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Home prices set to rise 5.4% in the United States in 2016
Home prices across the United States, including distressed sales, increased year on year by 6.3% in December 2015 and increased month on month by 0.8%, the latest index shows. And forecast data from the CoreLogic House Price Index also indicates that home prices are set to rise by 5.4% this year. ‘Nationally, home prices have been rising at a 5% to 6% annual rate for more than a year,’ said Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic. However, he added that local market growth can vary substantially from that. For example, some metropolitan areas have had double digit appreciation, such as Denver and Naples, Florida, while others have had price declines, like New Orleans and Rochester, New York. ‘Higher property valuations appear to be driving up single-family construction as we head into the spring. Additional housing stock, especially in urban centres on the coasts such as San Francisco, could help to temper home price growth in the longer term,’ said Anand Nallathambi, president and chief executive officer of CoreLogic. ‘In the short and medium term, local markets with strong employment growth are likely to experience a continued rise in home sales and price growth well above the US average,’ he added. Meanwhile, research from real estate firm Zillow shows that buyers in Boston, New York, and Washington, D.C. have to stay in a home for at least three years to break even on a home purchase, and buyers in the Bay Area would have to stay nearly that long to make buying financially advantageous. In general, Americans can break even on a home purchase in less than two years in 70% of US metros and the firm says that this is thanks to low interest rates, healthy home value forecasts, and the relatively fast pace of rents in recent years. The Breakeven Horizon index shows that on average you don't need to plan on living in a home for even two years to make purchasing the home more financially advantageous than renting it over the same time period. Among large housing markets, the Breakeven Horizon is longest in Washington, D.C. at 4.5 years and shortest in Dallas at 1.3 years. Around the country over the last year, the Breakeven Horizon quickened in most of the Midwest and Southeast as well as in the Northeast corridor from New York to Boston. The Horizon stretched longer in Florida, Northern California, and in the Northeast from Virginia Beach to Philadelphia, but it remained clear that financially, it's still a better deal to buy a home than rent it, assuming you're planning to stay in the home for at least a couple years. ‘Even with record high rents in places like San Jose, Boston and Washington, D.C., putting off a home purchase might be the best financial decision for a young person who has saved enough for a down payment, depending on how long they intend to stay in their jobs and homes,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja… Continue reading
Average UK property price up to £200,000, latest index shows
Property prices in the UK increased by 0.8% month on month in December to an average of £196,999 and up 4.5% year on year, according to the latest monthly index to be published. The data from home lender, the Nationwide, shows that after moderating during the first six months of 2015, house price growth has remained in a narrow range between 3% and 4.5% in the second half of the year. All regions except Scotland saw increases in house prices in 2015, though all recorded slower rates of annual price growth than in 2014. London was the strongest performing region for the fifth year running, with average prices up 12% year on year. The Nationwide’s quarterly index, however, shows that average prices in London are now 50% above their pre-crisis peak in 2007, while in the UK overall prices are around 7% higher. The neighbouring Outer Metropolitan region took second place, with prices up almost 11% compared with the fourth quarter of 2014. Yorkshire and Humberside was the weakest performing English region, with prices up 0.4% year on year. House prices continue to recover in Northern Ireland, with annual growth of 6.5% in the fourth quarter, although average prices are still 44% below their pre-crisis peak. Wales saw a 0.7% year on year increase in average prices, similar to the 1.4% increase recorded in 2014. Scotland was the only region to see prices fall over the year, with prices down 1.9% compared with the fourth quarter of 2014. The full data also suggests that in England the North/South divide has widened further. Average house prices in England increased by 2.2% in the fourth quarter and were up 6.9% year on year. Price growth in the South exceeded that in the North for the 27th consecutive quarter. Prices in Southern England, that is the South West, Outer South East, Outer Metropolitan, London and East Anglia, were up 8.9% year on year, whilst in the West Midlands, East Midlands, Yorkshire & Humberside, North West and North prices rose by just 1.6%. In cash terms, the gap in average prices between the South and the North of England widened further and now stands at nearly £159,000, around £23,000 higher than a year ago. Looking ahead to 2016, the risks are skewed towards a modest acceleration in house price growth, at least at the national level, despite the likelihood of interest rate increases from the middle of next year, according to Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist. ‘Further healthy gains in employment and rising wages are likely to bolster buyer sentiment, while borrowing costs are expected to rise only gradually. However, the main concern is that construction activity will lag behind strengthening demand, putting upward pressure on house prices and eventually reducing affordability,’ he said. ‘Overall, we expect UK house prices to rise by 3% to 6% over the next 12 months. It remains an open question whether the striking divergence in regional house price performance evident in… Continue reading
Survey reveals shocking lack of knowledge over residential property leases
Property owners in the UK who are leaseholders do not know enough about how the system works and much of this is down to poor advice from conveyancing solicitors, it is claimed. They have a ‘shocking’ lack of understanding on how leases work, how they can be extended and the consequences of failing to extend a short lease, says research from law firm Bolt Burdon Kemp. The survey found that over half of leaseholders are unaware of the crucial 80 year rule that once the time left on a lease falls below 80 years, the extension will immediately cost thousands, sometimes hundreds of thousands of pounds more. Almost all flats and apartments in England and Wales are leasehold property yet a fifth of leaseholders are aware that they have leases with less than 80 years left to run and therefore face hefty bills to extend but 36% do not know the length of their lease at all. The majority of leaseholders are unaware they can extend their lease after two years of ownership and overall the situation is a time bomb, according to the firm. The firm points out that a lease with less than 80 years left steadily becomes less valuable, leaving the property owner with a diminishing asset that they may be unable to sell or mortgage. The survey also reveals that many respondents were not given basic information about the importance of lease length and renewing the lease at a time when the number of leasehold owners has increased. Indeed, it points out that buying a leasehold can be fraught with issues and the lack of knowledge can create an avoidable and very expensive problem for home owners further down the line. ‘It is clear from these results that leaseholders are simply not being given enough information by their professional advisors before buying flats and apartments. This is creating a ticking time bomb for many leaseholders,’ said Stephen Hill, partner at Bolt Burdon Kemp. ‘Not knowing the length of your lease or the impact if it falls below 80 years is very serious, it could mean you struggle to sell the property or renew your mortgage. Solicitors and conveyancers advising leaseholders must do more to ensure property owners are fully aware of what they are getting themselves into when they buy a lease,’ he added. The current law states that after an unexpired term of a lease drops below 80 years, the way that the cost of a lease extension is calculated changes. When a lease is extended, the freehold becomes less valuable. It is only if the lease has less than 80 years to run when you extend it that the law requires you to pay the owner of the freehold compensation for the lost value. If there are more than 80 years left to run on the lease, no compensation is payable and the cost will usually be minimal. With each year that passes below 80 years, the lease becomes increasingly… Continue reading
