Tag Archives: investment
Pending home sales static in US in June, latest index shows
Pending home sales in the United States were mostly static in June but the latest index from the National Association of Realtors is now at its second highest reading over the last year. However, supply and affordability constraints prevented a bigger boost in activity from mortgage rates that lingered near all-time lows through most of the month and increases in the Northeast and Midwest were offset by declines in the South and West. Overall the NAR’s pending home sales index, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, was up 0.2% month on month and is 1% higher than June 2015. But it is noticeably down from this year's peak level in April. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, a solid bump in activity in the Northeast pulled up pending sales modestly in June. ‘With only the Northeast region having an adequate supply of homes for sale, the reoccurring dilemma of strained supply causing a run-up in home prices continues to play out in several markets, leading to the last two months reflecting a slight, early summer cooldown after a very active spring,’ he said. ‘Unfortunately for prospective buyers trying to take advantage of exceptionally low mortgage rates, housing inventory at the end of last month was down almost 6% from a year ago and home prices are showing little evidence of slowing to a healthier pace that more closely mirrors wage and income growth,’ he pointed out. ‘Until inventory conditions markedly improve, far too many prospective buyers are likely to run into situations of either being priced out of the market or outbid on the very few properties available for sale,’ he added. One noteworthy and positive development occurring in the housing market during the first half of the year, according to Yun, is that sales to investors have subsided from a high of 18% in February to a low of 11% in June, which is the smallest share since July 2009. Yun attributes this retreat to the diminished number of distressed properties coming onto the market at any given time and the ascent in home prices, which have now risen year on year for 52 consecutive months. ‘Limited selection of homes at bargain prices is reducing the number of individual investors willing or able to buy. This will hopefully open the door for first-time buyers, who made some progress last month but are still buying homes at a subpar level even as rents increase at rates not seen since before the downturn,’ Yun explained. In spite of the slight slowdown in contract signings from April's peak high, existing home sales this year are still expected to be around 5.44 million, 3.6% higher from 2015 and the highest annual pace since 2006 when it was 6.48 million. After accelerating to 6.8% a year ago, national median existing home price growth is forecast to slightly moderate to around 4%. A breakdown of the figures show that in the Northeast the index was up 3.2%… Continue reading
Lack of funding affecting barn conversion rates in UK
The British love affair with barn conversions seems to have come to an end with new figures showing that the number of agricultural to residential property conversions has fallen. For decades the conversion of agricultural buildings including barns and stables into homes has been popular but now new research shows that in England the number has dropped by 24% over the last year. It suggests that developers are suffering from a lack of funding for such projects so people who want this kind of property are left to funding it themselves. This is despite a there being a considerable appetite amongst farmers concerned about European Union subsidies after the recent Brexit vote to target alternative ways to diversify income, says peer to per property funding platform Saving Stream which carried out the research. The firm believes that agricultural to residential property conversions could still make significant financial sense for farmers and it also makes sense in terms of improving the current lack of housing supply in the UK, especially in rural areas. Saving Stream adds that banks are continuing to de-risk their balance sheets as much as possible, driven by the capital holding requirements placed on them by regulators in the wake of the credit crunch and that private investors are stepping in to help finance these projects as they are attracted to the competitive annual returns of 12% on offer for secured loans at a maximum loan to value ratio of 70%. ‘Converting agricultural buildings such as barns are one of the most effective ways of combating the UK’s chronic rural housing shortage and in the uncertain post-Brexit climate, UK farmers are looking to ramp up activity in this area,’ said Liam Brooke, co-founder of Saving Stream. ‘It is important that access to funding is improved, developers are keen to take-up the large number of opportunities available to them but time and time again a lack of funding is holding them back,’ he added. Saving Stream explains that recent research shows that outstanding lending by UK banks to property developers plunged from £32.5 billion in April 2014 to £14.9 billion in April 2016, a fall of 54%. ‘There are housing shortages across the UK, in both urban and rural areas, and with increasing numbers of possible developments available, this is a perfect opportunity to reduce the housing gap,’ Brooke pointed out. ‘Private investors are helping bridge the funding gap that the UK’s property market has suffered from but there are still plenty of projects struggling to secure the finance needed to get off the ground. There is an eagerness from all sides to increase the number of conversions to help meet demand, however, the biggest issue remains access to funding,’ he added. Continue reading
Majority of home owners aged 55 and over in UK don’t want to downsize
Most people in the UK aged 55 and over have no intention of downsizing to a smaller property and it lack of suitable homes available that is putting them off, according to new research. Some 58% don’t want to move despite calls from the property and construction industry for more to be done to free up homes for first time buyers and second steppers, according to the research from My Home Move. For those that would consider downsizing a the lack of suitable properties and the costs involved in moving, including Stamp Duty, represent barriers to doing so. Some 46% of would-be downsizers want to move into a bungalow, while 20% are looking for a detached property while 52% want a property that is easier to manage and 21% want to release equity to help loved ones and enjoy life’s luxuries ‘The housing market has been suffering from a lack of stock for over 12 months, causing demand to outstrip supply time and time again. This has resulted in sky high house prices, instances of gazumping increasing and the Bank of Mum and Dad being called upon regularly to help first time buyers with their deposit,’ said Doug Crawford, chief executive officer of My Home Move. ‘Unfortunately, the findings from our survey suggest the situation is unlikely to ease; especially as 58% of those questioned have no intention of downsizing to release more top end properties onto the market anytime soon,’ he added. The survey also discovered that for the 25% who would like to downsize real and urgent barriers were stopping them from putting their homes on the market. Some 39% said there are not enough of the right kind of properties available to move into, 40% saw the costs involved in moving, including Stamp Duty Land Tax, as too prohibitive to consider moving now. ‘Despite the changes to Stamp Duty in 2014, the costs involved in moving can still tally into the thousands. This is especially true since the introduction of the 3% surcharge for additional properties. For those on a fixed income or heading towards retirement, it is not surprising that the financial reality is a stumbling block,’ Crawford explained. ‘We have seen stamp duty holidays for first time buyers in the past, so there is no reason the government couldn’t extend a similar scheme to downsizers, to help free up the market and get transactions moving,’ he pointed out. Continue reading
