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Mortgage payments for UK first time buyers have fallen sharply

First time buyers in the UK with small deposits are making savings of more than £790 a year, when comparing monthly mortgage payments to the same time last year, new research suggests. This is in part due to competitive interest rates now available as monthly mortgage costs for first time buyers have fallen sharply, according to the latest Genworth Moneyfacts LTV tracker report. The average house price for a first time buyer is £154,559 and for those with a 10% deposit, lower mortgage interest rates mean they can save £67 a month compared to what they would have paid if they’d taken out the same loan a year ago. This adds up to savings of £800 over the course of a year. For those with 5% deposits, the monthly payment on a 95% LTV mortgage for an average first time buyer home was £66 per month lower in March 2016 compared to 2015, equating to annual savings of £792. The report explains that part of the reason for the attractive rates is increased competition as the number of mortgage products at high LTVs has risen in recent months. The number of mortgages available for those with a 5% deposit jumped sharply from 195 in March 2015 to 267 in March 2016. As a result, rates for 95% LTV mortgages reached a record low of 3.92% in March 2016, 0.80 bps lower than a year before. Rates for 90% LTV loans are also much cheaper, having fallen 0.92 bps to 2.82%. However, the total amount of high LTV lending has stagnated even while overall lending has increased revealing that while lenders may be competing for the best customers in the high LTV bracket, they are more focused on increasing lending to customers with larger deposits. Despite a climate which is ripe for high LTV lending and a rising numbers of available mortgages, lending to those with a 5% deposit, which saw a notable boost following the introduction of the Help to Buy Mortgage Guarantee (HTB2) Scheme, has subsequently flat lined. Lending to those with 5% deposits received a much needed boost following the introduction of HTB2, with the proportion of lending at this level climbing from 1.7% in the fourth quarter of 2013 to 3.1% in the first quarter of 2014. It reached a high of 4.2% of total mortgage lending in the second quarter of 2014 but stagnated at around 3% in 2015. The stagnation in lending to those with small deposits is particularly concerning given that the Help to Buy Mortgage Guarantee scheme is due to end after this year. With nothing scheduled to replace the scheme, the fear is that lending to this part of the market could continue to fall. ‘Competitive rates available for those with just 5% or 10% deposits mean they are able… Continue reading

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Chancellor warns property prices will take a big hit if UK leaves EU

Leaving the European Union would hit the UK residential property market with prices likely to be hit significantly and make mortgages more expensive, according to the Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne. Speaking on national television, he warned that if there is a Brexit, the term used to describe the country leaving the EU, then the values of homes will fall. He also revealed that the Treasury is about to publish a major piece of research on how Brexit would affect that UK economy and that one major issue that emerges is the effect on real estate, ‘You will see the analysis we will do, but I’m pretty clear that there will be a significant hit to the value of people’s homes and to the costs of mortgages. That is one example of the kind of impact, economic impact, that we get from leaving the EU,’ he said on of ITV’s Peston on Sunday politics programme. He has spoken out as the campaigning ahead of the EU referendum on 23 June hots up. The polls have been neck and neck but at the beginning of May an ICM poll put the leave camp slightly ahead at 45% compared to 44% for remain. The warning from Osborne comes as prices have started to ease slightly. The latest Halifax index, just published, shows prices fell by 0.8% in April. The market has been looking healthy recently with data from HMRC showing that sales have risen dramatically from 116,930 in February to 165,480 in March, the highest monthly total since records began in April 2005. While sales in the first three months of 2016 were 32% higher than in the same period last year, much of both the monthly and annual increases is likely to be attributable to a rush to beat the new stamp duty tax rates for buy to let and second homes in April. On top of this the volume of mortgage approvals for house purchases, a leading indicator of completed house sales fell by 2.5% between February and March. This suggests that the number of new buyers seeking to complete ahead of the stamp-duty surcharge had already begun to ease. Approvals, however, were still 15% higher than in March 2015, according to Bank of England, seasonally adjusted figures. Meanwhile, supply remains historically low. New instructions by home sellers fell marginally in March following three consecutive monthly increases. Market conditions remain very tight with stock levels nearly 20% lower than a year ago, at a near historical low, the most up to date monthly report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) shows. Continue reading

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UK property prices fall in April and could soften further ahead of EU vote

Property prices in the UK fell by 0.8% in April and annual house price growth eased to 9.2%, taking the average price to £212,321, the latest index data shows. The figures from lender, the Halifax, also show that house prices in the three months from February to April were 1.5% higher than the preceding three months. Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist, pointed out that both the quarterly and annual price rates are at their lowest since November 2015. ‘Current market conditions remain very tight as the severe imbalance between supply and demand persists. This situation, combined with low interest rates and rising employment and real earnings, should continue to push house prices up over the coming months,’ he said. ‘Weakening sentiment regarding house price prospects and a dip in consumer confidence, however, suggest that annual house price growth may ease,’ he added. The 0.8% between March and April, combined with February’s 1.5% fall has offset March’s 2.2% gain. But according to Ellis monthly house price changes can be volatile and he pointed out that the quarter on quarter change is a more reliable indicator of the underlying trend. Confidence in the UK housing market is at its lowest level in over a year, according to the latest quarterly Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker. The latest fall continues the downward trend since a high point in May 2015, and comes as consumers feel increasingly uncertain about the wider economy. Nonetheless, a clear majority of 65% still believe that average UK property prices will be higher rather than lower 12 months from now, double the 32% found when the Tracker was launched five years ago in April 2011. Jonathan Hopper, managing director of the buying agents Garrington Property Finders, believes that double digit annual price rises are unlikely to return any time soon but the cooling of the market may mark an opportunity for buyers, as some sellers are being forced to reassess their overly ambitious asking prices. ‘For the first time in more than a year, we’re seeing many mid-range properties in the most desirable locations selling for below asking price, hinting that the power dynamic is shifting from a seller’s to a buyer’s market,’ he said. ‘But with demand still strong and supply still chronically low, the net effect is likely to be a gradual return to more normal rates of price growth rather than a serious slowdown. With the Halifax also finding that levels of confidence in the housing market have fallen to their lowest level in more than a year, sellers must think urgently about pricing competitively,’ he added. On top of the slightly cooling of the market there is also uncertainty over the referendum on the future of the UK on the European Union on 23 June. Mark Posniak, managing director at Dragonfly Property Finance, thinks prices are likely to edge down further. ‘People are starting to understand the magnitude of the Brexit vote and that will lead many to… Continue reading

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