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Interest only mortgage loans in UK could be facing multi billion pound shortfall

Home owners in the UK are facing a £6.1 billion mortgage repayment shortfall in the next decade with 27% of those with interest only loans not able to pay it back, new research suggests. More than a million interest-only mortgages will mature over the next 10 years but more than a quarter of households won’t […] The post Interest only mortgage loans in UK could be facing multi billion pound shortfall appeared first on PropertyWire . Continue reading

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Active vs Passive: The Pros And Cons

When it comes to exposure to the agriculture sector, could exchange traded products be the better choice? By Laura Mossman | Published Jul 01, 2013 The appeal of the agriculture sector for investors is easy to understand – long-term drivers of growth and short-term opportunities make it a compelling option. Indeed, with the United Nations anticipating the global population could reach 10bn by 2100, the demand for food coupled with pressure on the amount of farmland look set to drive up the price of agricultural commodities and necessitate more investment in technology to improve efficiency. While the fundamentals are convincing, the best way for an investor to access agriculture is not as clear-cut. From opting to take a direct bet on an individual stock through to investing in a passive or active fund, the choice can be bewildering. Neil Jamieson, head of UK sales at ETF Securities, says the best way to navigate the options is to examine the motivation for the investment. “Investors need to consider whether they are investing for diversification and optimisation of returns in their broader portfolio or… to tilt their equity exposure towards a particular theme,” he says. “While equities are geared to the business cycle and driven up and down by underlying sentiment, agricultural commodities do not, on the whole, behave like that.” The key benefits of going for an exchange traded product are fundamentally the same as those that underpin passive investments in general: they are available at a much lower cost, they tend to perform in line with the average actively managed fund over the longer term and there is a wide choice. “For broad exposure, a basket of, say, 30 commodities will generally rise a little faster than the MSCI World index, but also fall a little faster, too,” Mr Jamieson adds. “Equally, agricultural commodities also afford some tactical options.” In the actively managed fund space, there are a number of options for investors who are willing to take on the risk and reward associated with the equity market. “Within [equities], agriculture looks attractive,” says Mike Horseman, managing director at investment specialist Cockburn Lucas. “We tend to use active managers, utilising the good managers there are in that space, then perhaps blending in some passive building blocks.” Mr Horseman cites the Sarasin AgriSar and Baring Global Agriculture funds as the leaders in the sector, offering good performance and diversification. The former has secured an annualised return of 5.1 per cent since it launched in 2008, while the latter has returned 7.8 per cent on an annualised basis in the past three years. Other strong offerings include the Allianz RCM Global Agriculture Trends, First State Global Agribusiness, Eclectica Agriculture and JPMorgan Natural Resources funds. Henry Boucher, manager of the Sarasin AgriSar fund, suggests seeking to understand the definition of agriculture each manager is working to. “For a lot of funds, the focus is large-cap North American agriculture stocks,” he says. “Instead, we look not only at the production of food in the developed world, but also the consumption of food in the emerging markets. It provides a wider spectrum of choice, and goes further than simply looking at how different stocks are going to perform in line with different commodity prices.” Overall, much of the choice boils down to each investor’s views on active versus passive funds, plus their desire to gain exposure directly to commodities or via a broader equity portfolio. The passive options stand up well, but a number of outstanding active managers in the space have proved their ability to add alpha over the long term. Laura Mossman is a freelance journalist Continue reading

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The Paradoxes Of EU Agricultural Policy

The European Union is among the world’s top five exporters of agricultural products with USA, Brazil, China and Argentina, and it is among the world’s top five importers of agricultural products with USA, China, Japan and Russia. Agriculture is one of the most important sectors of social and economic development within the EU. Over the years, the aims of EU agricultural policy have been to develop a competitive economy and create harmony among EU Countries. However, the result of this work has been a fragmented, contradictory, and unworkable legislative framework that threatens economic disaster. A review on the paradoxes of European agricultural policies will be published soon on the Journal Trends in Plant Science . In this review, the authors present case studies, in which the differences in the regulation applied to food grown in EU Countries and to the same imported products are noted. The highlighted differences show that the EU is hampering its own competitiveness in agriculture and consequently damaging both the EU and its humanitarian activities in the developing world. The review is especially focused on genetically engineered crops. It is not clear why the common agricultural policy (CAP) establishes restrictive measures for EU agricultural productions but the same measures are not observed for the same products imported from the countries where genetically modified organisms (GMOs) are authorized and thresholds of mycotoxines are lower. This is only one of the several paradoxes of the EU agricultural policy that, giving strict thresholds only to its own productions, is reducing the competitiveness of European agricultural on the world market. Another example of political inefficiency regards the subsidies policy that has a positive effect in short time but is not a significant tool to develop a competitive economy in the long term. The authors underline the need to implement the biotechnological findings, to harmonize and rationalize the common policy on both the EU production and genetically engineered crops importation, to harmonize the current measures of Member States and reduce the differences among them, to decentralize the rural economy measures and allow the farmers to use cost-saving technologies that can enhance the sustainability of the agricultural systems, etc. Finally, the authors conclude recommending the adoption of rational, science-based strategies to harmonize the different agricultural policies to prevent the economic decline and the reduction of living quality across the European Union. Source: Masip G., Sabalza M., Perez-Massot E., Banakar R., Cebrian D., Twyman R.M., Capell T., Albajes R., Christou P., ‘ Paradoxical EU agricultural policies on genetically engineered crops ’, Trends in Plant Science , 2013, in press. Publication date: 5/9/2013 Author: Emanuela Fontana Continue reading

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