Tag Archives: middle-east
Property sentiment remains steady in the UK, latest index shows
Households across the UK perceive that the value of their home rose in May, according to the latest house price sentiment index to be published. Some 25.6% of the 1,500 households surveyed for the index from Knight Frank and Markit Economics across the UK said that the value of their home had risen over the last month, while 3.6% said that prices had fallen. This resulted in a HPSI reading of 61.0 and although this was a slight increase on the 60.1 recorded in April, it remains below the peak of 63.2 reached two years previously in May 2014. The index report says that while sentiment picked up over the course of the month, it remains in line with the longer term trend. On a three month rolling basis the HPSI reading was 60.6 compared to 59.2 for the comparable period three months previously There was a notable pick-up in perceived house price growth among those aged 18 to 24 with the index rising to 57.7 in May, up from 52.6 in April, potentially reflecting affordability concerns among this age group. Conversely, household sentiment softened among those aged over 55 month on month, although such individuals remain the most bullish when it comes to perceived price growth. According to Gráinne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank, the steadiness of the headline house price sentiment index during such political uncertainty over the future of the UK in the European Union is a reflection that the fundamentals of the market remain unchanged. ‘There is still an imbalance between demand and supply of housing, and for those with access to deposit payments, mortgage rates are still near record lows. However, there has been some softening in sentiment among those aged 55 and over, the age-group who have the largest equity stake in the UK housing market,’ she pointed out. ‘While the sentiment reading for this group is still one of the highest, indicating they expect prices to rise, there has been a notable fall from last month, indicating that the current economic and political climate is affecting some corners of the market,’ she added. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, rose slightly in May to 70.3, from 68.8 in April. Households in the South East were the most confident that prices will rise in the next 12 months at 79.5, followed by those in London at 78.2 and the East of England at 77.9. Expectations that interest rates will remain low for longer, as shown by Markit’s UK Household Finance Index, appear to have helped offset any concerns over the wider economic backdrop. Around 46% of households expect rates to rise in the next 12 months, down sharply from a peak of 78% in August 2015. Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit, explained that house price sentiment not only rose in May, but moved above the 2016 peak… Continue reading
Well over half of UK home buyers rent before they can buy a property
Some 64% of aspiring home owners in the UK rent a property before they pick up the keys to their very own home, new research has found. Saving a deposit is one of the biggest financial hurdles facing potential first time buyers and the survey found that renters are less likely to benefit from help from family, with only 41% receiving any financial assistance, compared to 62% of those who are living with their parents or family members. Building up the necessary deposit is also challenging for those who are paying rent as the research revealed an average monthly rent in the UK of £681.70, according to the research from Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks. Of those who live with their parents before buying their own property some 21% don’t pay rent with a third of these potential home buyers putting this money towards their deposit instead. However 52% do pay a fixed amount every month to their family landlords while 22% contribute towards food and bills and others simply pay what they can afford on a monthly basis. The research also found that those in rented accommodation find getting on the property ladder more stressful as 28% admit to putting themselves under pressure compared to just 16% of those who are still living with their parents and are in less of a rush to flee the nest. ‘Buying a first home is one of life’s most significant financial milestones and the banks can work with the individual needs and circumstances of potential first time buyers to help make their dreams of becoming a homeowner a reality,’ said Steve Fletcher, head of customer banking networks at Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks. Meanwhile, separate research commissioned by Royal London shows that almost five million renters in the UK have no plans in place to cover their rent if they became too ill to earn for three months or more, even though recent cuts to housing benefits could leave them at risk. This is despite the fact that some 27% of renters in paid employment said they knew someone who had struggled in this situation and the survey found 34% admit they don’t know how long they could survive. The research also found that 60% of those who had some idea said that they could only survive on their savings for three months or less. Some 53% said their first move would be to apply for state benefits, some 47% would reduce their household expenses and 39% start using their savings. Only 7% of renters in paid employment have ever consulted a financial adviser. The most common place people turn to for financial advice is their family and friends. ‘Renters who assume that housing benefit will be there when they need it could find the reality is very different. A series of cuts to housing benefit means that more people would not get their rent paid in full if their income fell unexpectedly,’ said… Continue reading
Chancellor says house prices could fall by up to 18% if UK votes to leave EU
House values in the UK could fall by 10% and up to 18% due to the economic shock that would hit the country if people vote to leave the European Union in the referendum next month, according to the Chancellor of the Exchequer. George Osborne, speaking at the G7 finance ministers’ meeting in Japan, revealed that the forthcoming Treasury analysis on the short term economic consequences of a vote to leave will demonstrate a wide range of negative impacts on families and businesses, including the housing market. It concludes that by 2018, home owners will be hit as growth in Britain’s housing market will be reduced by at least 10% and up to 18% compared to what is expected if the UK remains in the EU, as heightened uncertainty generated by Brexit hits financial markets, consumer confidence and home values. Independent authorities, including the International Monetary Fund, have warned that if Britain votes to leave the EU then mortgage interest rates would also rise because of financial market instability, meaning fewer people being able to get a mortgage and mortgage costs rising for all. The Treasury conclusion follows warnings from Virgin Money’s Chief Executive, the CEBR, S&P, Fitch and Deutsche Bank about the potential negative impact on Britain’s housing market from a vote to leave the EU. The Chancellor said finance ministers from other G7 countries attending the summit in Sendai confirmed that in their assessment, leaving the EU could cause significant financial market turbulence, affecting families and businesses. The Chancellor also challenged the idea that negotiating a new relationship with the EU would be easy if the UK votes to leave, warning that instead it would be a long, costly and messy divorce. In the coming days the Treasury is going to publish analysis of what the immediate impact will be. Osborne also said that mortgages will get more expensive and mortgage rates will go up. ‘If we leave the European Union there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets. People will not know what the future looks like. And in the long term the country and the people in the country are going to be poorer,’ Osborne said. ‘That affects the value of people’s homes and the Treasury analysis shows that there would be a hit to the value of people’s homes by at least 10% and up to 18%. And at the same time first time buyers are hit because mortgage rates go up, and mortgages become more difficult to get. So it's a lose-lose situation,’ he pointed out. ‘We all want affordable homes, and the way you get affordable homes is by building more houses. You don't get affordable homes by wrecking the British economy. And of course if we left the EU, mortgage rates would go up, it would become more difficult… Continue reading
