Tag Archives: real-estate
Buy to let investors pushing up property prices in UK ahead of tax change
The UK residential property market saw a modest rise in new instructions in January but despite higher supply there is still considerable demand due to buy to let investors seeking to avoid Aprils stamp duty change. The latest residential market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors also says that this means that the near term pressure on prices is intensifying despite a higher level of supply. Feedback to the survey continues to suggest that the recent increase in demand is due to a rush of buy to let investors looking to buy before the 3% stamp duty surcharge comes into effect in April. Some 74% of respondents expect there will be an increase in buy to let purchase as supply picked up across UK, most notably in London where the increase has been significant with a net balance of +58% more noting an increase. Elsewhere, sales instructions across the UK were much flatter. New buyer enquiries rose for the tenth successive month in January, with the pace of growth in enquiries accelerating for a second consecutive report. As activity in the housing market gathers pace overall, agreed sales have risen over the month at the fastest pace since April 2014. The picture across the UK is mixed but most areas have seen a rise in sales since the start of the year and further increases are expected. Supply has also gathered pace in the past two months but stock remains low with 46 properties per branch from 44.5, which is still 21% down compared to a year ago. Even with an improvement in supply, the rush to acquire buy to let property is pushing prices up, with 49% more surveyors reporting prices to have risen in January. Looking ahead, house prices are projected to rise further over the next 12 months, with 72% more contributors expecting prices to increase rather than fall. In the lettings market, tenant demand increased once more, with all areas of the UK seeing a rise in interest from prospective tenants during the three months to January and at the same time, landlord instructions were broadly flat. This extends an uninterrupted run in which supply has failed to keep pace with demand stretching back to 2009. As a result, expectations point to continued rental growth in all parts of the UK both at 12 month and five year time horizons, the report says. ‘How the tax changes planned for the buy to let sector over the next few years plays out remains to be seen, but there are concerns raised in the survey that existing landlords will look to either gradually scale back on their portfolios or exit the market altogether as the more penal regime begins to bite,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Against this backdrop, it is perhaps not surprising that our key indicators point to further rent, as well as house price increases. Steve Bolton, founder of Platinum Property Partners, pointed out that those investors… Continue reading
Canary Wharf set to see strongest office rental growth in central London this year
Canary Wharf is set to have the strongest central London office rental growth in 2016 with an increase of 12.8%, followed by Shoreditch at 10% and Midtown at 9.6%, according to a new analysis. Affordability is the main driver for rents to increase, along with the development of Crossrail, integrating Canary Wharf with the rest of central London, and a general shortage of available offices across London, says the Knight Frank report. This will push tenants seeking high quality affordable offices eastwards, with Canary Wharf well placed to benefit. Expansion by Technology and Creative firms will contribute to the shift, as they are growing fast and increasingly seeking larger offices, it explains. It also says that Shoreditch’s increase in office rents will principally be driven by technology sector expansion. The more mature, established heavy weight tech firms have firmly established a London rival for California’s Silicon Valley in the area, which is set to continue to grow over the next 12 months. Indeed, the technology sector was the largest source of demand for office space in central London in 2015, for the fifth consecutive year, and rents in Shoreditch grew by nearly 24% in 2015, nearly double the 12% increase seen in the neighbouring City Core which is London’s traditional financial district. Moreover, at £65.00 per square foot, rents in Shoreditch have closed the gap on the City Core rents which stood at £70 per square foot at the end of the fourth quarter of 2015. In 2007, Shoreditch rents were £42.50 per square foot, about a third less than the City Core at £63.50 per square foot. Central London vacancy rate levels are at a 14 year low, the report also shows, the lowest since the first quarter of 2001, with the West End at 3.4%, the lowest since 1989. ‘The gap between rents in traditional core areas and other sub-markets has never been so small. Occupiers are making decisions based on quality of product and amenity, availability of scale, adjacency of workforce and not by postcode,’ said Dan Gaunt, head of City Leasing at Knight Frank. According to James Roberts, Knight Frank chief economist, what has surprised everyone is that Shoreditch office rents have got so close to those of the City Core. ‘Everyone assumed the tech firms could not afford rents that high,’ he said. ‘However, the more successful start-ups from five or six years ago have matured into larger, established companies with deeper pockets. They now need bigger, modern, high quality offices, and they can afford to pay to get what they want. It’s what happened in Silicon Valley but there the process took decades, in Shoreditch it has happened in a few years,’ he added. Continue reading
US home foreclosures continuing to fall, latest data shows
Foreclosures in the United States are continuing to decline with the latest data showing they fell 30% in December year on year, the sixth consecutive month with an annual decrease in foreclosure starts. However, the figures from real estate data firm RealtyTrac also shows that bank repossessions (REOs) in December increased 65% from a year ago, the 10thconsecutive month with an annual increase in REOs. ‘In 2015 we saw a return to normal, healthy foreclosure activity in many markets even as banks continued to clean up some of the last vestiges of distress left over from the last housing crisis,’ said Daren Blomquist, vice president of RealtyTrac. ‘The increase in bank repossessions that we saw for the year was evidence of this clean up phase, which largely involves completing foreclosure on highly distressed, low value properties,’ he explained. ‘Meanwhile, local economic problems became a larger driver of foreclosure activity in 2015 Examples of this are Atlantic City, New Jersey, which posted the nation’s highest metro foreclosure rate for the year, along with several heavy oil-producing markets in Texas and Oklahoma where foreclosure activity increased in 2015, counter to the national trend,’ he added. Counter to the national trend, 24 states and the District of Columbia posted an increase in foreclosure activity in 2015 compared to 2014, including Massachusetts up 55%, Missouri up 50%, Oklahoma up 36%, New York up 24% and Texas up 16%. Among the nation’s 20 largest metro areas, six posted year on year increases in foreclosure activity in 2015. In Boson they were up 44%, up 38% in St. Louis, up 25% in Dallas, up 22% in Detroit, up 9% in New York and up less than 1% in Houston. A total of 569,835 properties started the foreclosure process in 2015, down 11% from 2014 and down 73% from the peak of more than 2.1 million foreclosure starts in 2009 to a 10 year low. Bucking the national trend, foreclosure starts increased in 2015 in 16 states, including Oklahoma up 92%, Massachusetts up 67%, Missouri up 28%, Virginia up 23%, Nevada up 14% and Arkansas up 14%. A total of 449,900 properties were repossessed by lenders in 2015, up 38% from 2014 but still 57% below the peak of nearly 1.1 million bank repossessions (REOs) in 2010. The median price of a bank owned home in 2015 was 41% below the median price of all homes, the biggest bank owned discount nationwide since 2006. ‘That may be surprising to some, but demonstrates that in a healthy real estate market foreclosures are no longer mainstream, but instead are back to being a market niche of properties with problems that many buyers do not want to tackle,’ said Blomquist. Bank repossessions (REOs) increased from a year ago in 41 states and the District of Columbia. Some of the biggest increases were in New Jersey which was up 226%, New York up 194%, Texas up 115%, North Carolina up 108%, and Oregon up 96%. Foreclosures in… Continue reading
