Tag Archives: london
Demand for property grows across the UK but not in London
National property demand in the UK has increased by 3% overall since the first quarter of the year but it is down by 2% in London, the latest hot spot index shows. Despite the initial artificial spike in demand ahead of April’s stamp duty deadline, the changes to tax brackets for second home and buy to let properties seems to have had a detrimental impact on London property demand, according to the index report from eMoov. Removing this decrease in the London market from the national picture sees the increase in demand for property elsewhere around the nation increase by 8% since the first quarter of 2016, taking it to 40% overall. Despite demand cooling across the capital, the London Borough of Bexley remains the hottest spot in the UK for property demand at 71 although it has cooled by 7% since the start of the year in line with the decrease felt across the capital as a whole. Bristol remains the hottest spot outside of the London bubble, with demand increased, albeit marginally, to 69% followed by Bedford at 67%, then Aylesbury and Medway both at 64%, then the London Borough of Sutton and Watford both at 61%. Both Cambridge at 21st and Milton Keynes at 15th are out of the top 10 and are replaced by Northampton and Coventry, where property demand is currently at 64% and 58% respectively. The Scottish capital continues to lead north of the border, with Edinburgh at 54% the 18th hottest spot ahead of Glasgow with 48% at 34th. This is also the case in Wales, where property demand in Cardiff is currently at 44% making it the 44th hottest spot in the UK, with Swansea trailing way down in 90th place at just 27%. Kingston Upon Thames at 59% and Southwark at 47% are two of only five boroughs to have seen a positive increase in property demand levels since the first quarter and are the first and second largest increases across the UK respectively. There has also been a resurgence for property demand across the North East after a tough year for home owners in the region. Stockton-on-Tees at 47%, North Tyneside at 46%, Gateshead at 42%, Durham at 37%, Newcastle at 32% and Sunderland at 23% have all recorded some of the biggest increases in property demand since the first quarter. At just 12% the London Borough of Westminster continues to prop up the table, joined by its prime central London neighbours Kensington and Chelsea also at 12% and Hammersmith and Fulham at 17%, as well as Camden at 20%, the coldest spots in the UK for property demand. Despite its slight revival in the first quarter demand for property in Aberdeen is also low at just 13%. ‘The changes to stamp duty tax brackets for those looking to secure a second home or buy-to-let property seem to have hit the London market harder than the rest of the UK,’ said Russell Quirk, chief executive… Continue reading
UK needs more home lending solutions for retirement, research suggests
More than one in three equity release customers in the UK are still paying off mortgages highlighting the growing need for retirement lending solutions, new research suggests. A study from national specialist Bower Retirement Services shows that 36% of over 55s seen by advisers are still paying home loans and advisers are seeing a surge of inquiries from customers with interest only loans. The firm’s quarterly Adviser Tracker Research report also shows that 68% of equity release specialists have seen a rise in customers with interest only loans looking for solutions. Advisers are also reporting an increase in customers who have considered downsizing as a solution but then decided not to go ahead. Some 23% of clients who looked at downsizing did not go ahead with key reasons including staying near family and friends and not being able to find a suitable home. Around 75% of those who did not go ahead said they wanted to stay near family while 54% could not find a suitable home. Bower believes the recent launch by Santander and Legal & General of a partnership to offer lifetime mortgages as an option to customers facing the possibility of repayment shortfalls demonstrates the growing need for new solutions. ‘The Legal & General and Santander deal is a significant move for the launch of retirement lending but much more needs to be done. Significant numbers of people aged over 55 are paying off mortgages but do not have the range of options they need,’ said Andrea Rozario, chief corporate officer at Bower Retirement Services. ‘Downsizing will be appropriate for many but it is also clear that many want to stay in their existing home for emotional and financial reasons and should be able to do so as long as it is in their best interests,’ she pointed out. She added that one potential problem for clients is their home not being worth what they thought and around 18% of advisers say clients who went ahead with equity release found their house was valued at lower than they had expected. Continue reading
PwC forecasts marked slowdown in UK housing market but no major crash
The UK should avoid a house price crash or a severe recession despite growth downgrades following the decision to leave the European Union, new research shows. UK growth had already eased from around 3% in 2014 to around 2% before the EU referendum due primarily to slower global growth, but the vote to leave the EU is likely to lead to a significant further slowdown. UK GDP growth is forecast to decelerate to around 1.6% in 2016 and 0.6% in 2017 according to PwC’s main scenario in its latest UK Economic Outlook report. Quarter on quarter GDP growth could fall to close to zero in late 2016 and early 2017 in this main scenario, but is then projected to recover gradually later in 2017 as the immediate post referendum shock starts to fade. The UK would avoid recession in this scenario, although the report notes that uncertainties around this central view are significant, with alternative scenarios showing GDP growth in 2017 of anywhere between growth of 1.5% and a fall of 1%. But even this latter relatively pessimistic scenario would not be a severe recession of the kind seen in the early 1980s or in 2008/2009. The main reason for the slowdown is projected to be a decline in business investment, particularly from overseas in areas such as commercial property. Construction companies and capital goods manufacturers could also be relatively exposed to this kind of short term cyclical slowdown, the report says. PwC anticipates a marked slowdown in house price growth, but no major crash. In PwC’s main scenario, UK house price growth is expected to decelerate to around 3% in 2016 and around 1% in 2017. After this initial dip, however, projected house price growth picks up again to around 4% in 2018 and an average of around 5% to 6% per annum in the longer term as persistent supply shortages keep house prices rising faster on average than earnings. PwC estimates that average UK house prices in 2018 could be 8% lower than if the UK had voted to stay in the EU, although this would still leave them 8% higher on average than in 2015. The estimated impact of Brexit varies by region. The report says that average house prices in London could be around £60,000 lower due to Brexit than they would otherwise have been by 2018, in contrast to a reduction of £10,000 in Scotland and just £8,000 in the North East. ‘We think there are four main reasons why the Brexit vote will lead to a slowdown in the housing market in the short term: the deterrence of foreign investment, uncertainty regarding the future of EU nationals living in the UK, a reduction in consumer confidence and turbulence in the banking sector,’ said Richard Snook, senior economist at PwC. ‘While these factors will weigh heavily on the market in the short term, we expect a gradual recovery from 2018 onwards as market… Continue reading
