Tag Archives: lending
Number of UK tenants in arrears rises but still a small proportion overall
Progress for UK residential tenants significantly behind on rent halted in the first quarter of the year with those in arrears up 4% since a year ago. In the first three months of 2015 there were now 70,900 tenants facing more than two months of unpaid rent, some 1,500 more households than in the previous quarter, when 69,400 tenants were over two months behind on rent, or a quarterly increase of 2.2%. Since the same point last year the number of tenancies in such a position has grown by 4%, with 2,700 additional households falling into this most serious category of late rent, according to the latest tenant arrears tracker by estate agency chains Your Move and Reeds Rains, part of LSL Property Services. This setback represents a levelling off in the number of tenants in the most dire financial situation. Compared to the worst peak of serious rent arrears in third quarter of 2012, when 116,600 households faced more than two months in late rent, this has moderated significantly, to the tune of 45,700 fewer such cases in the first quarter of 2015. However, the report points out that progress has now been incremental or even backwards for over 18 months with the fourth quarter of 2013 still the best calendar quarter on record, when just 63,500 struggled with serious rent arrears. Despite a lack of progress since the end of 2013, the chance of a given tenant falling so far behind on rent is extremely low. As a proportion of all tenants, just 1.4% owed more than two months’ rent in the first quarter of 2015, the same as in the fourth quarter of 2014. This compares to 2.9% in the first quarter of 2008 even before the worst of the financial crisis and recession. A setback for the most severe cases of rent arrears comes despite a more encouraging trend among those who fall more incrementally behind on payments. As of March 2015, 7.4% of rent is now in arrears of any length, down from 7.6% in February 2015 and down from 7.8% of all rent late a year before in March 2014. As with severe arrears, rent arrears of all lengths remain considerably lower than in previous years, since peaking at 14.6% in February 2010. ‘Tenants are now far less likely to be out of work than at this point last year but many tenants are still struggling to keep up with household expenses in the face of extremely modest wages. There are some signs on the horizon this will improve, but in the meantime a small but significant minority of households are facing a real challenge to find the rent every month,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains. ‘Other factors are at play too. There are also more cases of severe arrears, in absolute terms, because there are more people renting their home overall. The chance of a… Continue reading
New home building not meeting demand for housing in Australia
Despite a record level of home building activity in Australia, this is still falling short of the current demand for new homes, according to the Housing Industry Association, the voice of Australia’s residential building industry. The HIA Autumn 2015 National Outlook report shows new housing construction is at record levels and is single handedly propping up Australia’s domestic economy. But HIA chief economist, Harley Dale, said that on-going momentum in 2015 is narrowly driven compared to last year, in terms of both geographical area and dwelling type. ‘It is disappointing that despite record new housing supply, many Australians are being priced out of the market due to the excessive and inefficient taxation and regulation governments’ impose on the new housing sector,’ he pointed out. ‘Super low interest rates are doing their job, but there is a lack of complimentary policy reform. The detached house construction cycle had peaked well below its potential because households can’t pay the cost of waiting up to 14 months for titled land, or multiple months for a simple building approval, or borrow the additional amount required to cover government-imposed gold-plating of user pays infrastructure,’ he explained. ‘A lack of focus on housing policy reform is shutting Australians’ out of their new home at a time when they could borrow responsibly at attractive interest rates and be part of the great Australian dream,’ he added. New dwelling commencements are projected to see a third consecutive year of growth in 2014/205. An increase of 12.9% is forecast to bring commencements to an all-time high of 205,490. The ultra-low interest rate environment means that there is some upside risk to this forecast. The latest projections indicate that dwelling commencements will fall by 10.6% in 2015/2016, with a further reduction of 4.7% in 2016/2017. The bulk of the decline will be concentrated in the ‘multi-unit’ market segment. The further upward momentum to new home building in 2015 is confined to two states, New South Wales and Queensland. The report also says that detached house commencements have peaked for the cycle at a level of 112,232. There is unrealised demand for detached housing due to a lack of shovel-ready land and a plethora of other supply side obstacles. Detached house commencements would have increased further in 2015 without these barriers to supply. Across the distinct types of new dwellings constructed, the upward momentum in 2015 is most evident for units of four or more storeys. There is some upward momentum evident for semi-detached/townhouse product. Housing renovations continue to struggle, increasing by just 0.8% during 2014. For 2014/2015 as a whole, the report expects that the volume of renovations will fall by 4.1% to $27.4 billion. That will be the lowest value since 2001/2002. Continued low interest rates and an economic recovery will eventually start to lift the renovations market. During 2015/2016 growth of 2.3% is forecast followed by a slight increase of 0.5% during 2016/2017. A further rise of 2.5%… Continue reading
UK property market sees lowest annual price growth since 2013
Annual UK property price growth was 3.7% in April, taking the average price of a home to £208,717, the lowest level of annual growth since July 2013, the latest index shows. Month on month prices were up 0.5%, according to the latest monitor report from haart estate agents. In London prices were up 1.9% month on month and 6.8% year on year to an average of £513,154. The data also shows that in April new buyer registrations fell by 1.6% compared with March, the first monthly fall this year, as buyers adopted a pre-election ‘wait and see’ attitude. Seller activity also slowed in April with new property instructions up just 1.5% month on month. The report also shows that house sales were up 3.3% in April compared to March but down 17.1% from April 2014. But there has been a post-election pick up in seller activity with the weekend after polling day seeing a 34% surge in new property instructions compared with the previous weekend. The average price of a first time buyer home increased 3.5% annually and 0.8% on the month. The report says that the new Help to Buy ISA, when the product is designed and implemented, will provide further assistance to first time buyers seeking to buy a home. First time buyers now make up 42.9% of all mortgages written, which is up slightly on March but still falls below 46.1% in April 2014. The average mortgage granted to first-time buyers is up 1.2% on the month in April and 2.5% annually. ‘The pre-election property market held its breath in April but the election uncertainty did not have an overall stifling effect on the market average property price growth for the UK slowed but did not come off the boil,’ said Paul Smith, chief executive officer haart, which has a network of over 200 branches across the country. ‘However, there was a drop in activity from sellers and prospective buyers in the run up as a wait and see attitude took hold of the market. We are already seeing the reversal of this with a flurry of activity from prospective sellers in the weekend immediately following the election,’ he explained. ‘Continuity of government, no mansion tax and supportive policies like the Help to Buy ISA should keep the property market on its upward trajectory for the rest of 2015,’ he added. Continue reading
