Tag Archives: markets
Some home markets in the US are still struggling to recover, latest index suggests
More than a quarter of homes across the United States lost value over the past year, despite the ongoing housing market recovery, according to the latest real estate market report. Some markets have already surpassed home values reached at the height of the housing bubble, while other markets are struggling to leave the recession behind, the analysis from real estate firm Zillow shows. Nationally, homes appreciated 3.3% from a year ago, rising to a Zillow Home Value Index of $180,800. However, the national growth rate has levelled off over the past five months, suggesting the housing recovery is ending and the market is returning to normal. Overall some 27.9% of homes lost value over the past year. Before the housing market crashed, an average of 21.2% of homes were losing value and in December 2008 some 81.6% of homes lost value, the highest amount during the recession. Markets on the East Coast and in the Midwest had the highest share of homes that lost value, led by 48.1% of homes in Baltimore which saw prices fall over the past year. Philadelphia with 43.4% and Washington DC at 41.2% also had large shares of homes losing value. Conversely, few homes lost value in hot markets like Denver, Dallas, San Jose, and San Francisco, which all saw double digit home value growth over the past year. Just 1.5% of homes in Denver and 4% in Dallas were worth less in August 2015 than they were a year ago. ‘We're not going in reverse, but we are hitting the brakes a bit in some markets. It's easy to say the recession is over when a third of the biggest markets are more expensive now than ever before, but we're still seeing a number of homes losing value. The reality is there are still areas lagging behind in the recovery,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell The report suggests that renters looking to become home owners may find more opportunities in slower markets like Philadelphia. According to the January 2015 Zillow Housing Confidence Index when home values there were growing at 2.8% annually, eight percent of renters in the area said they planned to buy within a year. This jumped to 18% in the most recent survey, when home value growth was nearly flat at 0.3%. The index data also shows that rents are still growing faster than home values. The Zillow Rent Index rose 3.8% on an annual basis to $1,381, giving potential buyers another reason to consider entering the market. Continue reading
European commercial property markets sees 30% growth year on year
The European commercial property investment market has continued to gain positive momentum, with transaction volumes reaching €104.9 billion in the first half of 2015. This was a 29% increase on the same period of 2014 and investment volumes for 2015 are forecast to reach €230 billion, which would make it comfortably the best year since the market peak of 2007. The data from the analysis report from international real estate firm Knight Frank shows that increased investment volumes were recorded in the first six months of the year across a wide range of markets, in both the core and the periphery of Europe. The continent’s two largest markets, the UK and Germany, performed strongly in the first half of the year, providing a significant boost to overall deal volumes. The UK is on course for a record breaking year for investment, while the German market has been buoyed the strong performances of Frankfurt and Berlin. The analysis report shows that the revival of activity in Europe’s peripheral countries has continued, as investors move up the risk curve and seek value in non-core markets. Spain and Ireland, which have led the peripheral market recovery over the last 18 months, continue to attract heightened levels of investment, but the most impressive increases in activity during the first half of the year came in Italy and Portugal. It also shows that the weight of money targeting commercial property has led to widespread yield compression, and prime office yields hardened in cities such as Amsterdam, Lisbon, Madrid, Milan and Paris during the second quarter of 2015. Knight Frank’s European weighted average prime office yield moved in to 4.9%, its lowest level since the third quarter of 2007. While investment activity is buoyant in the large majority of European markets, occupier market trends remain more varied. Rental growth was patchy in the second quarter with Dublin, Madrid and Vienna being among the small number of European markets to record increases in prime office rents. However, rental growth is anticipated to become more prevalent in the medium term, on the back of the improving European economy and falling availability levels, particularly for CBD offices. ‘Investment volumes continue to be driven upwards by the strong international demand for European commercial property, particularly from US investors, and by the increasing number of large portfolio deals,’ said Andrew Sim, head of European Capital Markets at Knight Frank. ‘These trends are expected to continue over the rest of the year, and we forecast that annual European investment in 2015 will be more than 20% up on 2014. European transaction volumes are approaching the levels seen at the market peak of 2007, and several countries may well set new records this year,’ he added. According to Matthew Colbourne, associate with the Knight Frank international research team, European occupier markets continue to see mixed trends, in contrast to the widespread buoyancy of investment markets. ‘Office take-up increased strongly in the key German and Spanish markets… Continue reading
Two tier house prices growth continues in Australia led by Sydney and Melbourne
The two tiered growth evident across Australia’s housing markets continued in July with Sydney and Melbourne driving home values higher, the latest monthly index shows. The CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index increased by 2.8% month on month and 11.1% year on year and the total aggregated value of Australian housing increased by just over half a trillion dollars over the past 12 months to $6 trillion. Melbourne has traded places with Sydney to record the highest rate of capital gain, with values in the city up 6.1% over the three months ending in July, the highest rolling quarterly rate of growth since the three months ending August last year when values grew 6.4%. Growth in Sydney wasn’t quite as strong over the rolling quarter, up 5.4% but still the highest rate of growth since the March quarter this year when it was 5.8%. ‘To date, the capital cities have seen remarkable differences over the growth cycle which broadly commenced at the end of May 2012 and since that time dwelling values across our combined capitals index have increased by 30.4%,’ said Tim Lawless, CoreLogic RP Data’s head of research. Sydney values are 47.9% higher over the current cycle and Melbourne values are 32.1% higher while every other capital city has seen growth of less than 13% over the same period. Lawless explained that this highlights the extent to which the Sydney and Melbourne markets have outperformed other markets over the past three years. He pointed out that over the last year several cities have seen price corrections. Darwin has seen values falling the most, down by 5.3% while in Perth values also drifted lower over the year, down 0.3%. At the same time, the annual rate of capital gain in Sydney reached a new cyclical high with home values moving 18.4% higher over the year to the highest annual rate of growth for Sydney since the 12 months ending in December 2002. The strongest growth conditions outside of Sydney and Melbourne have been in Brisbane where dwelling values were 3.9% higher over the year. Based on the median dwelling price, Sydney prices are now 72% higher than Brisbane’s and Melbourne’s are 24% higher. Detached housing continued to outperform the unit sector, with house values substantially outperforming unit values over the past year apart from Hobart and Darwin. Detached home values are up 11.6% compared with a 7.2% increase in unit values over the past year. The differential is most pronounced in Melbourne where house values have surged 12.3% higher over the year compared with a 4.8% rise in unit values. ‘The higher growth rates for houses compared with units is likely to be supply related, with the underlying land component driving detached housing values higher at a time when new apartment supply has seen a substantial boost from new construction,’ Lawless said. While dwelling values continue to rise across most cities, the pace of rental growth has slipped to a new record low, which has… Continue reading
