Tag Archives: industry
Industry professionals believe supply shortage is holding back UK property market
The vast majority of property professionals in the UK believe that the residential housing market is being held back, with a shortage of stock the main problem. Overall 90% of those surveyed said the market is being held back and 47% said the shortage of homes for sale is the reasons, according to a poll by conveyancing services firm myhomemove. It says that this suggests that improved confidence from sellers in the wake of the decisive election result could ensure increased stability and predictability that will deliver more confidence, pushing the number of house sales up. The data also shows that 24% of respondents blame a lack of mortgage availability, perhaps reflecting concerns about the impact of affordability rules on lending to older borrowers and 16% said that a lack of new build properties was holding back the market, reinforcing the need for developers to keep building. There was strong support for extending the Help to Buy scheme for new build purchases to 2020. A strong majority of 80% of respondents supported the policy, compared to a mere 8% who opposed it. On top of this some 65% said they support the Conservative Partys’ starter homes scheme put forward in its manifesto in the run up to the general election with just 3% opposed. But the property professionals were divided on one of the other main housing policies of reducing inheritance tax on the family home. Some 42% said they support the policy, while 38% opposed it. The research also found that 38% believe that a target of building 200,000 new homes is achievable. The new Conservative Government promised to build 200,000 starter homes for first time buyers in its manifesto. They think that the new Government will find it easier to implement its Right to Buy scheme for tenants of housing associations than it will to deliver its Right to Build programme. Both policies were outlined in the party’s manifesto. And 43% said that a Right to Buy scheme for housing association tenants was realistic, with 27% not sure. There was, however, greater uncertainty over whether the party could implement the Right to Build scheme with 26% thinking that this policy was achievable, whilst 41% were not sure. ‘Property professionals are clearly concerned about the obstacles that are holding back property transaction numbers. The good news is that the decisive election result could provide a confidence boost to consumers that will mean more properties are put on the market,’ said Doug Crawford, chief executive officer of myhomemove. ‘The main housing policies outlined by the new Conservative Government in its manifesto are, for the most part, popular within the industry. The question now is whether the Government can deliver on its promises and how quickly it can do so. Some policies, like extending Help to Buy, are far simpler to deliver than others, like the proposed Right-to-Build scheme. This will undoubtedly be a big topic of debate at our conference, just one week… Continue reading
Supply of new homes in UK falling well below demand despite rising development
Activity in the UK house building sector has continued to pick up over the last year, but the supply of new homes is still falling well short of demand, a new analysis report shows. Boosting supply where new housing is most keenly needed, is a key priority if the UK housing market is to avoid long term distortion, according to the latest annual house builder survey from real estate firm Knight Frank. House builders say policymakers shout boost resources for local authority planning departments, increase skills and training for the construction sector and step up the delivery of public sector land to help increase the supply of new homes, the report explains. The survey, which shows the views of more than 160 respondents from house builders and developers across the country, also shows that two thirds of those in the industry believe that the maximum number of new homes which can be sustainably delivered across the country every year is 180,000 or less. Only 9% said that an annual supply of more than 200,000 homes was possible. Nearly 60% of respondents expect housing completions to rise over the next year, with 18% saying the rise could be between 10% and 25%. However around half of respondents expect no change in the delivery of affordable homes over the next 12 months. More than 90% of respondents are expecting construction costs to rise again over the next 12 months and two thirds expect that development land prices will rise again this year. Indeed, rising labour and build costs are expected to pose the greatest risk to the sector in the coming year. The biggest policy change that would help boost development volumes would be recruiting more people to local authority planning departments, according to respondents. The imbalance between the demand for new homes and the number of units being built is well-recognised, by the industry and political parties alike, the report points out. In the 12 months to April 2014, some 141,000 homes were built in the UK, up by 4% on the previous year. However, official household growth projections suggest an additional 230,000 potential households a year in the UK. ‘Below these headline figures, there is a recognition that the right type of homes must be built in areas where there is the most housing need, typically adjacent to existing urban areas. This has led to tensions about the greenbelt, with a lack of consensus on how to expand accommodation in some of the UK’s most thriving towns and cities,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Nearly one half of the respondents to the house builder survey said that rules around developing on greenbelt land should be loosened,’ she added. The report explains that policymakers from all parties are keen to encourage development on brownfield land and the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has recently published research suggesting there is enough brownfield land available in England to build 226,000 homes… Continue reading
UK landlords seeking more remortgages, buy to let index shows
Some 66% of buy to let loans in the UK in the first quarter of 2015 were for remortgaging compared with just 34% for new purchases, new research shows. This compares with 62% in the final quarter of 2014, according to the latest Mortgages for Business Complex Buy to Let Index. For houses in multiple occupation (HMOs) remortgaging is now an even higher proportion, standing at 73% of HMO mortgages in the first three months of 2015, up from 70% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Moreover, the same trend is even more pronounced for multi-unit freehold blocks (MUFBs) with remortgaging representing 89% of mortgages in the first quarter of 2015 compared to just 42% in the final quarter of 2014. Semi commercial property witnessed the same trend but with a more gradual change, from 86% to 87% of new loans agreed for remortgaging. As landlords have remortgaged in increasing numbers, their average loan to value ratios (LTVs) have crept slightly higher over the course of the last three months. For vanilla buy to let, the average LTV now stands at 66% compared to 63% in the final quarter of 2014. Landlords of HMOs have seen loan to value ratios rise to 70%, up from an average of 64% LTV in the last quarter of 2014. Likewise, MUFB properties are now mortgaged to an average of 67% of the property value, up from 64% LTV in the final quarter of 2014. Semi commercial properties saw a more gradual shift, though for these landlords the average LTV also rose from 64% in the previous quarter to 65% in the first quarter of 2015. ‘Record low mortgage rates are driving wave upon wave of landlords to reassess their finances. A great deal agreed last year may be uncompetitive by today’s standards. So this stampede is completely rational as it represents a charge by landlords to make the most of an unprecedented economic situation,’ said David Whittaker managing director of Mortgages for Business. ‘Remortgaging is often done for the purposes of raising extra capital, and this is clearly reflected in higher loan to value ratios. However, this is by no means an unwelcome trend and could in turn open the door to more new purchases and investment by landlords,’ he explained. ‘Rental yields are healthy and there is a gathering demand from an increasingly prosperous base of tenants. So the fundamentals of the rental market, and of landlords’ finances, are still extremely solid,’ he added. The report also shows that for standard vanilla buy to let property, gross yields have now risen to 6.4% in the first quarter of the year up from 6.3% in the last quarter of 2014. On a similar note, gross rental yields on HMOs have now broken through the ten per cent mark to stand at 10.4%, up from 9.0% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Semi commercial property has also seen yields grow, from 6.4% to 7.5%… Continue reading