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UK house prices up over 10% year on year, latest index shows

Annual house price growth in the UK had edged above 10% in March with the market also seeing price growth on a monthly and quarterly basis, the latest index shows. Property prices increased 10.1% year on year, taking the average price of a home to £214,811, the data from the Halifax index shows. It also records month on month growth of 2.6% compared with February and quarterly growth of 2.9% in the first three months of 2016. But the quarterly rate of change was just below the 3% recorded in February. The annual rate of growth was higher than the 9.7% rise recorded in both January and February and has been within the 8% to 10% range for nearly the whole period since the start of 2015. The monthly increase in March more than offset February’s 1.5% fall but the index report points out that the quarter on quarter change is a more reliable indicator of the underlying trend as monthly house price changes can be volatile. Flat prices have risen more sharply than prices for other property types since 2008, according to recent separate Halifax research. The 57% increase in the average price of a flat is significantly higher than the 37% rise for all residential properties over the period. Detached homes recorded the smallest rise at 20%. Terraced and semi-detached houses saw price rises of 38% and 34% respectively. A considerable proportion of the national rise in flat values has been due to the rapid increase in flat prices in London with growth of 62%. However, flats represent a much higher share of the property market here than elsewhere. Half of sales in London are flats compared with the UK average of 17%. Worsening sentiment regarding the prospects for the UK economy and uncertainty ahead of the European referendum in June could result in some softening in the housing market over the next couple of months, according to Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist. ‘Current market conditions, however, remain very tight with an acute supply/demand imbalance continuing despite an improvement in the number of properties coming on to the market for sale in recent months. This, together with continuing low interest rates and a healthy labour market, indicate that house price growth is set to remain robust,’ he said. Russell Quirk, chief executive of eMoov, pointed out that much of the increase in March could be due to buy to let landlords rushing to beat the introduction of an extra stamp duty tax on additional homes at the beginning of April. ‘Although it looks like good news for UK homeowners on the surface, this increase could be artificially inflated due to the stamp duty changes. When coupled with the fact that interest rates are still at a rock bottom and keeping the market buoyant, it’s hard to tell exactly how the market will go,’ he said. ‘It will be interesting to see what happens next month once the stamp duty dust has settled and… Continue reading

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Larger number of UK landlords now considering setting up limited companies

With buy to let landlords in the UK now facing paying more property tax and facing cuts to mortgage tax relief, increasing numbers are considering moving their property investments into limited company vehicles. Some 41% of 1,400 landlords taking part in a survey commissioned by Paragon Mortgages indicated that they are considering moving their portfolio into a limited company following the Chancellor’s decision to limit tax relief available to landlords last year. A further 5% have already established limited companies. For larger landlords with 20 or more properties, 14% are already operating as limited companies, while 63% are considering it. In terms of portfolio growth, 43% of landlords surveyed agreed that the stamp duty increase will affect their buy to let purchasing plans over the next couple of years. This figure rises to 63% for larger landlords with 20 or more properties. Despite uncertainty about what impact the changes to tax relief and stamp duty might have however, tenant demand amongst landlords is still perceived as being high. Demand for rented property in the fourth quarter of 2015 was strongest in the South West where 40% of landlords reported demand to be rising. Landlords in the North East experienced the weakest demand, with just 24% of landlords reporting increased demand. Reflecting this demand, average yields have also remained stable and averaged 5.6% across the country, unchanged on the previous quarter. The North West saw the highest yields, at 6.2%, while outer London had the lowest, at 5.1%. ‘Recent government interventions into the buy to let market are now beginning to impact landlord sentiment and plans. The fundamental drivers of the market however, tenant demand and yields, remain strong so there are competing dynamics at play,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘It is interesting to see that concern about the impact of changes to stamp-duty and tax relief is greatest among larger landlords. This concern is likely to grow now that the government have confirmed that landlords with larger portfolios will have to pay the increased rate of stamp-duty on buy to let purchases,’ he added. Continue reading

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More US housing markets were less affordable in first quarter of 2016

More housing markets in the United States were less affordable than their historically normal levels in the first quarter of 2016 than a year ago, new research shows. Some 9% of county real estate market were less affordable compared with 2% a year ago, according to the analysis of median home prices from publicly recorded sales deed data collected by RealtyTrac and average wage data from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics. The affordability index was based on the percentage of average wages needed to make monthly house payments on a median priced home with a 30 year fixed rate and a 3% down payment, including property taxes and insurance Out of the 456 counties analysed in the report, some 43 had an affordability index below 100 in the first quarter of 2016, meaning buying a home was less affordable than the historically normal level for that county going back to the first quarter of 2005. That was up from 10 counties in the first quarter of 2015. At the peak of the housing bubble in the second quarter of 2006 some 454 of the 456 counties analysed, more than 99%, were less affordable than their historic norms. In the first quarter of 2012, when median home prices bottomed out nationally, only two counties out of the 456 analysed, less than 0.5%, exceeded their historically normal affordability levels. ‘While the vast majority of housing markets are still affordable by their own historic standards, home prices are floating out of reach for average wage earners in a growing number of U.S. housing markets,’ said Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at RealtyTrac. ‘The recent drop in interest rates has helped to soften the blow of high flying price appreciation in some markets, but the affordability equation could change quickly if interest rates trend higher and home prices continue to rise faster than wages,’ he explained. The top 20 county housing markets least affordable in the first quarter of 2016 compared to their historic affordability norms included counties in Denver, New York City, Omaha, Nebraska, Austin, Dallas, San Francisco and St. Louis. The five most populated county housing markets less affordable than their historic norms were Kings County, New York Brooklyn, Dallas County, New York County, New York Manhattan, Alameda County, California in the San Francisco metro area, Oakland County, and Michigan in the Detroit metro area. The top 20 county housing markets most affordable in the first quarter of 2016 compared to their historic affordability norms included counties in Boston, Baltimore, Birmingham Alabama, Providence, Rhode Island and Chicago. The five most populated county housing markets still more affordable than their historic norms were Los Angeles County, Cook County, Chicago, Harris County Texas, Maricopa County Arizona and San Diego County. Nationwide in the first quarter of 2016, the average wage earner needed to spend 30.2% of monthly wages to make monthly mortgage payments including property taxes and insurance on a median priced home at $199,000, up… Continue reading

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