Tag Archives: political
Prime central London annual price growth at lowest since 2009
Annual price growth in prime central London fell to 2.8% in April, the lowest rate since November 2009 and is unlikely to change much this year, according to a new market analysis. Growth has been on a downwards trajectory in recent months ahead of the general election, but the Conservative Party victory suggests April is likely to mark the low point in the cycle, says the analysis report from Knight Frank. According to Tom Bill, head of London residential research at the firm, the principal effect on the prime London property market is that the election result has removed the prospect of a mansion tax on properties worth more than £2 million. ‘We believe this will lift transaction levels but the extent of any short term boost to prices is less clear cut. It will also be significant to note to what degree the opposition Labour Party moderates its policies around wealth creation and taxation and whether this reduces the rhetoric of the wider economic debate,’ said Bill. He believes that following the Conservative Party general election victory, several short term outcomes are likely. ‘First, numerous transactions put on hold pending the outcome of the vote will proceed as the risk of further property taxation appears less of an immediate threat. Other sales will progress simply because the election is over and a deeper sense of political uncertainty has receded,’ he explained. ‘As the logjam unblocks, it is likely to be accompanied by a hardening of expectations on the part of vendors over asking prices and some will expect prices to immediately rise as a direct consequence of the election result,’ said Bill. ‘In the short term, the impact on pricing is likely to be less marked than some expect due to the quantity of properties coming onto the market. Many vendors lined up sales for Monday 11 May, irrespective of the outcome of the election. Also this short term increase in supply is likely to exceed any uptick in demand. Activity in the prime London market has dampened in recent months as buyers and sellers factor in political risks but also as they digest measures like the stamp duty increase,’ he explained. ‘The market is in the final stages of absorbing these changes, meaning some buyers will still proceed with care. Furthermore, some prospective buyers will have signed rental contracts as they hedged their bets on the outcome of the election, meaning they are unable to act for several months,’ he added. Bill also pointed out that there is likely to be a short delay before a supply/demand equilibrium returns and a likely ‘expectation gap’ between asking prices and the prices that new and newly active buyers are prepared to pay. ‘However, price growth is likely to return more quickly in markets that have underperformed the prime central London average, including areas in Kensington and Chelsea where there has been low single digit annual growth in recent years,’ he said. Bill explained… Continue reading
Optimism returns to UK housing market after mid 2014 dip, says BSA
Regardless of potential uncertainties such as the forthcoming general election, optimism has returned to the UK property market after a dip in the middle of 2014, a new survey shows. Some 36% of respondents to the property tracker index from the Building Societies Association said they believe that now is a good time to buy a home. The rebound since September is particularly marked by a substantial drop in the number of people who think now is a bad time to buy. Taken together, the Property Tracker index has bounced back from a 9% low in September 2014 to 23%. It points out that the dip in 2014 coincided with the introduction of new mortgage regulations and the announcement by the Financial Policy Committee of actions to limit lending in the housing market. Results now indicate that transaction volumes may begin to slowly pick up after cooling off late last year. Despite average wages increasing and high levels of employment, raising a deposit is the greatest barrier to buying a home. Overall, 59% of those surveyed say that this is the biggest hurdle they have to overcome, up by three percentage points on December 2014. The future prospect of a rise in the Bank Rate is an issue for many. Over one in 10 borrowers say that they would be forced to miss a payment on a bill if interest rates rose by 1% over the year ahead. A further 12% said that making loan repayments would be a constant struggle. ‘Optimism in the housing market is back after a long, slow winter. Conditions in the mortgage market and the wider economy are improving and this confidence is driving consumer sentiment, especially those looking to purchase a home,’ said BSA head of mortgage policy, Paul Broadhead. ‘Consumers and providers are also cheered by the fact that house building is starting to increase, household finances are less squeezed and inflation has fallen to 0%. Even if deflation happens, provided it is short lived and is not generated by a fall in demand in the economy, it should not be damaging,’ he pointed out. ‘The Financial Policy Committee will keep watching property prices and sales volumes carefully. It, saw the need to act last year and now has a range of new tools at its disposal. A more sustainable cure for the affordability challenge is increased housebuilding,’ explained Broadhead. ‘Earlier this month we asked for a revolution in the provision of new housing in our discussion document Housing at the Heart of Government. Like millions of others, we now await the outcome of the general election to discover whether housing will sit at the top of the political agenda as promised,’ he added. According to Paul Smith, chief executive officer of haart estate agents, it should be remembered that the last two years have been full of very positive news, particularly for first time buyers. He pointed out that they have benefitted from the introduction of… Continue reading
UK govt moves to end blanket licensing of landlords by councils
Local councils in England will no longer be able to licence landlords across a whole area without government approval, it has been confirmed. Housing and planning minister Brandon Lewis has taken action after a rush of complaints about councils introducing compulsory licensing for landlords costing hundreds of pounds per property. Reforms to the Selective Licensing scheme will now restrict local decision making powers from 01 April. Councils will need government approval before implementing a licensing scheme if they plan to license a large area or proportion of the market, likely to be above 20% of either the geographical area covered by the council or the local private rented sector (PRS). The decision comes after sustained lobbying efforts by the National Landlord Association (NLA) since 2010 and after the NLA published its report on the state of landlord licensing across the country, in February. The report revealed a boom in the number of blanket licensing schemes since 2010 but highlighted a lack of enforcement actions being taken by local councils. It also showed a correlation between the political control of a council and their tendency to license landlords. ‘We’ve argued solidly since 2010 that councils have been abusing their power to push through blanket licensing schemes,’ said Richard Lambert, NLA chief executive officer. He explained that the announcement means that if a council intends to licence a large proportion of its housing it will first need to show the case stands up to independent scrutiny. ‘The government was the first to see a copy of our licensing report, and we’re delighted they have listened to our case because at present the driving force behind licensing landlords seems to be the political will of a given local council, regardless of the evidence,’ he pointed out. ‘Many local councils won’t like this decision one bit because until now they’ve been their own judges, and the only way for landlords to challenge them has been through the difficult and complex route of judicial review,’ he said. ‘Landlords are getting fed up with being unfairly targeted and made responsible for problems such as anti-social behaviour when in reality they have little effective control over the issue, except by eviction. Hopefully this now means that councils who are serious about tackling poor property standards and anti-social behaviour will first look to the extensive existing legal powers they already have to combat the issues,’ he added. Continue reading
