Tag Archives: real estate
Residential property price growth in Australian capital cities slowing
The pace of growth in residential property prices across Australia’s eight capital cities is slowing amid signs that sales momentum is waning, the latest data shows. In the March quarter of 2016 prices were 6.8% than 12 months previously, according to the figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). But this was slower than throughout 2015 when growth averaged 9% per annum. ‘This deceleration is largely being driven by developments in the Sydney residential property market, where annual price growth eased back into single figure territory in March this year. Sydney prices grew at an annual rate of 9.7%, beating the national average, but are also the city’s slowest pace of growth in almost three years,’ said Diwa Hopkins, Housing Industry Association economist. ‘This deceleration in price growth has occurred against a backdrop of waning momentum in property transfers, particularly amongst non-detached housing. The volume of attached dwelling transfers across Australia grew strongly in 2013 and 2014. The volume of transfers was virtually unchanged in 2015 and signs of a pullback in 2016 are now emerging,’ she explained. A breakdown of the figures shows that price growth remained strongest in Melbourne with an increase of 9.8%, followed by Sydney up 9.7%, then Canberra up 4.6, Hobart up 4.2%, Brisbane up 4.1% and Adelaide up 3.1%. In other capital cities prices growth has fallen, led by Darwin with a fall of 4.9% and in Perth prices fell by 4.5% in the year to the March 2016 quarter. Meanwhile, the HIA’s latest bi-annual Housing Scorecard shows that there were over 220,000 dwellings commenced in Australia during 2015, a new annual record. However, there were significant divergences in conditions for residential building around the country. The eastern seaboard states have been the strongest performers, the mining states are sliding down the order, while South Australia and Tasmania are facing the most challenging conditions, according to said HIA economist Geordan Murray. The report shows that there is little to separate the top two ranked states, but it is Victoria that has edged out New South Wales to take the top spot. With nearly 70,000 dwellings commenced in 2015, it is not all that surprising that Victoria was number one, but Victoria also ranked as the strongest market for renovations. Western Australia is off the pace of the top two states, but still ranks third. But Murray pointed out that the high ranking for Western Australia belies the challenging conditions emerging for residential building, as evidenced by nearly 18 months of falling home prices. ‘The state’s overall ranking is propped up by strong performances in indicators of residential building that is already underway. The leading indicators highlight the recent deterioration in conditions and the prospect of weaker conditions ahead, which the HIA has been warning of for a considerable time,’ he explained. He also explained that Queensland is not performing as strongly as Victoria and New South Wales, but the housing recovery is being tempered by the… Continue reading
Residential mortgages unlikely to be affected in short term by Brexit vote
Home mortgages in the UK are unlikely to be affected immediately by the decision to leave the European Union, according to finance commentators. However, it could be good news for first time buyers if price growth slows and interest rates fall with some experts predicting that the Bank of England might reduce rates even further than the current historic 0.5%. In the short term, people’s attention will be on interest rates and what impact this will have on mortgage costs, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders. ‘While markets are bound to react to the news, the question will be how long it takes for them to settle. We know the authorities will be mindful of this,’ said the CML spokesman. In the medium term, there will also be interest in the extent to which housing transactions are affected by economic uncertainty, and whether this will impact on house prices. The more quickly markets resettle, the lower the impact on the housing market is likely to be. However, any prolonged disturbance would inevitably impact the housing market. ‘For lenders, the treatment of customers and of mortgage applications will be business as usual. People who have received mortgage offers will not see them affected. People facing financial difficulty will continue to be treated constructively and positively,’ the CML spokesman explained. ‘Lenders remain open for business as usual. Mortgage pricing is unlikely to react instantly, although pricing may be affected in the foreseeable future because of the effect on lenders’ cost of funds arising from the perception of economic uncertainty. How long this lasts will depend on how quickly markets resettle,’ he added. Indeed, Mark Carney, governor of the Bank of England, quickly announced that any measures needed to support financial markets and the UK economy would come into play. These measures could include a cut in interest rates that could reduce home owners' monthly mortgage payments, a measure repeatedly taken during the financial crisis of 2008. James Roberts, chief economist at real estate firm Knight Frank, believes that an interest rate cut is on the cards. ‘We expect the Bank of England, seasoned by the experience of financial crisis, to respond quickly. An interest rate cut of 25 basis points is a strong possibility at the Monetary Policy Committee's July meeting, or perhaps earlier if required,’ he said. Continue reading
Sales in US reach highest level for a decade and prices reach all time high
Existing home sales in the United States increased in May to their highest pace in almost a decade and median sales prices reached an all-time high. While the uptick in demand this spring amidst lagging supply levels pushed the median sales price to an all-time high, according to the National Association of Realtors®. All major regions except for the Midwest saw strong sales increases last month. Total existing home sales, which are completed transactions that include single family homes, town homes, condominiums and co-ops, were up by 1.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.53 million in May from a downwardly revised 5.43 million in April. The data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows that with last month's gain, sales are now up 4.5% from May 2015 and are at their highest annual pace since February 2007. ‘This spring's sustained period of ultra-low mortgage rates has certainly been a worthy incentive to buy a home, but the primary driver in the increase in sales is more home owners realizing the equity they've accumulated in recent years and finally deciding to trade-up or downsize,’ said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. ‘With first time buyers still struggling to enter the market, repeat buyers using the proceeds from the sale of their previous home as their down payment are making up the bulk of home purchases right now,’ he pointed out. ‘Barring further deceleration in job growth that could ultimately temper demand from these repeat buyers, sales have the potential to mostly maintain their current pace through the summer,’ he added. Surpassing the peak median sales price set last June of $236,300) the median existing home price for all housing types in May was $239,700, up 4.7% from May 2015 and the 51st consecutive month of year on year gains. The data also shows that total housing inventory at the end of May rose 1.4% to 2.15 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 5.7% lower than a year ago while unsold inventory is at a 4.7 month supply at the current sales pace, which is unchanged from April. ‘Existing inventory remains subdued throughout much of the country and continues to lag even last year's deficient amount. While new home construction has thankfully crept higher so far this year, there's still a glaring need for even more, to help alleviate the supply pressures that are severely limiting choices and pushing prices out of reach for plenty of prospective first time buyers,’ said Yun. The share of first time buyers was 30% in May, down from 32% both in April and a year ago. First time buyers in all of 2015 also represented an average of 30%. Properties typically stayed on the market for 32 days in May compared to 39 days in April, which is below a year ago when it was 40 days and the shortest time since NAR began tracking in May 2011. Short sales were on the market the longest… Continue reading
