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Prices rise in Dublin but fall elsewhere in Ireland

Residential property prices in Ireland increased overall by 7.1% in the 12 months to April 2016 and were up by 0.3% month on month, the latest official figures show. This compares with no change in March and an increase of 0.6% recorded in April of last year, according to the data from the Central Statistics Office (CSO), and the market is still open to some volatility with prices rising in Dublin but falling elsewhere. In Dublin residential property prices increased by 1.6% in April and were 4.6% higher than a year ago. Dublin house prices increased by 1.9% in the month and were 5% higher compared to a year earlier. The data also shows that Dublin apartment prices were 1.1% higher when compared with the same month of 2015. However, a CSO spokesman said it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland decreased by 0.6% in April compared with an increase of 0.3% in April of last year. Prices were 9.5% higher than in April 2015. It means that house prices in Dublin are 33.1% lower than at their highest level in early 2007 while apartments in Dublin are 41.5% lower than they were in February 2007 while overall prices in Dublin are 35.2% lower than at their highest level in February 2007. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland is 35.8% lower than their highest level in September 2007. Overall, the national index is 33.3% lower than its highest level in 2007. John McCartney, director of research at Savills, pointed out that price growth in Dublin has accelerated steadily over the first four months of the year, as predicted by the firm. ‘Price growth slowed in Dublin last year as tighter mortgage lending forced people into renting. However, this slowdown was always going to be temporary. The shift to renting has forced up rents, attracting investors who are now scrapping to buy properties and driving up prices. As this continues the Dublin market may become increasingly like London with expensive properties, many of which are owned by investors,’ he explained. He said that with tighter mortgage lending introduced in February 2015, many people were priced out of the Dublin market and bought properties in Wicklow, Meath and Kildare. This drove strong price increases in those counties last year, but he added that this has diminished their attractiveness, and increasingly, families are weighing up the cost savings against the longer commute and choosing to stay renting until they can assemble the deposit to buy in Dublin. Looking ahead, Savills says Dublin house price inflation will heat-up further in the coming months. ‘The only thing preventing stronger inflation in today’s figures was the strong growth recorded 12 months ago. However, prices slowed sharply from last May, meaning that next… Continue reading

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Land agent suggests UK govt target of a million new homes by 2020 is achievable

Land agent Aston Mead has hit back at those who have doubted the ability of the UK to build a million new homes by 2020. The pledge is at the heart of the government’s landmark Housing and Planning Bill, which received Royal Assent earlier this month. However, a recent survey of owners and directors of 389 house builders across England indicated that just over half, some 51%, thought the target would not be met. Aston Mead land planning director Adam Hesse said there is a danger that the planning pessimists out there will create a self-fulfilling prophecy. ‘A million homes by 2020 is perfectly possible as the Home Builders Federation have stated quite clearly. But it will need conviction and commitment, as well as further government policies in favour of development, and help to speed up the planning process,’ he explained. He pointed out that there have already been huge increases in output, with build rates on large sites doubling since 2010. There were more than 180,000 new homes delivered in 2014/2015, with this year’s figure expected to be higher still. ‘By 2019 the big companies will be building double what they did six years ago. Now we need to speed up the momentum even further, so that we ensure we reach the target of one million new homes by 2020,’ he added. Despite his optimism, Hesse believes that the industry needs to see more land coming through the planning system, and processes that support both large and smaller house builders. ‘Several significant advances have happened already. Brownfield sites will now automatically be approved for building, with £10 million worth of funding to help local authorities prepare them. There are also plans to relax the planning rules for smaller house builders, enabling them to gain automatic planning permission on suitable sites. And changes to the section 106 agreement will enable developers to provide affordable homes to buy, instead of affordable homes for rent,’ Hesse explained. He added that it is local councils, who are the largest landowners in the country, which will be key to the success of this project. ‘They must get up-to-date housing plans in place, ensuring that they are robust and evidence-based,’ he said. He also pointed out that councils should review their planning application process and the conditions attached to planning which represent such a major challenge for developers. Plus they need to streamline their planning processes and improve communication so that once approved, building can get underway quickly. ‘For their part, house builders are already investing in their supply chains and have taken on tens of thousands of new workers to ensure there is the capacity and skills required. All we need now is the conviction and commitment to carry it off,’ Hesse concluded. Continue reading

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UK property sales fell considerably in April, latest data shows

Residential property sales in the UK fell by 45.2% between March and April and was probably due to a boost in the previous weeks to beat the stamp duty surcharge for additional homes. The provisional seasonally adjusted UK property transaction figures from HMRC for April 2016 was 84,280 residential and 10,090 non-residential sales. April’s seasonally adjusted figure is 14.5% lower compared with the same month last year and the report says that the large increase in sales for March 2016 followed by the substantial reduction in April is likely to be associated with the stamp duty surcharge of 3% for buy to let properties and second homes. However, the report points out that whilst April 2016 is lower than April 2015, it should be noted that the total for March and April 2016 is still substantially higher than the corresponding period last year. The additional property rates were announced in the Autumn Statement 2015 for England, Wales and Northern Ireland, and in the Scottish Government's draft 2016/2017 budget for Scotland. The HMRC report also says that additional non-tax factors may have played a role as well, for example the Bank of England's plans to curb buy to let mortgages resulting in a rush to purchase. For April 2016 the number of non-adjusted residential sales was about 59.2% lower compared with March 2016. The number of non-adjusted residential transactions was 18.7% lower than in April 2015. Greg Bryce, managing director at SearchFlow, said it was inevitable that there would be a significant fall in April and he pointed out that if you take into account the total for March and April, activity levels are still substantially higher than the corresponding period last year. ‘The activity levels are widely recognised to be attributed to the additional surcharge and unreflective of any market malaise. Our latest conveyancing sentiment survey reveals that a third of conveyancers are expecting activity levels to increase by 1% to 10% over the next three months,’ said Bryce. ‘However, as expected, uncertainty surrounding the referendum is setting in, with 40% unsure how the market will perform over the next three months. But with the economy strong, employment level high, interest rates low and the economic and housing policies unlikely to change very much, the clear majority believe that regardless of the referendum result, activity levels will remain buoyant for the second half of the year,’ he added. The fall in sales was in line with industry expectations, according to Doug Crawford, chief executive officer of My Home Move. ‘With thousands of pounds potentially at stake there was a clear incentive for landlords to complete ahead of the 01 April deadline, and the falling off of transaction volumes confirms the vast majority did so,’ he said. He pointed out that the drop follows data published by the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) last week, which highlighted that mortgage lending fell 29% between March and April and he… Continue reading

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