Tag Archives: outlook
Falling property prices in Singapore expected to dive next year by up to 20%
Singapore's private residential property prices experienced steady declines in September, according the latest quarterly data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority. Both private and public home prices continued to slip in the third quarter of the year. Private home prices fell 0.6% and are now down 3.8% on an annual basis. This is the fourth straight decline, albeit a slight deceleration, after a fall 1.0% in the second quarter. But private home prices are still 56% above the last trough in 2009. Public housing continued to fall for the fifth straight quarter by 1.6% compared with 1.4% in the second quarter of the year and have now fallen 6.8% from the peak of the market. In August sales fell 15% month on month and 43% year on year. It is the lowest monthly figure since December 2013. But the outlook is pessimistic, according to a report from Barclays which says that prices are expected to plunge by 20% in 2015, with vacancy rates expected to hit a record high 10% in 2016. According to Barclay's, the drop is in view of market expectations of rising interest rates, and will coincide with peak supply as unsold inventory rises across both high and low end property sectors. ‘We expect both volumes and prices to slide given the ongoing government curbs, looming oversupply, and rising interest/mortgage rates in the second half of 2015. We maintain our negative stance on the Singapore residential sector,’ the report says. ‘We see an oversupply of private housing properties and we expect prices to fall 20% by 2015, in view of market expectations for interest rates to rise, coinciding with peak supply and our assumption that the vacancy rate could reach a record 10% by 2016,’ it adds. ‘We believe the government will only start unwinding measures when prices fall a cumulative steeper 10 to 15%, perhaps in the middle of 2015,’ it concludes. Continue reading
Property industry says Scotland No vote will bring renewed enthusiasm
Scotland’s property market is likely to see renewed enthusiasm and a rise in prices in sales after the historic referendum vote which saw independence rejected. The residential real estate industry welcomed the No vote and said that the market, which has been stalled to a certain extent, can now not only return to normality but is also likely to see growth as those who put buying or selling on hold are now reassured. ‘With the outcome now certain and Scotland voting to remain part of the United Kingdom, we can expect to see some positive movement in the Scottish housing market. It is good news for Scottish estate agents and their customers who can now look forward to a less frenetic housing discussion and market,’ said Mark Hayward, managing director of the National a Association of Estate Agents (NAEA). ‘Although the outcome does not necessarily guarantee clarity for the market, the mist of ambiguity will clear much earlier than if the outcome to Scottish independence was Yes. Therefore, there is likely to be a substantial increase in market activity in the coming months, with an increase seen in the volume of sales and investments,’ he explained. But he warned that this could disrupt house prices in the short term, although not significantly. ‘The existing concerns around increases in interest rates and a significant hike in stamp duty will undoubtedly have a bigger impact over the next 12 months,’ added Hayward. According to Ran Morgan, head of Knight Frank Scotland, the certainty provided by the No vote will allow the property market to return to more normal trading conditions. ‘The fundamentals are in place to ensure a full recovery, led by the key cities of Edinburgh, Aberdeen, Glasgow and rural counties within commuting distance of large employment hubs. Improving economic activity levels in the UK, better consumer sentiment and higher bank lending will all help to kick-start the market,’ he said. ‘We expect we will be very busy in the coming months as vendors and buyers, many of whom have put off making a decision to buy or sell a property in Scotland due to the referendum, return to the market. This will lead to an increase in the number of transactions at all levels of the market,’ he pointed out. ‘We believe that the outlook for the prime property market in Scotland is positive. Our forecast is that prime values will rise by 3% by the end of this year and by a further 3% to 6% in 2015,’ he added. Andrew Rettie, head of agency for Strutt & Parker in Scotland, also believes that the No vote will inject confidence, optimism and stability into the market which will experience a renewed vigour in the latter months of 2014. ‘We all hope this will be a shot in the arm for the Scottish housing market and that the momentum seen earlier in the year returns to the sector. Buyers and sellers who have stalled in… Continue reading
EIA Updates Forecasts Of Wood, Waste Biomass Energy Consumption
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