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Demand sees US pending home sales reach highest level since August 2013

Improved buyer demand at the beginning of 2015 pushed pending home sales in the United States in January to their highest level since August 2013, according to the latest figures to be published. The data from the National Association of Realtors also shows that all major regions except for the Midwest saw gains in activity in January. The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, climbed 1.7% to 104.2 in January from an upwardly revised 102.5 in December and is now 8.4% above January 2014, the fifth month of year on year gains with each month accelerating the previous month's gain. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that for the most part buyers in January were able to overcome tight supply to sign contracts at a pace that highlights the underlying demand that exists in today's market. ‘Contract activity is convincingly up compared to a year ago despite comparable inventory levels. The difference this year is the positive factors supporting stronger sales, such as slightly improving credit conditions, more jobs and slower price growth,’ he explained. Yun pointed out that there are now more favourable conditions for traditional buyers entering the market. All cash sales and sales to investors are both down from a year ago, creating less competition and some relief for buyers who still face the challenge of limited homes available for sale. ‘All indications point to modest sales gains as we head into the spring buying season. However, the pace will greatly depend on how much upward pressure the impact of low inventory will have on home prices. Appreciation anywhere near double digits isn't healthy or sustainable in the current economic environment,’ Yun added. The index in the Northeast increased by 0.1% to 84.9 in January, and is now 6.9% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index decreased 0.7% to 99.3 in January, but is 4.2% above January 2014. Pending home sales experienced the largest increase in the South, up 3.2% to an index of 121.9 in January, the highest since April 2010, and 9.7% above last January. The index in the West rose 2.2% in January to 96.4 and is 11.4% above a year ago. Total existing homes sales in 2015 are forecast to be around 5.26 million, an increase of 6.4% from 2014. The national median existing home price for all of this year is expected to increase around 5%. In 2014, existing home sales declined 2.9% and prices rose 5.7%. Continue reading

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Residential property prices in England and Wales up 1.3% in January

Home prices in England and Wales increased by 6.7% year on year in January and were up 1.3% month on month, according to the latest land registry figures. This takes the average property value in England and Wales to £179,492 compared with the peak of £181,101 in November 2007. A breakdown of the figures shows that London experienced the greatest increase in its average property value over the last 12 months with a rise of 12% while the North West experienced the greatest monthly rise of 2.6%. The North East saw the lowest annual price growth with a rise of just 0.1% and Yorkshire and the Humber saw the largest monthly price fall of 1.5%. The data also shows that the most up to date figures available reveal that the number of completed house sales in England and Wales decreased by 19% to 68,107 compared with 83,726 in November 2013. The number of properties sold in England and Wales for over £1 million decreased by 18% to 869 from 1,060 a year earlier and repossession volumes in England and Wales decreased by 47% to 687 compared with 1,286 in November 2013. London was the region with the greatest fall in repossession sales. Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, explained the figures confirm that house price growth regrouped in January after an underwhelming end to 2014. ‘All the fundamentals are in place to help the market get back into its stride, and stamp duty savings and competitive mortgages rates are already enticing buyers and sellers to the market and upping demand,’ he said. ‘This is good news for the wider housing recovery, which at the moment is still largely restricted to the South East as many other regions have a long way to go before they are within sights of the towering annual growth witnessed in the capital. In these places, access to Help to Buy and more affordable properties are the key stimulants invigorating demand at the entry level,’ he pointed out. He also pointed out that on a monthly basis, the London market is back to more reasonable conditions after the whirlwind of last year, allowing buyers some valuable let up from cut throat market conditions. ‘A greater supply of properties on the market is music to the ears of London home buyers, and this optimism is feeding into a healthy demand. A feel good factor at the culmination of the general election should get the top tiers of the property market moving again as the uncertainty clears, and this is likely to mitigate any shortfall in the meantime,’ he added. According to Nick Leeming, chairman of Jackson Stops & Staff, the statistics reflect market sentiment from two to three months ago, when the London market was cooling but the country market relatively stable. ‘It is not surprising therefore that, while London showed an annual increase of 12%, January’s figures showed a small decrease and this… Continue reading

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2015 set to see strong growth in demand for prime properties in Spain

The international financial markets are expected to be a key driver in the uptake of Spanish prime residential property during 2015, according to a new analysis. The latest market reports from Lucas Fox International Properties, suggest there has been an increase in demand from UK, US and Swiss buyers thanks to the rise of the dollar, pound and Swiss franc against the Euro. Conversely, the number of Russian investors is expected to dwindle as the rouble goes further into free fall in 2015. ‘With unemployment falling, the economy growing faster than predicted and property reaching the bottom, 2015 is set to be a pivotal year for Spain's property market. Prices are on average 40% below what they were since the start of the crisis in 2007 and we predict a slow and steady recovery. This is an opportune time to invest,’ said Lucas Fox co-founder Alexander Vaughan. The report says that prices in Barcelona have stabilised in the past 12 months and new international interest is impacting on demand for prime residential property. 2015 is expected to be the most significant year of recovery for the prime market in Barcelona since 2007. Lucas Fox sales data shows that Middle Eastern buyers accounted for 12.5% of all purchases during 2014, followed by the Spanish and French both at 11%, the Germans at 8% and the British at 7%. The bulk of prime market property purchases in Barcelona during 2014 was for investment use with two out of five buying for that reason, whereas in2013, the main reason for buying was for use as a primary or secondary residence. The number of transactions in 2014 increased over 2013, with more properties above €1 million selling than in the previous year. ‘We see 2015 as the recovery year for the Spanish prime residential property market, driven mainly by increasing numbers of overseas buyers. We expect that those who were deterred by falling prices during the past seven years or so, will enter the market, enticed by some real opportunities,’ explained Vaughan. ‘Prices have fallen by up to 40% in some areas of the city but, in the last 12 months, these prices have stabilised. Some recent figures suggest that, in some of the most desirable areas of the city such as Eixample and the beachfront, prices for the best properties are starting to creep up again. The key change in the Barcelona Residential market during 2015 will be the return of quality new build residential developments which have not been seen on the market for several years and where demand currently outstrips supply,’ he added. In the Costa Brava, foreign investment in residential property has grown significantly. In 2010, foreign investment in new housing properties accounted for 9% of the market. In 2014, foreign investment represented 26% of the market. Price movement in the prime residential property market for the Costa Brava region is not expected in 2015. However, sales volume is predicted to increase particularly… Continue reading

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