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Spanish property sales now regarded as stable as they increase five months in a row

Year on year property sales in Spain have increased for five months in a row, signalling that the residential real estate market is becoming more stable. The latest figures from Spain’s National Institute of Statistics (INE) shows that sales increased by 10% in July on an annual basis and by 9% on a quarterly basis. ‘After five consecutive months of annualised sales increases it’s clear the Spanish property market is starting to recover in volume terms, as more buyers enter the market. The figures confirm that overall sales are now stable, if not growing slightly,’ said Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property Insight. ‘Markets are all about transactions and prices, which determine volume and value. Increasing transactions are a sign of confidence that improve liquidity and reduce risk. When buyers outnumber sellers prices start to rise. After almost eight years of consecutive declines in home sales, that is welcome news for Spain but it doesn’t mean the Spanish property crisis is over,’ he warned. ‘It’s now crystal clear that the Spanish property market has established a floor in transaction terms, suggesting sales are unlikely to fall any further. If anything they will continue growing, as they have for the last five month. The question is how sickly or robust will the sales recovery turn out to be,’ he added. The INE doesn’t break down monthly sales figures by nationality, but Stucklin and other real estate experts point out that foreign buyers are driving the sales increase. This suggests that there is plenty of scope for further increases when local demand picks up with falling unemployment and easier mortgage lending. Looking at sales by previous ownership, the trend towards resales continues, with new sales down 8.3% in a year, and resales up 26.8%. ‘Expect the trend to continue as the pipeline of new homes that people actually want to buy dries up over the next year or so. Housing starts have collapsed by 95% since the boom, and the Spanish home building industry has all but disappeared. It might not be a bad time to invest off-plan, if you can find anything to buy off-plan that is,’ said Stucklin. He also pointed out that the label ‘new home’ is starting to lose its meaning in Spain, as most of the new homes currently on the market were built years ago so are now far from being new. Built during a boom when standards fell and prices rose these homes have been collecting dust and depreciating for years. Looking at sales by region, some of the biggest increases took place in the provinces of the interior, for example Cáceres saw sales increase by 87%, albeit from a low base. Sales in some coastal areas like Málaga’s Costa del Sol where foreigners tend to buy, were above the national average. ‘For the time being, and likely for some time to come, sellers outnumber buyers in the Spanish property market, so price pressures will remain muted at a national level,’ Stucklin said. ‘It doesn’t help… Continue reading

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Real Estate – Europe

The Urban Land Institute (ULI) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) have published a report; The Emerging Trends in Real Estate Europe 2013. This report reveals real estate investor’s predictions for the market in 2013, and ranks 27 cities around Europe. London Boasts ‘Safe Haven’ Status The Urban Land Institute (ULI) and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) have published a report; The Emerging Trends in Real Estate Europe 2013. This report reveals real estate investor’s predictions for the market in 2013, and ranks 27 cities around Europe. Stable real estate markets and robust local micro-economic climates helped Munich achieve top spot; Berlin came in second place and Hamburg fifth place. The city of London took third position, and was the highest climber this year. London is viewed by many real estate investors as having one of the most liquid real estate markets, a strong currency and provides at least some shelter from the economic woes abound in Europe. The Eurozone crisis, along with the financial crisis in 2008 saw Madrid, Barcelona, Lisbon, Athens and Dublin dubbed as the weakest cities in the report. Report participants revealed their outlook for their own businesses is the most positive it’s been since 2008 but felt less positive regarding the cities’ real estate markets. The report suggests that this is a common response and will motivate investors to consider more specific stand-alone assets and strategies which are less focused on countries and cities as a whole. With real estate investors still applying caution to making an investment, they’re searching for the hidden gems in the best performing cities of London, Paris, Munich and Berlin instead of seeking out higher yields in the cities that are still in a poor state of recovery. Investors have adopted this new mind-set and will continue to deploy their capital into the ‘new norm’ environment, and whilst still cautious, feel positive about their future and able to meet their challenges going forward. Munich was seen as the strongest city as investors seek locations that can survive economic uncertainty, it boasts a growing biotechnology and environmental sciences industry, and has a diverse collection of global and medium sized businesses operating within it. Regarding the cities demographics, Munich will see its population rise to112,000 within the next 12 years or so, and it’s current population has the strongest purchasing power within the whole of Germany. Tourism has also increased, predominantly from visitors from the BRIC group of countries, and investors also foresee the rental market experiencing growth in 2013. The city of Berlin has seen an upward trend in its residential property market as well due to the technology sector bringing in skilled employees to work in the 15,000 technology companies it boasts, and the cultural centre of Berlin has long since bought large volumes of tourists which also benefits the rental market. London, which is dubbed as the ‘ultimate safe haven’ by many real estate investors is not seen as fully recovered by any means but is viewed as having a continued strength in its residential market, and some of the most sought after locations and post codes on a global scale, which also supports a growing private rented sector. Canary Wharf is still a highly desirable area but with the financial industry suffering a lot of job losses, the potential for the area to house the growing technology and the creative industries is tangible. With regards to future development, the report shows that Istanbul was the most favoured by investors because it has the most potential for real estate development. This is motivated by the kind of economic growth that rivals even China, and a population that has the average age of 29. Continue reading

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#theTrend: Aaron Ramsey on football & trophies

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