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Property prices and sales still falling in Dubai and Abu Dhabi

Residential sales and prices in Dubai are still on a downward trajectory and in neighbouring Abu Dhabi the market is also down apart from rentals. The Dubai residential property sales price index from REIDIN fell by 1.29% in May and prices are now down 5.7% year on year. A breakdown of the figures shows that apartment sales prices fell 1.19% month on month and are down 6.8% year on year while villa sales prices registered were down 1.72% on a monthly basis and down 0.8% year on year. Residential property prices in the Dubai rental market fell by 0.37% in May 2015 but have increased 1% year on year. In this sector apartment rental prices fell 0.44% month on month but are up 1.2% year on year while villa rental prices also fell 0.44% month on month and are unchanged on an annual basis. The firm’s Abu Dhabi residential property price index fell by 0.27% in May and prices are down 2.3% compared to May 2014. A breakdown of the figures shows that apartment sales prices fell 0.52% month on month and 4.5% year on year while villa sales prices increased 0.8% on a monthly basis but are still down 1.2% year on year. Residential property prices in the Abu Dhabi rental market have fared better, up 0.37% month on month and up 5.1% compared to May 2014. Apartment rental prices increased by 0.18% month on month and 2.8% year on year while villa rental prices were up 0.68% on a monthly basis and 7.5% year on year. Meanwhile, the latest figures from the Dubai Land Department (DLD) show that Dh64 billion of property transactions were completed in the first quarter of 2015 of which Dh24 billion was from property and land sales and Dh37 billion the result of new mortgages. The most popular areas for unit sales were Business Bay, where 1,202 units were sold for a combined Dh1.84 billion, followed by Dubai Marina. Of the Dh24 billion worth of land and property bought, some Dh9 billion was bought by GCC investors with Dh5.8 billion to Emiratis and Dh1.9 billion to Saudis. Dh3 billion was from other Arab investors and Dh12 billion from non-Arabs. When it comes to buyers outside of the Gulf region, the data shows that Indians bought Dh3 billon of properties, British buyers bought Dh1.9 billion and Pakistanis bought Dh1.4 billion. Iranian and Russian buyers rounded out the top five nationalities of non-Arab investors. ‘The figures are showing a well-established trust in our real estate market,’ said the DLD director general, Sultan Butti bin Mejren. Continue reading

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Spanish property markets such as Marbella see recovery, new analysis shows

After seven years of stagnation the property market in Spain is experiencing an uptick in sales and prices have reached bottom, according to a new analysis report. With the Spanish economy improving, unemployment falling, tax revenue growing and a more stable banking system, lending figures are on the rise, says the analysis from Diana Morales Properties, an associate of international real estate firm Knight Frank. It points out that the typical mortgage lending rate dropped from 4.21% to 3.29% over the course of 2014 and this has fed through to buyer confidence. Andalucía and the Canary Islands have seen some of the strongest surges in mortgage lending, up 25% and 26% respectively month on month, compared to the national average of 14.2%. This renewed confidence and interest in Spanish real estate is most evident in Madrid and Barcelona where capital flows into both cities’ commercial markets topped €2.7 billion in 2014, the analysis says. It also points out that the return of large US investment funds has been notable but not just in Spain’s main cities. ‘The acquisition of Sotogrande by US based Cerberus and developments to the east and west of Marbella by other US funds, as well as the purchase of Monte Mayor golf club by Russian investors hint at the extent to which the recovery is gaining traction,’ it says. Marbella, a popular area with overseas buyers is building on a property market recovery that began in 2013 despite Spanish buyers failing to return in any significant number in 2014 and the Ukraine crisis impacting on the number of Russian buyers. There was strong demand from an increasingly diversified client base of Scandinavian, Benelux, French, Arabian and Moroccan buyers which added to the record tourist numbers lending a certain buoyancy to the local economy. Marbella and its surrounding municipalities of Estepona and Benahavis together recorded a 27.7% increase in property sales in 2014 compared with a year earlier. Marbella, however, outperformed its neighbours, by experiencing an 89% jump in property sales between 2008 and 2014 according to Spain’s Ministry of Public Works. Benahavis and Estepona, by comparison, recorded rises of 62.3% and 22.8% respectively over the same period. It also reveals that the amount of time properties spend on the market is dropping if realistically priced, while in some prime beachfront locations there is even a shortage of available homes, complete with waiting lists for specific property types. The analysis says that new bank repossessions remain and this has prompted the return of new construction that remains for the moment primarily focused on individual villas and small to medium sized developments of apartments and villa communities. Continue reading

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Home buyers in London borrowing higher amounts, latest CML data shows

More mortgages were completed and a higher amount borrowed in Greater London in the third quarter of this year than in any quarter since 2007, according to the latest data from the Council of Mortgage lenders. House purchase lending to home buyers increased 12% quarter on quarter in London totalling £7.1 billion, a rise of 15% on the second quarter. Compared to the third quarter of 2013, the number of loans increased 3% and value of these loans increased by 13%. This is the highest quarterly volume in London since the fourth quarter 2007, and the highest amount borrowed since the third quarter of 2007. First time buyers took out more loans and borrowed more in total than in any quarter since 2007 totalling 13,300 loans and £3.3 billion. The affordability levels slightly improved with first time buyers typically borrowed 3.86 times their gross income, less than the 3.90 in the previous quarter but above the UK average of 3.41. The typical loan size for first time buyers was £221,997 in the third quarter, up from £212,500 in the previous quarter. The typical gross income of a first time buyer household was £58,000 compared to £55,255 in the second quarter. First time buyers in London have tended to put down larger deposits than in the UK, typically putting down a deposit worth 24% of the property value compared to the UK average of 17%. In the third quarter, first time buyers paid 21% of gross monthly income towards capital and interest payments, a minor change from the second quarter when it was 21.1%. Due to higher house prices within London compared to the UK overall, there was a continued shift in the mix of properties bought by first time buyers in London towards more expensive properties. In the third quarter, 66% of first time buyers bought properties priced at more than £250,000, up from 63% in the second quarter and 54% in the same period last year. This was significantly higher than the UK overall level of 20%. In the third quarter of 2014, lending to home movers saw larger growth quarter on quarter compared to first time buyer lending, but a slight decline in lending volumes when looking at year on year comparisons. Home movers did however borrow more this quarter than any other quarter since 2007 totalling £3.7 billion. Home mover affordability changed fractionally, with home movers typically borrowing 3.69 times their gross income compared to 3.66 in the second quarter and the 3.05 in the UK overall. The typical loan size for home movers was £290,000 in third quarter, up from £281,000 in the previous quarter. The typical gross household income of a home mover was £83,596 in third quarter compared to £82,614 in second quarter. Home movers in Greater London spent 20.8% of their gross income to cover monthly capital and interest payments, slightly changed from 20.6% in the second quarter and less than the 18.8% UK average. The number of loans advanced for… Continue reading

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