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Second cross rail link for London will have huge impact on housing

A new north-south cross London railway set to link Broxbourne and Wimbledon will provide a huge boost to certain residential neighbourhoods and the creation of 200,000 new homes. The announcement in the UK Budget that Crossrail 2 will go ahead will boost prices and demand in key suburbs such as Wimbledon, Clapham and Tooting but also in key commuter town such as Cambridge, Basingstoke, Woking and Guildford as travelling times into central London will be reduced. It is excellent news according to Robin Paterson, chairman of UK Sotheby’s International Realty. ‘We will see pockets of accelerated growth emerge, much like we have seen around Crossrail stations such as Ealing and Slough. The new route will provide a huge boost to neighbourhoods such as Clapham and Tooting in the south, cutting journey times to The City of London in half and I would expect a future jump in prices to reflect this,’ he said. Crossrail 2 can help deliver 200,000 homes by acting as a catalyst for development and regeneration, but only if communities accept higher densities, according to real estate firm Savills. ‘Intensifying land use might not be an issue in post-industrial areas that are being regenerated but could face local opposition in semi-rural locations adjacent to the Green Belt. Savills research shows there is tremendous potential to increase density in London. We calculate that theoretically there is the potential to deliver 1.46 million new homes in London by building at higher densities. Furthermore, our analysis highlights that the greatest opportunities are in the outer boroughs,’ said Susan Emmett, Savills residential research director. ‘The big question will be whether the affected communities are ready to embrace this brave new world. They must be reassured that delivering higher densities does not require turning Shepperton into Singapore. Done well, higher density can bring benefits by enabling better shops and services that support vibrant communities,’ she explained. ‘A design led approach where the focus is on creating attractive places along traditional street patterns must surely be the way to go. We would need to change planning policy and attitudes to density to fulfil this target. Design led approach is therefore crucial,’ she added. Steve Sanham, development director at HUB, pointed out that Crossrail 1 has demonstrated that major infrastructure projects can have a serious regenerative effect and unlock new opportunities for housing by boosting connectivity within cities. ‘Investment into key infrastructure like Crossrail 2 is infinitely more useful in helping to deliver real affordability into the market than many of the short term housing initiatives we have seen recently,’ he said. ‘Starter Homes will only help a lucky few, and these discounts don’t solve the structural issues that make it difficult for first time buyers to get on the ladder. Opening up new areas of London as viable locations for housing will increase choice for Londoners looking for sensibly priced homes,’ he added.4 ‘A threshold on how many homes the stamp duty surcharge applies to is also… Continue reading

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No good news for buy to let landlords in UK Budget

There was little good news for residential landlords in the UK’s Budget announcement with the Chancellor of the Exchequer adding to their woes by excluding them from a tax giveaway. Just weeks before landlords in the growing buy to let sector face an extra 3% stamp duty charge under a change to tax on additional homes, George Osborne announced they will be excluded from Capital Gains Tax change. ‘Buy to let investors could be forgiven for being completely paranoid. On this evidence, the Chancellor really has got it in for them and has excluded buy to letters from a huge CGT giveaway,’ said Jamie Morrison, private clients partner at the chartered accountants HW Fisher & Company. ‘With more incentives to help savers and first time buyers get on the property ladder, buy to let owners have once again been cast in the role of fall guy,’ he added. David Cox, managing director of the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA), pointed out that this is now the third Budget which directly attacks landlords. ‘The sector has been punitively taxed, with stamp duty on buy to let properties, mortgage interest relief and now capital gains tax changes. It’s an outright assault on the sector,’ he said. ‘Every other sector has been offered a tax break yet there is nothing here to help the private rented sector, including landlords and most importantly tenants, who will see rent costs rise to subsidise the taxes that landlords pay on property. The government talks about wanting to help the younger generation get onto the property ladder, but with the changes announced today the supply of available property is bound to decrease, and as a result rents will rise,’ he explained. ‘In November, when Osborne announced an increase in stamp duty tax on buy to let properties, we described this as a catastrophic move. The news that larger investors will also have to pay the tax is even worse. Professional landlords, those who typically own more than 15 properties, play a vital role in providing rental stock to the market, and providing the army of renters we have in this country with housing,’ Cox added. ‘Our members forecast that the supply of buy to let properties will dwindle when the new tax comes in to effect, and this news means that supply will fall even faster and harder. We’re already in a position where demand out-strips supply and as supply falls, rent costs rise, meaning the goal of home ownership falls even further out of reach for most of the country’s renters,’ he concluded. Richard Lambert, chief executive officer of the National landlords Association (NLA), said it is clear that the Chancellor does not regard ordinary people putting their own money into providing homes as worthwhile. ‘The steady upward ratchet of taxation on landlords over the past year shows that George Osborne is determined to bear down on the private rented sector, but he still depends on… Continue reading

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Buy to let lending grew in 2015 at expense of first time buyers

The rapid growth of the buy to let market in the UK during 2015 was at the expense of first time buyers despite Government initiatives to encourage home ownership, new research has found. The proportion of buy to let mortgage enquiries grew by 4.4% to 18.2% during 2015 compared with 2014, whereas the proportion of enquiries for first time buyers fell by 3.7% to 23.5%. According to price comparison website comparethemarket.com the inverse correlation indicates that the buy to let market has gained a chokehold over first time buyers, as many struggle to get out of rented accommodation and on to the housing ladder. January showed no signs of a reducing market, as the first month in 2016 showed year on year growth of over 16% and 62% increase compared to December, reinforcing the sentiment that the current buy to let market may be unsustainable. Evidence indicates that if the market continues in its current direction, the number of enquiries for buy to let mortgages will outstrip the number for first time buyer enquiries, which would be a blow to the Government’s home ownership drive. Overall the buy to let market saw growth during of over 23% in enquiries on the website in 2015 and the initial cut on tax relief also did little to reduce the swelling of the buy to let market as enquiries rose by 14% in the three months after the announcement made by the Chancellor at the Summer Budget, compared to the three months before. However, with the new stamp duty on buy-to-let properties, announced at the Autumn Statement, coming into effect this spring, many expect the market will finally dampen. Elsewhere, January proved to be a particularly buoyant month for the mortgage market as the number of enquiries rose by more than 8% compared to 2015. It seems that January is the time that consumers get their respective houses in order with a recent study by comparethemarket.com finding that 44% of consumers used the month to ‘sort out’ their finances. ‘The buy to let market has been subject to both extensive discussion and criticism over the past year with even the Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee labelling it a risk to the UK’s financial stability,’ said Jody Baker, head of money for comparethemarket. ‘This data only reinforces the view that over the past year, families and others looking to get a foot on the housing ladder are being priced out by landlords. It was great to see the Government take action in the Autumn Statement but time will tell as to what the material impact will be on the market after 01 April,’ Baker added. Continue reading

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