Tag Archives: london
Brexit hits UK commercial property market sentiment
Sentiment in the UK’s commercial property market has dampened significantly since the referendum vote to leave the European Union with investment demand falling sharply, most notably in London. The heightened sense of caution is visible across both investment and occupier sides of the market, with uncertainty pushing rental and capital value projections into negative territory, according to the latest commercial property market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. It shows that and increasing share of respondents across the UK now feel the market is in an early downturn phase and the 12 month capital value and rental projections have now moved into negative territory. On a UK wide basis, occupier demand failed to rise for the first time since 2012. The headline net balance fell from +21% previously to a reading of zero in the second quarter of the year. Declines were reported in the office and retail areas of the market but demand proved somewhat more resilient across the industrial sector. The regional breakdown shows the occupier demand gauge moderated across all parts of the country, although the shift was most noticeable in London. Alongside this, availability remains constricted, with the supply of leasable space more or less unchanged in the office and retail sectors during the second quarter, while industrial availability continued to decline. Worries over a potential hit to business confidence, caused by political and economic uncertainty, appear to be reflected in respondents’ rental outlook. This is especially the case over the shorter term. Indeed, the headline three month rent expectations net balance dropped from +26% to -7% in the second quarter. The office and retail sectors experienced the steepest decline, with the reading for both now comfortably in negative territory. In the industrial sector, although the net balance softened notably, it remains positive given the very tight supply and demand conditions. When the results are disaggregated, the rental outlook is most negative in London. Over the next 12 months, rents are projected to fall by around 3% at the all-sector level. Within this, rents across the secondary retail sub market are expected to come under the most significant downward pressure. The survey report points out that the weakness in demand is perhaps even more visible on the investment side of the market. During the second quarter the investment enquiries series fell sharply, posting a net balance of -16%, down from +25% in the first quarter of the year. What’s more, all traditional sectors covered in the survey experienced a drop-off in investor interest. Foreign investor demand declined at an even greater rate, as the net balance fell to -27%. While respondents in virtually all parts of the UK noted a decline in overall investment enquiries, the trend was again most pronounced in London. In fact, at -41%, the investment enquiries gauge for the capital was the weakest since 2009. Back at the UK wide level and, despite a softening demand backdrop, the supply of… Continue reading
Private rented sector in UK seeing rapid growth, new tenant survey reveals
The private rented sector is continuing its rapid growth across the UK and is now well established as the second biggest form of tenure after home ownership, new research shows. It has overtaken the social rented sector and large scale investment into the private rented sector (PRS) by funds and other institutions is set to treble over the next five years boosting growth further, according to the new tenant survey from real estate firm Knight Frank. The Tenant Survey carried out by YouGov on behalf of Knight Frank estimating that total investment will rise to £50 billion over the next five years and large scale investors are operating an average gross to net yield of 26% for new Build to Rent developments. It also shows that some 53% of tenants favour a six month or one year tenancy for rented accommodation and 52% said living close to work or their place of study is a key priority while 30% said the main reason for moving between rented properties was to ‘upgrade’ to a nicer or larger property. The survey found that 38% of tenants have lived in five or more rental properties and while the majority of respondents had moved within a mile of their previous property, some 19% had moved more than 60 miles, indicating a relocation for work or study, highlighting the flexibility of PRS as a tenure. Some 24% of Londoners are prepared to pay 50% as a maximum amount of their gross annual income on rent, up from 22% last year and a quarter of those living in the PRS do not want to, or don’t know if they want to buy a home in the future. Of those that express a desire to eventually buy a home using a mortgage, less than half are currently saving towards a deposit. Also, a quarter of those living in the private rented sector live alone, while 34% live in a couple without children. Some 43% of 18 to 24 years olds share with other adults in a flat share. Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank, pointed out that the private rented sector is continuing to grow in size, with around 5.4 million, or 20% of households now being let out to private tenants. ‘There has been a generational shift in the private rented sector. More households are now living in rented accommodation for longer, and while housing affordability is certainly a factor here, rented accommodation is also becoming an established flexible form of tenure, an attribute welcomed especially among younger workers,’ she explained. Indeed, this was confirmed in last year’s Tenant Survey, with 38% of under 35s saying they didn’t want a mortgage or that renting suited their lifestyle, rising to 49% for those aged under 25. The number of under 45s living in the sector has more than doubled, to nearly 3.1 million over the last decade, and those aged 25 to 34… Continue reading
UK house builder calls for stamp duty change
The chairman of one of the UK's largest housebuilders has called for stamp duty and Help to Buy changes to drive the housing market forward and keep the economy growing. Redrow founder and chairman Steve Morgan was speaking at the launch of Woodford Garden Village, one of the largest brownfield redevelopments in the North West, where local community groups, politicians and industry professionals had gathered to help Redrow celebrate its opening. During the day he highlighted how housing transactions have gone down as stamp duty has gone up and the tax was affecting people's mobility. ‘Stamp duty has a huge impact on the market. Not only do buyers have to raise huge deposits, they then have to find thousands more in stamp duty. The last two increases have been very damaging, particularly to the London market,’ he said. He also called for the Government to extend the time limit from application to completion on Help to Buy equity loans to 12 months from the current six months. He said this would enable first time buyers to reserve a new build house farther in advance of its completion when using the incentive, allowing them to compete with investors who are free to reserve at an earlier stage. Overall though the Redrow chairman was positive about the housing market, and saw the current climate as a good time for house builders, with land finally coming through the planning system, albeit still too slowly for his liking, and for customers, with mortgage interest costs remaining low. He pointed out that the Woodford Garden Village development, on the former Woodford Aerodrome site, near Stockport, in Greater Manchester, is the first garden village site for over 100 years in the north west of England and one of the first of a new generation of garden villages with Redrow leading the way. ‘It's important that we're creating sustainable new communities that have longevity and Woodford Garden Village is a prime example of that. It will be a self-sustaining development with a new primary school, shops, a village pub and doctor's surgery to name but a few of its amenities,’ he explained. ‘It's also perfectly located for commuters, close to Manchester Airport and, importantly, it's a brownfield redevelopment, so it's bringing a redundant industrial site back into good use in a fantastic rural location,’ he added. He thanked officers and politicians of Stockport Metropolitan Borough Council for their positive role in bringing the scheme to fruition. Continue reading
