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First time buyers in UK not impacted by Brexit vote

Buyers in the UK seemed largely unperturbed in the run up to the European Union referendum in June with sales to first time buyers increasing. According to the latest monthly report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) demand for housing increased as well while supply of available properties and the number of sales going through were stable. However, immediately following the result to leave the EU, agents witnessed uncertainty from sellers, and supply fell momentarily. Overall in June, estate agents saw an increase in demand which the NAEA says suggests that buyers weren’t fazed by the risk of Brexit in the lead up to the vote. There were an average 330 house hunters registered per member branch last month, up 9% from May when 304 buyers were registered, the lowest number recorded since November 2013. However, although June saw growth in the number of prospective buyers, demand still remains low in comparison to June last year. Meanwhile, some 57% of agents reported a drop in demand from prospective buyers and 58% saw supply fall in the week immediately following the vote. However, it is expected this will level out in July. First time buyers in particular were not impacted by the Brexit result. Immediately following the result only 28% of NAEA agents witnessed uncertainty from this group of buyers, while 30% of total house sales in June were made to first time buyers, the highest number of sales since October last year. The Brexit vote did not affect the number sales that completed in June either, with a total of eight sales completing per branch last month, a figure which has not shifted from May. Further to this, the supply of available housing also remained the same with an average of 37 properties registered per member branch in June. ‘In periods of extreme political and economic uncertainty, the housing market will always respond. However, it’s a relief to see that looking at the whole month overall, buyers were still keen to buy, sellers were still keen to sell and sales were still going through at the same level as we’d expect,’ said Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘It’s only natural that immediately following the vote supply fell but our figures show that the lead up to the vote wasn’t all doom and gloom, which should be a good indication of the months to come,’ he explained. ‘We remain upbeat and need others in the industry to do so as well. The new Housing Minister confirming his commitment to building £1 million new homes will be encouraging for many buyers, especially those looking to buy their first home. Hopefully we should soon see housing market confidence bouncing back to the levels seen pre-Brexit,’ he added. Continue reading

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Price of a home for first time buyers in England up 28% in last four years

First time buyers in England are now paying out an average of just over £196,000 for their home, a rise of £42,451 or 28% over the last four years, new research shows. Over the same period the average house price has increased by 26%, highlighting the ever growing obstacle many first time buyers face getting onto the housing ladder, according to the report from hybrid estate agent eMoov. The situation is harder in London where the current price paid on average by first time buyers is £462,602, by £54% since up 2012 while at £86,116, County Durham in the north east of England offers the best value for those looking to get on the property ladder. Durham has struggled in recent times where the property market is concerned, with low demand seeing prices drop, although this has at least benefited first time buyers in the area, the report says. But prices have increased by just 3% or £2,600 since 2012, the lowest across England. In London even the top five most affordable boroughs have average house prices for first time buyers well above the UK average. The most affordable at £254,600 is Barking and Dagenham, followed by Havering at £281,836, Bexley at £285,464, Croydon at £301,001 and Sutton at £312,978. In 2012 the average first time buyer price for each borough was below £200,000, but since then first time buyers in each of these five boroughs seen an increase of between £95,000 and £118,000. Kensington and Chelsea at £1.1 million is the most expensive borough in the capital for first time buyers, followed by Westminster at £906,882, the City of London at £711,009, Camden at £669,020 and Hammersmith and Fulham at £690,296. The highest prices for first time buyers outside of London are Surrey with an average of £323,973, Hertfordshire at £305,043, Berkshire at £292,227, Oxfordshire at 286,962 and Buckinghamshire at £286,511. These areas have seen first time buyer prices rise by between £80,000 and £96,000 since 2012. ‘First time buyers are paying almost as much as second and third steppers in actual price terms yet the percentage increase in first time buyer properties is tracking at even greater than regular house prices. It really does highlight the issue facing the nation's next generation of aspirational home owners,’ said Russel Quirk, chief executive officer of eMoov. ‘How the government expect anyone to get on in life when the first hurdle they face is all but unobtainable, to begin with, is beyond me, especially in London. Over 90% of the capital’s boroughs have seen the price paid by first time buyers increase by more than £100,000 in just four or so short years,’ he pointed out. ‘We must address this issue and find a way to bring home ownership back in reach of the average home buyer, not just in London, or the surrounding commuter counties, but to the whole of England,’ he added. Continue reading

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Latest house price index shows no Brexit effect on UK property prices

House prices in the UK increased by 0.5% month on month in July, defying the vote to leave the European Union which many commentators though would have an adverse effect on the nation’s property market. It means that the annual rate of house price growth edged up from 5.1% in June to 5.2% in July, taking the average price of a home to £205,715, according to the data from the Nationwide House Price Index. It is the first index from a major lender to be published since the historic vote on 23 June and overall the index report says that the UK housing market is still seeing steady growth. However Nationwide chief economist Robert Gardner said it is important to note that the index is based on data at the mortgage offer stage so there still might be an impact in future data. ‘It means any impact from the vote may not be fully evident in July’s figures, as there is a short lag between a buyer making the decision to purchase a property and applying for a mortgage,’ he explained. He also believe that the outlook can only be described as uncertain. ‘It will be tempting for commentators to assign any trends in the coming months to the impact of the referendum. Housing market transactions were always likely to soften over the summer after the surge in activity in March, as buyers brought forward purchases of second homes to avoid the stamp duty levy, which took effect in April,’ he pointed out. ‘Determining how much of any fall-back in activity is the result of the tax changes and how much is due to the referendum will be difficult. In the near term, increased economic uncertainty may lead to weaker demand for homes. Leading indicators are consistent with softening ahead. Household confidence fell sharply in the wake of the referendum result, especially attitudes towards making major purchases, which in the past has correlated with mortgage activity, though less closely in recent years,’ he added. He also pointed out that in the run up to the vote the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) reported declines in new buyer enquiries and expectations of weaker price growth amongst surveyors. ‘Although these trends predate the vote and are likely to have been impacted by the recent tax changes as well as the referendum. How the labour market evolves will be crucial in determining the demand for homes in the quarters ahead. It is encouraging that conditions were robust in the run up to the vote, with the unemployment rate falling to a ten-year low in the three months to May,’ Gardner said. ‘The decline in long term interest rates to new all-time lows in recent weeks should also help to keep borrowing costs low and provide some support for demand. Even if there is a fall back in demand as a result of economic uncertainty, the impact on house prices is not certain, as potential… Continue reading

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