Tag Archives: real estate
Uncertainty creeping into UK housing market likely to be short term
Uncertainty is set to creep into the UK housing market due to stamp duty changes, the European Union referendum and forthcoming regional elections, it is claimed. Overall short term confidence in the market has flattened following the rush from buy to let investors to beat the extra 3% imposed on additional homes at the start of April, says the latest monthly survey report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). Survey respondents say that the uncertainty is fuelled by stamp duty changes, a weaker pound, the UK potentially leaving the EU (Brexit) and devolved elections in Scotland and Wales and local elections in England. The report also shows that the rate of house price inflation is slowing with indicators pointing to more modest house price gains and house prices have fallen further in London than elsewhere. These factors have been most strongly felt in central London, where 38% more respondents expected to see house prices fall over the next three months. The report also says that across the UK, while expectations around the number of new house sales peaked following the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement, this trend has reversed with 2% more respondents expecting to see the number of sales fall rather than rise over the coming months. Confidence around house price inflation has also dampened with 17% of respondents (net balance) expecting to see prices rise over the next three months, compared to 44% (net balance) in December. However, the longer term outlook suggests that prices will still be expected to rise by more than 4% each year for the next five years across England and Wales, with prices in London projected to grow by a broadly similar amount rising by 3% each year over the same period. Despite, the increased rates of stamp duty tax, now expected to be paid by prospective landlords, rent inflation, while expected to increase, is not predicted to rise any faster than it has in previous months. Although over the next five years respondents continue to anticipate rents will increase by an average of 4.5% per annum, there is no indication yet that tax increases are being passed on to the tenant. The expected rate of rent of inflation has remained constant for the past year at around 3%. ‘As expected, the buy to let rush has now run its course and, as a natural result, the market is starting to slow. But there are other significant factors that are currently weakening short term confidence in the UK property market,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Elections inevitably bring with them periods of uncertainty in the market, and our figures would suggest that next May’s devolved elections are no exception. Likewise, the EU referendum, is likely to be an influencer in terms of the damper outlook for London in particular,’ he added. ‘However, all indications suggest that whatever the outcome of the forthcoming elections and referendum, in the long term, the imbalance between demand and… Continue reading
Storm damage and burst pipes cause the most damage in UK buy to let properties
Storm damage, burst pipes and damage from break-ins were the top reasons that buy to let property investors make insurance claims, new research has found. The most common claim was for storm damage, which cost an average of £1,500 to repair, followed by damage to ceilings, walls and carpets caused by burst pipe with an average £4,500 repair bill. The analysis of data from 100,000 policies by Simple Landlords Insurance also found that the third most common reason for making a claim was property damage caused by burglars with an average claim of £2,300. The most expensive claim in the top 10 is £25,000 to repair the damage caused by an electrical fire and the report also explains how insurance premiums can vary significantly according to property type, location, and tenant type. Andrew Weston from Simple Landlords Insurance said the research is useful for landlords as it helps them to find out the practical measures they can take to avoid the hassle and time of making an insurance claim, all of which will benefit them further by keeping premiums low. ‘Saving money will become even more important for landlords in coming years as tax increases announced by the Chancellor are phased in, which for many investors could make the difference between profit and loss,’ he pointed out. ‘Buying insurance is often one of the last things buy to let investors consider. Having a clear understanding of the key factors that can influence a premium will save landlords money in the long run,’ he added. The report warns landlords about damages that are not covered by insurance policies. The most common reason that a landlord did not have cover was that they hadn’t purchased accidental damage cover in their policy. The report also explains that while you never know where a storm will hit, certain features can make properties particularly vulnerable to harsh weather conditions. Properties with conservatories attached and dormer windows are especially likely to be damaged by high winds and excessive rain during a storm. An example is a property in Edinburgh which needed more than £11,000 worth of repairs, including Perspex roof covering to the buildings’ exterior and solid oak flooring to its interior after two panels from its conservatory roof were ripped off during high winds in January 2015. In Keighley, West Yorkshire, another landlord sustained damage worth just under £5,000 when their conservatory roof was replaced after every single roof pane was punctured by hailstones during a storm in July 2015. A landlord in the West Midlands was contacted by his student tenants following a break in. The burglars smashed through the back door and tried to enter all the bedrooms upstairs. All the doors were locked but the thieves damaged the doors and frames with the damage amounting to almost £5,000. Continue reading
Asking prices rise across the UK apart from in London
Asking prices increased in all parts of the UK except London, up 0.5% month on month, according to the latest property index to be published. The East of England saw the largest monthly rise of 1% as demand continues to outweigh supply in the region but overall the annual home price for England and Wales fell to 7.5%, the data from the Home.co.uk index shows. The report suggests that typical time on Market figures in the East of England, the South East and Greater London are contrary to seasonal expectations, and this is a clear indicator that the anticipated slowdown is taking hold as demand dips, at least for the time being, while the market pauses for breath. The total stock of property for sale remains historically very low indeed despite gradually rising supply in London and Scotland. In all English regions outside of London and in Wales, scarcity holds firm as the key market driver. Overall, the number of properties entering the UK market is down 6% compared to a year ago. The supply shortage is most keenly felt in the West Midlands where 12% less new stock arrived on estate agents' books during last month compared to March 2015, and this will ensure prices in this region keep rising over the summer months. Similarly, the South West of England supply shortage is worsening as indicated by 11% less stock being registered on agent portfolios last month. The index report point out that market activity in the formerly lacklustre North East shows signs of significant improvement. There and in the North West, marketing times have reduced considerably and prices are on the rise. The North West market is improving more quickly as supply levels in this region indicate a new declining trend and consequently prices may show further significant upward progress across the rest of the year. Meanwhile, the Welsh property market remains the poorest performer. Prices there have fallen by 0.2% over the last six months and marketing times are higher than in any English region or Scotland. ‘Overall, the current mix-adjusted average asking price for England and Wales is now 7.5% higher than it was in April 2015, and we predict further rises over the next few months due to worsening supply in an increasing number of regions. However, the year on year rise is expected to attenuate as the London market cools,’ said Doug Shephard, the firm’s director. He explained that a buy to let stampede ahead of the new stamp duty charges means that growth might now slow. ‘Any sort of lull in demand from investors will be welcomed by first and next time buyers, especially those who had the wisdom to sit on their hands until the dust settled,’ he said. ‘The current figures suggest that London will be the best area to take advantage of waning demand and rising supply, but prices today remain very high and properties will need to hang around on the market much… Continue reading
