Tag Archives: london

First time buyers keep UK mortgage lending going in second quarter 2016

Home buyers in London borrowed £5.5 billion in the second quarter of 2016, down 23% compared to the previous quarter and down 3% year on year, the latest data shows. It was first time buyers who kept the market going in London, borrowing 10% more while those remortgaging borrowed less, the figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) shows. They also increased in Scotland and Wales. Overall borrower took out 17,500 loans, down 17% on the previous quarter and 8% compared to the second quarter 2015 but first time buyers borrowed £3 billion, up 3% on the first quarter and 10% compared to the second quarter last year. This equated to 10,800 loans, up 3% quarter on quarter but down 1% year on year. Home movers borrowed £2.5 billion, down 41% on quarter one this year and 14% compared to a year ago. This equated to 6,700 loans, down 37% quarter on quarter and 18% year on year. The figures also show that remortgage activity totalled £4.3 billion, up 6% on the first quarter 2016 and 29% compared to a year ago. This came to 14,200 loans, up 5% quarter on quarter and 19% compared to a year ago. ‘First time buyers have continued to drive mortgage lending in London, with 10% more first time buyer lending in the second quarter than the first. The opposite is true for home movers, probably just reflecting a rebalancing after the very strong first quarter as many buyers sought to complete purchases before changes to stamp duty,’ said Paul Smee, director general of the CML. ‘The second quarter data largely pre-dates the European Union referendum. While it will take time to see how Brexit may affect the market, the London mortgage market clearly remains active and firmly open for business,’ he added. First time buyers were also key in Scotland, borrowing £920 million, up 42% quarter on quarter and 2% year on year, some 8,500 loans, up 39% quarter on quarter and 4% year on year. Home movers borrowed £1.2 billion, up 11% quarter on quarter but down 5% compared to a year ago. This totalled 8,100 loans, up 11% quarter on quarter but down 9% year on year. Remortgage activity totalled £850 million, up 9% both on the first quarter 2016 and the second quarter 2015. This came to 7,100 loans, up 11% quarter on quarter and 4% year on year. Carol Anderson, CML Scotland chair, pointed out that it is the 19th successive quarter of growth in first time buyers compared to a year earlier and the highest quarterly number of first time buyer loans since the middle of 2007. In Wales first time buyers borrowed £420 million, up 31% on the first quarter and 24% on the same period last year. This totalled 3,800 loans, up 31% quarter on quarter and 19% year on year. Home movers borrowed £490 million, down 6% on the first quarter of the year but unchanged compared… Continue reading

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UK rents up 2.4% in 12 months to July 2016, latest index shows

Rents in the UK’s private rental sector increased by 2.4% in the 12 months to July 2016, unchanged compared with the year to June 2016, according to the latest index data. The figures from the Office of National Statistics (ONS) shows that rental prices grew by 2.6% in England, 0.2% in Scotland and were unchanged in Wales. Rental prices increased in all the English regions over the year to July 2016, with rental prices increasing the most in the South East at 3.5%, up from 3.4% in June 2016, followed by the East of England at 3.1% and London at 3%, both unchanged from June 2016. Annual rental growth in the South East has surpassed that of London since May 2016. Since the beginning of 2012, English rental prices have shown annual increases ranging between 1.4% and 3% year on year, with July 2016 rental prices being 2.6% higher than July 2015 rental prices. Excluding London, England showed an increase of 2.3% for the same period. The lowest annual rental price increases were in the North East, up 0.9% and up from 0.8% in June 2016, the North West up 1.2% and Yorkshire and The Humber up 1.3%, both unchanged when compared with June 2016. But the lack of movement in Wales meant that rents continue to be well below that of England and the average for the country as a whole while rental growth in Scotland has gradually slowed to 0.2% in the year to July 2016, from a high of 2.1% in the year to June 2015. Looking at data from the UK House Price Index over a longer period shows residential house price growth has typically been stronger than rental price growth for a number of years, with an average 12 month rate of house price inflation between January 2013 and June 2016 of 6%, compared with 2.1% for rental prices. Inflation in the rental market is likely to have been caused by demand in the market outpacing supply, says the ONS report which points out that the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Residential Market Survey reported an increase in demand in the three months to July, while tenant demand increased in June according to the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA). On the supply side, RICS reported that new landlord instructions were flat in July and ARLA reported that the supply of rental stock bounced back in June 2016, following a sharp drop in May. It points out that rental prices have been growing at a slightly faster rate than real wages in recent months. Regular pay also grew by 2.3% in the three months to June 2016 compared with the same period last year, continuing a revival of real earnings growth. The annual jump in private rental prices is a stark reminder of the struggles that many people living in private rented homes are facing in saving a deposit to buy their first home, according to Richard Connolly,… Continue reading

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UK is running out of bricks to build new homes

A shortage of bricks is a contributing factor in rising house prices in the UK over the past decade with new research suggesting 1.4 billion are needed to meet demand. With demand for new homes growing it means that the number of bricks, the most used traditional building material in the UK, cannot keep up with development, according to research from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) and the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr). The UK’s construction sector would require a total of 1.4 billion bricks in order to resolve the housing shortage in the UK, the equivalent of the total amount which would be needed to build all the houses in Leicestershire. The research report says that between 2006 and 2016, the growing UK population triggered exponential growth in demand, and has now outgrown the number of houses being built. Given that in 2016 the average UK home is made up of 5,180 bricks, resolving the housing shortage of 264,000 units would require 1.4 billion bricks. While house prices are impacted by numerous macroeconomic factors, they are fundamentally driven by the supply and demand of housing units. The shortage of homes has led to sharp house price appreciation and prevented many prospective buyers from getting on to the property ladder. The 1.4 billion bricks deficit could in theory build several of the UK’s famous landmarks several times over including 740 Big Bens, 40 Tower Bridges, 3,090 Manchester Town Halls, 4,540 Warwick Castles and 5,830 Conwy Castles. There are concerns that the impact of Brexit could significantly worsen the issue. In 2015 some 85% of all imported clay and cement which are primary brick components, came from the European Union and the report suggests that depending on how trade negotiations develop, Brexit could have a considerable impact on supply. It also explains that the UK’s brick stock steadily declined between 2008 and 2013 and only partially recovered in 2014 and 2015. Two thirds of small and medium sized construction businesses faced a two month wait for new brick orders last year, with almost a quarter waiting for up to four months and 16% waiting six to eight months. This can partially be explained by the slowdown in building following the recession, it adds, but even although new homes are becoming smaller there are still not enough bricks. Over the past 100 years, the size of the average UK home has shrunk significantly. In the 1920s the average dwelling was 153 square meters and now it is approximately half the size at 83 square meter, meaning homes have shrunk by 46% in the last century. This is partly a result of the fact families are generally smaller, so require less space, however the decrease can also be explained by financial restrictions. As house prices have risen by 45% over the past 10 years house buyers have been forced… Continue reading

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