Tag Archives: sales
Brexit analysis shows vote has affected UK prices and sales
Overall, both property prices and sales in the UK have fallen by around 8% since the referendum decision to leave the European Union, but there are wide regional variations. London, the Home Counties and Northern Ireland have been the hardest hit by Brexit, according to a survey covering the four weeks before and after the vote on 23 June carried out by ReallyMoving. It found that sales fell by 8% and prices also fell by 8% across the country but sales were down much further in London by 44% while prices in Scotland increased by 15%. Sales volumes fell markedly, down 12% for the month after the vote compared to the month before, based on the 35,000 people who registered for quotes for conveyancing, surveys and removals with the firm. Although some summer seasonal decline is expected, typically around 4% to 5%, the firm says that this is a seasonally adjusted 8% fall, an unusually high volume drop and the fall of 8% in average property is a significantly larger month on month change than seen at any point in the previous five years. Looking at the breakdown in prices and transaction volumes across the UK reveals striking regional differences. While London remains by far the highest-priced region, prices have fallen 12% since Brexit, and property purchases down 44%. The number of property purchases has fallen in all regions, most strongly in London, the Home Counties, and Northern Ireland, while Wales saw a drop of just 3%. Although prices fell significantly in London, there were even bigger declines in the North East of England and Northern Ireland, as both fell 17%. But, prices rose by 15% in Scotland, and by a more modest 7% in Wales. International moves have increased markedly since Brexit, but only for moves away from the UK, which have increased by 43%. Moves to the UK are broadly unchanged. The most popular destinations for international moves from the UK are to Spain, USA, Canada, Australia, Germany and Italy. ‘Brexit has had a marked impact on the UK property market. The drop in transaction volumes has been striking, particularly in London, the Home Counties and Northern Ireland,’ said Rob Houghton, chief executive officer of ReallyMoving. ‘In the medium term we would expect volumes to pick up if the price falls are maintained, but it is clear that many prospective home movers are sitting tight until there's greater clarity over the post-Brexit economy and our likely new relationship with the rest of the EU,’ he added. Continue reading
Prime commercial property rents up across UK in second quarter of 2016
Rents across the UK’s prime commercial property increased by 1% in the second quarter of 2016, boosted by near record levels of rental growth in central London shops, according to a new report. The latest CBRE’s Prime Rent and Yield Monitor shows that in a quarter characterised by uncertainty around the European Union referendum, prime yields remained stable, implying flat capital values overall. Rents grew significantly across several sectors during the quarter, with high street shops and industrial rents rising 2.8% and 1.4% respectively. Central London saw the greatest rental growth among high street shops driving up overall shop rents, increasing by 8.9% over the last quarter, some way ahead of the 0.2% rental growth in shops across the rest of UK. Indeed, a third of the tracked locations in Central London saw rent increases over the quarter, showing that retailers are still willing to pay premium rents for the limited stock available in the most sought after streets of the capital. Prime yields remained almost flat during the quarter, rising by 4bps to remain close to 5.4%. Yields from prime shops and shopping centres remained unchanged over the three months, while the office sector also saw little yield fluctuation, ticking up 1bp. Industrials and retail warehouses were the main drivers of the slight uplift in overall yields in the second quarter. ‘The second quarter wasn’t exactly business as usual for the UK’s political and economic landscape, but despite the heightened uncertainty in the run up to the referendum vote, the commercial property sector demonstrated strong underlying health, with yields largely unmoved in core markets,’ said Miles Gibson, head of UK research at CBRE. ‘In particular, ample demand for commercial space pushed up rents nationwide, especially in prime London retail, which saw some of the highest rental growth on record. The capital is open for business, and remains an attractive proposition for occupiers seeking to locate in a world leading global city, and investors and landlords capitalising on this desire,’ he pointed out. ‘Although the shadow cast by Brexit means rental growth is unlikely to grow at this pace next quarter, the UK is well positioned to capitalise on the demand for new space,’ he added. Continue reading
Hong Kong saw residential property prices stabilise in June
Residential property prices in Hong Kong stabilised in June with more activity mainly in the primary sector, as developers launched new projects with deep discounts and other enticements. According to the Land Registry, residential sales in June edged up 0.7% month on month, reaching 4,620 units. The gain was attributed mainly to robust activity in the new homes market. Meanwhile there have been more home buyers returning to the market looking for bargains, according to the latest monthly market review report from international real estate consultants Knight Frank. It points out that several new residential developments were oversubscribed in June. One example was Park Yoho Venezia in Yuen Long, which managed to sell over 90% of its available units within hours on the first day of the launch. This trend is expected to continue, with developers offering deep discounts and aggressive mortgage schemes to boost sales. Interest in the ultra-luxury residential market showed no signs of abating. For example, the top floor unit in Severn Villa on the Peak sold for HK$232 million or HK$170,463 per square foot, making it the most expensive apartment in Hong Kong. Knight Frank believes that high net worth individuals are expected to continue acquiring premium residential properties in Hong Kong given their scarcity and high status. The report also points out that the government of Hong Kong has announced that seven residential sites, capable of providing 4,800 flats, will be available for sale by application in the third quarter. As of the end of May, the number of homes pending pre-sale consent had risen 11% month on month to 14,526 units, the highest level in eight months, according to the Land Department. ‘Given the increase in supply and uncertainty brought about by Brexit, we maintain our forecast of a 5% to 10% drop in luxury home prices and up to a 10% decline in mass residential prices over the year,’ the report concludes. Meanwhile, in the commercial sector Grade-A office leasing on Hong Kong Island remained subdued in June. On the supply side, tight availability limited choices in the market, while on the demand side mainland companies slowed their expansion pace in Hong Kong after the previous leasing boom. The report points out that the Kowloon East office market remained very active, with the key driver being relocation demand from tenants across the harbour. One reported example involved Kingfisher, which moved from Cornwall House in Quarry Bay to KOHO in Kwun Tong. Over the past few months, a number of co-working space operators have been aggressively expanding in Hong Kong, becoming one of the major sources of demand for office space. For example, WeWork reportedly took up large office space of about 60,000 square feet in Asia Orient Tower in Wan Chai last month. A US co-working space operator reportedly took up four floors, spanning 29,000 square feet in Soundwill Plaza in Causeway Bay. ‘Looking ahead, we expect rents in core business areas to rise… Continue reading
