some 86% believe that increased purchasing costs for investment properties will inevitably lead to increased rents. The majority of landlords who responded to the survey were investment landlords with one to 10 properties and 93% of these rental properties were located in England. They were asked how changes to stamp duty and taxation were likely to influence their investment plans for the next 12 months and 44% said they will be adopting a cautious approach to further investment. Some 68% of landlords had not increased their rents at all in the last 12 months, and almost half of those surveyed have no plans to increase rents in the next 12 months. However 88% believe that increased purchasing costs for investment properties, due to a rise in stamp duty and lack of buy to let mortgage tax relief, will ultimately lead to increased rents. Landlords are almost equally divided in their views as to whether they think buy to let remains a good investment for new people coming into the market. A total of 46% thought it would still be a good investment and 40% thought it would not, with 14% undecided. When asked what effect on the rental sector the Government’s drive on home ownership will have, the results were varied, with some landlords predicting a slowdown and others predicting minimal effect, as so many people are not in a position to buy their own homes or prefer the freedom of renting. There were also concerns that many landlords would get rid of potentially uneconomic property portfolios, resulting in a shortage of rental property and large rent rises. ‘The majority of landlords named George Osborne’s anti-landlord policies as the single largest challenge that landlords will face in 2016. This is entirely in line with our prediction that increased Government interference in the buy to let market will put a real squeeze on the supply of property in the rental market in 2016 and beyond,’ said Belvoir managing director Dorian Gonsalves. Meanwhile, the firm’s rental index shows that in the fourth quarter of 2015 many of their lettings agents across the country are not reporting a mass exodus of rental properties from the market. Of those that are leaving, many are accidental landlords who are anticipating being hit by the impending loss of mortgage interest relief. Indeed, in many areas, including Wales, there has been increased activity with landlords looking for advice to buy further properties before the stamp duty increase kicks in. In cities such as Cambridge, where the population is increasing, there are… Continue reading
High property land prices in Australian capital cities bringing sales down
There is strong evidence of intensifying supply constraints in the residential land market in Australia, especially in the country’s state capital cities. The number of residential lot sales fell by 2.7% in the third quarter of 2015 while median lot prices rose by 4.2%, according to the report from the Housing Industry Association and real estate analytics company CoreLogic RP Data. The index report explains that the tightening of market conditions was concentrated in the capital cities, where prices increased by 5.4% but the number of lots transacted actually fell by 4.5%. According to Shane Garrett, HIA senior economist, with the Australian population now over 24 million for the first time, the report provides a sobering indictment of how land supply policy is not keeping pace with the housing needs of a growing population. ‘The combination of strong land price growth yet declining transaction volumes are hallmarks of a market constrained by supply bottlenecks. Ineffective land supply policy will limit Australia’s long term growth potential and erode competitiveness by forcing costs up,’ he explained. ‘The key supply side issues like planning delays, efficient infrastructure provision and the mammoth taxation burden on new housing need urgent attention. Otherwise, living standards for Australia’s 24 million residents will never reach their full potential,’ he added. According to CoreLogic RP Data research director Tim Lawless, the number of vacant land sales has been trending lower since reaching a recent peak over the June quarter of 2014, with the median land price continuing to push higher despite lower volumes. ‘Buyer demand across the vacant land market has remained strong, which is why prices are rising on lower sales, however, as land prices rise it is likely block sizes will have to reduce in order to maintain an affordable price point for buyers,’ he said. He pointed out that median lot prices have risen across every capital city over the past 12 months except for Adelaide where they fell by 1%. The tight supply of land across Sydney has seen median land prices rise by the most of any capital city over the past year, up 22.8% compared with a weighted average across the capitals of 10.7% growth. ‘Despite having the most expensive housing and vacant land, Sydney is currently showing the second largest median lot size amongst the capital cities at 537 square metres. Somewhat counterintuitively, the median land area has historically been the smallest in Adelaide, with the September quarter data showing a median lot size of just 375 square metres,’ Lawless said. Continue reading
